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Economic effects of investing in energy efficiency in buildings - the BEAM² Model

Economic effects of investing in energy efficiency in buildings - the BEAM² Model. EC WORKSHOP, COHESION POLICY INVESTING IN ENERGY EFFICIENCY IN BUILDINGS. Agenda. The buildings sector: significant and cost effective potential.

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Economic effects of investing in energy efficiency in buildings - the BEAM² Model

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  1. Economic effects of investing in energy efficiency in buildings - the BEAM² Model EC WORKSHOP, COHESION POLICY INVESTING IN ENERGY EFFICIENCY IN BUILDINGS Thomas Boermans, Unit Manager Built Environment Strategies

  2. Agenda Thomas Boermans

  3. The buildings sector:significant and cost effective potential Source: Ecofys, project SERPEC-CC for European Commission DG-Environment, 2009 29/11/2011 Thomas Boermans

  4. The (political) vision Cost optimal requirements nearly zero energy 29/11/2011 Thomas Boermans

  5. The comitology process Cost optimal requirements nearly zero energy see also www.bpie.eu 29/11/2011 Thomas Boermans

  6. Timelines – new buildings 2010 2020 20XX Cost optimal requirements nearly zero energy ??? 29/11/2011 Thomas Boermans

  7. Timelines - retrofit 2010 20XX 20YY Cost optimal requirements deep renovation ? ??? 29/11/2011 Thomas Boermans

  8. Baltic energy efficiency network - BEEN • Assessment of current status of energy efficient refurbishments in Baltic sea region • Assessment of energy- and CO2 saving potentials & job effects • Development of strategies & instruments to promote energy efficient refurbishment • focus on multi-storey housing built 1950 - 1990. • Implementation of three best practice projects client: Berlin Senate, BMVBS, EU 29/11/2011 Thomas Boermans

  9. Baltic energy efficiency network - BEEN 29/11/2011 Thomas Boermans

  10. Baltic energy efficiency network - BEEN 29/11/2011 Thomas Boermans

  11. Baltic energy efficiency network - BEEN 29/11/2011 Thomas Boermans

  12. BEAM² Thomas Boermans

  13. BEAM² Thomas Boermans

  14. Reference Scenario Germany CO2-mitigating potential for heating and hot water in residential and non-residential buildings up to 2010 from study evaluation and forecast until 2020. For 2010-2020, three scenarios with different retrofit-rates (1.0%, 1.4% and 1.8%) are calculated, resulting in different emission paths. Not climate corrected. 29/11/2011 Thomas Boermans

  15. Financing retrofit – some numbers • Example for timeframe 2010 to 2020 for EU27 • Increase retrofit rate from 1,7 % p.a. (BAU) to 2,8% • Improved ambition level (in the area of cost optimality) • Estimated results* • Additional energy related investment: 30 billion € p.a. • Total energy related investment: 65 billion € p.a. • Total invest (energy and non-energy): 100 billion € p.a. (turnover building industry in 2009: 1,2 trillion EURO) • Negative CO2 abatement costs • * based on research done by Ecofys in the framework of the impact assessment of the EPBD recast / energy saving action plan (using BEAM²) 29/11/2011 Thomas Boermans

  16. Different renovation tracks – indicative only Track 1: fast renovation: (very) high speed, average ambition level Track 2: deep renovation: average speed, (very) high ambition level track 1 CO2 – emissions EU building stock track 2 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 29/11/2011 Thomas Boermans

  17. Enabling factors for retrofit (examples) • Political/Legal • review (EU/national) definitions of major renovation, see www.eceee.org/press/Extending_EE_requirements/ • define ambition level for “deep renovation” • secure balance of interests in investor user conflict • Financial/fiscal • provide soft loans at reduced interest rates and longer loan duration (e.g. 20 years, state guarantees) • fiscal instruments (e.g. reduced VAT) • Information • information/realisation campaigns • ensure proper training and capacity building 29/11/2011 Thomas Boermans

  18. Thomas Boermans Unit Manager Built Environment Strategies E: t. boermans@ecofys.com T: +49 221 270 70-151 W: www.ecofys.com

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