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One State Plan - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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One State Plan

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  1. One State Plan Democratic Jewish State Israel & the West Bank District Local Government Choices for West Bank Arabs

  2. Long term solution must assure Jewish State Democratic State National Security

  3. Democratic Jewish State District form of government Law of Return for Jews Protection of all minorities Due legal process

  4. local control and responsibility local delivery of services district taxation and distribution national standards for education and services economic progress for all regions 15 Districts 4 Arab Moslem Districts 11 Jewish Districts District Government

  5. Current West Bank Arab Districts Tul Karm Nablus Qalqilya Salfit Ramallah Bethlehem Hebron Jenin Tubas Jericho

  6. Arab population centers along the Green Line Israel Demography, Arnon Sofer 2003

  7. Legislative Reorganization • 60 MKs- each of the 15 Districts sends 4 MKs • 60 MKs elected nationally • Prime Minister elected by Knesset

  8. Choices for West Bank Arabs • Citizen with all rights and responsibilities- vote locally and nationally • Non-citizen resident with limited rights and benefits, accept Israeli law and sovereignty- vote in District elections • Others subject to law, no benefits, voluntary subsidized resettlement

  9. Citizenship Requirements • requirements to be established • oath of loyalty • accept Jewish right of return • national service program

  10. Permanent Residency • history of legal residency • commitment to obey the law • limited participation in national programs • vote only in District elections

  11. Other Residents • subject to Israeli law • no national benefits • resettlement option in coordination with host countries

  12. Does Israel face internal existential threats? West Bank Status Demographics

  13. Current West Bank Status compromises internal security encourages terrorism divides the nation causes international isolation

  14. Demographic factsin spite of forecasts by prophets of doom pre-1967 Israel continues to have an 80/20 Jewish/Arab population Israel and the West Bank have had a 2/1 Jewish Arab population since 1967

  15. One State District Government Restructuring of Knesset Citizenship Option There is a Viable Solution

  16. Concerns • Demographic: Arab fertility rates are high and an Arab majority is forecast. • Political: Israeli politics will not allow restructuring. • Global reaction: Objection to unilateral actions. • Terror: Annexation will increase terror • Palestinian Dream: Long held aspiration

  17. Demographics • demographic forecasts rarely correct • unpredictable factors- social, political, economic, fertility rates, etc. • emigration/immigration major impact • government policies influence fertility rates • counting people is only one measure of a population • Democracy as in US or German model • district representation/local administration

  18. Implementation • “constitutional” changes • support coalition- internal and external • announcement and information campaign • establish districs and district plans • amnesty program • organize district governments • district elections- voter qualifications • incentive programs

  19. Timing • global situation is deteriorating: political, financial, and social crises expanding worldwide • risks inherent in US election politics. après Bush? • growing political influence of a Euro/Russian alliance inimical to Israel’s interests

  20. Timing (continued) • rising anti-Israel anti-Zionist and anti-Jewish sentiment because of the “occupation” • global terrorism and its impact • mounting internal economic, political and social pressures in Israel and the West Bank resulting from limbo status • Israel is positioned as an apartheid occupier and is facing global legal and political pressures reminiscent of South Africa

  21. Is a One State Plan Inevitable? YES! • now in a reasoned, planned, systematic manner or • after one or more mega-terror attacks on Israel or • after the creation of a new terrorist state leads to a major regional conflict

  22. One State Resolves Occupation Problems • poverty/despair  economic development • suppression of rights  citizenship • resistance / violence  subject to laws • hate-based education / preaching  civil standards • despotic / corrupt leadership  district elected government • desire to eliminate Israel  mutual interest in social and economic advancement • state of limbo  future vision

  23. Additional Benefits of Annexation • Internalization of all political and social issues • Criminalization of resistance movements • Reversal of Israeli Arab disloyalty trend • Expanded population will generate economic growth • Attract international resources to develop new districts with industry and trade

  24. Iranian Approaches to Decrease Growth Rate from 3.2 to 1.2 • No maternity leave after 3 children • Limiting families to 3 children • Funds for programs • Modern contraception course required for marriage license • 15,000 health houses provide national family planning • Government sanctioned condom factories • General practitioners trained to carry out male sterilization • Encourage 4 years between births • Discourage pregnancy for women younger than 18 or older than 35

  25. Two-State planscreate demographic threats

  26. Two State Plans and Road Maps create a state that will • oppose the existence of any Jewish State • not be a viable independent entity • not resolve “right of return” and “refugee” issues • partner with terrorist and rogue regimes • support hate education and promote anti-Jewish, anti-Zionist, and anti-Semitic organizations globally

  27. (continued) • expand dual-loyalty problems for Israeli-Arabs • seek conventional and unconventional weapons • create endless territorial, water, and resource disputes • result in major conflict