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DPS Budget Presentation. John Arnold-Director Governor’s Office of Strategic Planning and Budgeting December 15, 2010. General Fund. Ongoing. Revenue and Expenditures before Solutions. 14,000. 13,000. 12,000. 11,000. 10,000. $ in millions. 9,000. 8,000. 7,000. 6,000. 5,000.

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DPS Budget Presentation


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slide1

DPS Budget Presentation

John Arnold-Director

Governor’s Office of Strategic Planning and Budgeting

December 15, 2010

where we were

General Fund

Ongoing

Revenue and Expenditures before Solutions

14,000

13,000

12,000

11,000

10,000

$ in millions

9,000

8,000

7,000

6,000

5,000

FY 2002

FY 2003

FY 2004

FY 2005

FY 2006

FY 2007

FY 2008

FY 2009

FY 2010

FY 2011

FY 2012

FY 2013

FY 2014

Est.

Est.

Est.

Est.

Est.

Expenditures with ARRA & Rollover

GF Expenditures

GF Revenue

Revenue:

Assumptions:

Ongoing revenue does not include one time items such as fund transfer, asset sales, etc. Growth rates

Expenditure:

assumptions: FY10: -9.2%, FY11:7%, FY12 and 7%.

Ongoing expenditure does not include rollover or ARRA. FY10 and

FY11 estimated Expenditure from most current S&U, FY12 and beyond assuming 7% growth.

Where We Were
budget shortfall
Budget Shortfall
  • FY 2011 $600-720 million
  • FY 2012 $1.3-1.5 billion
enrollments
Enrollments

AHCCCS added approximately 167,000 members in FY 2010. OSPB projects they will add 54,000 in FY 2011

6 major activities account for 96 of on going general fund spending

(Millions)

$ 3,491.2

2,821.7

890.2

1,005.7

188.8

923.6

$ 9,321.3

Budget Unit

Education (K-12)

Medicaid

Universities

Prisons

Debt Service

Other

TOTAL

6 Major Activities Account For 96% of On-Going General Fund Spending
expenditure changes fy 2007 fy 2011
Expenditure Changes FY 2007-FY 2011

Medicaid numbers assume regular FMAP

Office of Governor Janice K. Brewer

enacted budget solutions
Enacted Budget Solutions

In response to the state’s fiscal crisis, Governor Brewer and the Legislature have cut $2.2 billion in government spending, including the following:

Reduced personnel expenditures by 22 percent

Reduced K-12 per pupil support by 18 percent

Reduced University per pupil funding by 25 percent

Reduced per capita correctional spending by 5.5 percent

Reduced child care enrollees by 40 percent (20,000 children)

enacted budget solutions ctd
Enacted Budget Solutions (ctd)

Budget Reductions (continued)

Reduced the number of families on cash assistance by 47 percent (16,644 families)

Reduced state benefits for the SMI population

Provided no inflation for health care providers for the last three years

Eliminated most non federally mandated Medicaid services

enacted budget solutions ctd1
Enacted Budget Solutions (ctd)

In addition to spending reductions, Arizona has also:

Borrowed $2.1 billion

Deferred $1.5 billion in current year payments

Raised taxes by 14.5 percent ($900 million)

long term outlook
Long Term Outlook

In FY 2014

  • Prop 100 Sales Tax Expires
  • Federal Health Care Reform fully implemented

Early Projection - $2 billion deficit

Office of Governor Janice K. Brewer