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MINISTRY OF MINES AND ENERGY

MINISTRY OF MINES AND ENERGY. PLANNING AND BRAZILIAN ENERGY MATRIX . July of 2006 Ministry Silas Rondeau. SUMARY. 1 – Brazilian Electrical System 2 – Energy Planning 3 – Energy Matrix 4 – Ten Year Electrical Energy Expansion Plan 2006/2015 5 – Key Projects 6 – Electrical Energy Auctions

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MINISTRY OF MINES AND ENERGY

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  1. MINISTRY OF MINES AND ENERGY PLANNING AND BRAZILIAN ENERGY MATRIX July of 2006 Ministry Silas Rondeau

  2. SUMARY 1 – Brazilian Electrical System 2 – Energy Planning 3 – Energy Matrix 4 – Ten Year Electrical Energy Expansion Plan 2006/2015 5 – Key Projects 6 – Electrical Energy Auctions 7 – Others Energy Souces 8 – Agro-industry 9 – Oil and Gas

  3. BRAZILIAN ELECTRICAL SYSTEM

  4. Sistemas Stand-alones 3.750 km 4 000 km 3.900 km BRAZILIAN ELECTRICAL SYSTEM Continental Dimensions EUROPE BRAZIL

  5. INTERCONNECTED SYSTEM ISOLATED SYSTEMS Interconnected System 98 % of the Total Energy Market Isolated Systems 2 % of the Total Energy Market Installed Capacity 3,186 MW Installed Capacity 89,838 MW Imports 200 MW Imports 7,970 MW Transmission 1,448 km Transmission 84,795 km Main Source Thermal plants Main Source Hydroelectricity BRAZILIAN ELECTRICAL SYSTEM Source: MME April - 2006

  6. Venezuela 1 Brazil 7 (GN) Bolivia ITEM PRODUCT ORIGIN DESTINATION CAPACITY Paraguay 3 2 200 MW 1 Electrical Energy Venezuela Boa Vista - RR Argentina 4 2 Electrical Energy Paraguay/Itaipu Foz do Iguaçu 5,600 MW 8 (GN) 5 6 3 Electrical Energy Paraguay/Ande Foz do Iguaçu 50 MW Uruguay 4 Electrical Energy Brazil/Argentina Garabi - RS 2,200 MW 5 Electrical Energy Brazil/Uruguay Livramento - RS 70 MW 6 Electrical Energy Argentina Uruguaiana - RS 50 MW 7 Gas Bolívia Corumbá - MS 3 30 millions m 8 Gas Argentina Uruguaiana - RS 3 2,5 millions m BRAZILIAN ELECTRICAL SYSTEM International interconnections Source: MME, 2005

  7. ENERGY PLANNING Ministry of Mines and Energy

  8. THE PLANNING PROCESS Basics planning goals of MME: Long term studies up to 30 years Purpose: Integrated and global energetic goal

  9. THE PLANNING PROCESS The Planning Process: Interaction with CNPE and Society: MME Coordination and Definitions: MME Studies Development: EPE

  10. ENERGY MATRIX Ministry of Mines and Energy

  11. MAIN SOURCES FOR ELECTRICTY GENERATION The most competitive source of the country Renewable resource Available Power: 260 GW (28% in operation) HYDRO PLANTS Expressive power available for generation of electrical energy) Renewable Resource Available Power over 500 MW/year BIOMASS Important reserves of mineral coal are available 32 billion ton (90% in Rio Grande do Sul State) Power of 20,000 MW available for 100 years (supposing 50% used for generation of electrical energy) MINERAL COAL 6 th largest reserve of uranium in the world 32 billion ton (equivalent to a 1.2 billion toe ) Huge power for generation of electrical energy NUCLEAR Reserve of 306 billion m3 (equivalent to 0.3 billion toe) Production: 48 million m3/day (2005) 50% of Brazilian natural gas market was supplied with national production (2005) NATURAL GAS toe – ton oil equivalent

  12. 100 86 80 55 45 60 40 14 20 0 World Brazil RENEWABLE NO RENEWABLE RENEWABLE SOURCES: BRAZIL AND THE WORLD Source: MME, 2006

  13. 100% 218.6 million [toe] ENERGY MATRIX - 2005 Renewable sources: Brazil 2005 – 45 % World 2003 – 14 % OCDE 2003 – 7.1 % Source: MME 2006

  14. 100% 441.6 [TWh] BRAZILIAN ELECTRICAL ENERGY MATRIX Renewable Sources: Brazil 2005 – 89% World 2003 – 18% Matrix associated with generation of electrical energy. Included energy imported from Itaipu. Source: MME 2006

  15. AGENDA TEN YEAR EXPANSION PLAN 2006-2015 Ministry of Mines and Energy

  16. TEN YEAR EXPANSION PLAN 2006-2015 Important aspects: • MME guidelines: Specific plans, since long term studies are on execution. • Electrical Energy Market: from 374 TWh, in 2005, to 618 TWh, in 2015, requiring increments from 2,500 to 3,300 MW per year (firm energy) in the supply capacity, over the ten year period. • Supply: Adjustment of supply capacity to market requirements • At the end of planning period: Brazil strongly interconnected.

  17. TEN YEAR EXPANSION PLAN 2006-2015 Preparation Process: • Reference Terms: Developed byMME and handed to all public and private agents. • Plan Technical Studies: developed by EPE (Enterprise of Energetic Resource) under contract, supervision and follow up by MME. • Integration MME/EPE: strong interaction during the process with the teams of EPE and of MME/SPE. • Report of Ten Year Expansion Plan - 2006/2015: subject to public consultation on MME’s home page at http://www.mme .gov.br

  18. TEN YEAR EXPANSION PLAN 2006-2015 DEMAND Market Forecast: three projections of the economic growth GDP 6.0% HIGH GROWTH ten years average of GDP: 5.0% p.a. 4.5% 4.5% REFERENCE GROWTH ten years average of GDP: 4.2% p.a. 4.0% 3.5% LOW GROWTH ten years average of GDP: 3.1% p.a. 3.0%

  19. Total demand - Brazil (GWh) Load - Brazil (MWyear) 87.2 TWh 11,732MW year 9,954 MWyear High High 16.9% (*) 600 000 85 000 15.4% (*) 80 000 550 000 75 000 Reference Reference 500 000 70 000 450 000 65 000 60 000 400 000 55 000 Low 350 000 Low 50 000 300 000 45 000 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 (*) percentual of reference forecast TEN YEAR EXPANSION PLAN 2006-2015 DEMAND Obs.: Load supplied by Electricity System without classic self-production (without use the transmission lines). **Trajectory of reference

  20. TEN YEAR EXPANSION PLAN 2006-2015 DEMAND Consumption Structure 2005 2015 Total 2005*: 346 TWh Total 2015*: 567 TWh * Without classic self-production (when energy is produced near the load and without using the transmission system) .

  21. TEN YEAR EXPANSION PLAN 2006-2015 SUPPLY Sources: • Hydroelectricity; • Natural Gas; • Coal; • Biomass*; • Small Hydro Plants*; • Wind Power Plant*; • Nuclear • Cogeneration by natural gas; • Modernization and Power Upgrading; * Sources of the governmental program called PROINFA

  22. TEN YEAR EXPANSION PLAN 2006-2015 GRID System under study:

  23. TEN YEAR EXPANSION PLAN 2006-2015 SUMMARY REFERENCE GROWTH GROWTH GDP = 4.2% Population = 2.0 millions/year Electrical energy consumption = 5.1% year INSTALLED CAPACITY 2005 – 92,865 MW 2015 – 134,667 MW ENERGY NECESSARY 2005 – 47,500 MW average 2015 – 76,000 MW average DEMAND NECESSARY 2005 – 62,000 MWh/h 2015 – 99,000 MWh/h BASIC GRID 2005 – 82,092 km 2015 – 123,429 km 41,800 MW INSTALLED CAPACITY IN 10 YEARS 41,300 Km OF TRANSMISSION LINES IN 10 YEARS Investments US$ 56 billions by 10 years Source: MME, PDEE 2006-2015

  24. IMPORTS 8% FUEL GAS OIL PCH, PROINFA, 9% 1% etc. 3% COAL 2% IMPORTS FUEL 6% GAS OTHERS OIL 9% 10% 1% COAL PCH, PROINFA, HYDRO 2% etc. 73% NUCLEAR 4% BIOMASS 2% 0% DIESEL OIL OTHERS 2% 12% HYDRO 73% BIOMASS NUCLEAR 1% 2% DIESEL OIL 2% TEN YEAR EXPANSION PLAN 2006-2015 Installed Capacity Share of the Sources Jan/2006 – 93,728 MW(*) Dec/2015 – 134,667 MW (*) Included the power of the existing plants in the Isolated Systems that will be connected: Manaus/Macapá and Rondônia/Acre Source: MME, PDEE 2006-2015

  25. Mad BM NE N/ Man Imperatriz * DC System SE/CO/ RO IT AC System Ivaiporã S TEN YEAR EXPANSION PLAN 2006-2015 GRID Interconnections Expansion 2009 North (Imperatriz) / North East – 1,500 MW in Dec. 2010 Magnifying North/South – 1,100 MW in Dec. South/South East /Mid West – 1,000 MW in Dec. 2011 Madeira / South East – 3,000 MW in Jan. 2012 Madeira / South East – 3,000 MW in Dec. 2013 Belo Monte / North – 3,000 MW in Dec. Belo Monte (Colinas) / South East – 1,100 MW in Dec. 2014 Belo Monte / Colinas – 3,000 MW in Dec. Source: MME, PDEE 2006-2015

  26. AGENDA KEY PROJECTS Ministry of Mines and Energy

  27. KEY PROJECTS Hydro plants on the Madeira river • Madeira river (6,450 MW) • JIRAU Hydro plant - Capacity: 3,150 MW - Expected to operate (first unit): January, 2011. • SANTO ANTÔNIO Hydro plant - Capacity: 3,300 MW - Expected to operate (first unit): January, 2012. Total Investment: US$ 7,378.80 millions US$ 1.00 = R$ 2.70

  28. KEY PROJECTS BELO MONTE Hydro plant • Xingú river • Capacity: 11,181 MW • Expected to operate (first unit): December, 2013. • Total Investment: US$ 3,162.76 millions US$ 1.00 = R$ 2.70 BELO MONTE - project overview

  29. ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIAL INDICATORS • Average of ground inundated per power installed: • UHEs existing: 0.52 km²/MW • UHEs of PDEE: 0.27 km²/MW • UHE Belo Monte: 0.04 km²/MW • UHE Jirau: 0.08 km²/MW • UHE Santo Antônio: 0.09 km²/MW Source: MME, PDEE 2006-2015

  30. KEY PROJECTS System Interconnection Projects - MADEIRA • TRANSMISSION GRID: • Two circuits, alternating current, 500 kV, 3 350 km, 2 250 MW; and • Two bipolos, direct current, 600 kV, 2 450 km, 4 200 MW.

  31. KEY PROJECTS Interconnections studied - BELO MONTE • TRANSMISSION GRID: • Under study to supply the NW and N regions. • Existing interconnection already to SE.

  32. AGENDA AUCTION 2006 Ministry of Mines and Energy

  33. ELECTRICAL ENERGY AUCTION - A-3 Auction Date: June 29, 2006 • Start of Supply : 2009 • Projects that traded electrical energy: • 15 Hydro plants and 16 Thermal plants • Results: • Energy traded: 356,314 MWh (1,682 MW year) Hydro: 270,331 MWh (1,028 MW year) Thermal: 85,983 MWh (654 MW year) • Total Investment: US$ 16.9 billions • Average Price: Hydro plants - US$ 46.95/MWh Thermal plants - US$ 49.03/MWh Average Price - US$ 47.76/MWh US$ 1.00 = R$ 2.70

  34. ELECTRICAL ENERGY AUCTION - A-5 Power Total Investments 7 Projects: MW US$ millions 7,276 7,977 Santo Antônio 3,150 MW Jirau 3,300 MW US$ 1.00 = R$ 2.70 Date: 09/05/2006 Dardanelos 261 MW Salto Grande 53 MW Mauá 382 MW Barra do Pomba 80 MW Cambuci 50 MW

  35. TRANSMISSION AUCTION AUGUST/2006 Auction 01 (August, 18 of 2006) 2,261 km US$ 414.6 millions US$ 1.00 = R$ 2.70 Funil – Itapebi 230 kV – 198 km Mato Grosso – Rondônia Integration - 230 kV – 949 km 5 Projects Neves1 – Mesquita 500 kV – 172 km Mascarenhas – Verona 230 kV – 107 km Completing Norte – Sul Integration 500 kV – 720 km 6 Projects Cascavel Oeste – Foz Iguaçu 230 kV – 115 km

  36. TRANSMISSION AUCTION SEPTEMBER/2006 Canoinhas – S.Mateus 230 kV – 48 km Auction 02 (September) 1,026 km US$ 199.4 millions US$ 1.00 = R$ 2.70 Tauá – Picos 230 kV – 180 km Paraíso – Açu 230 kV – 135 km Ibicoara – Brumado 230 kV – 105 km Paracatu – Pirapora 500 kV – 260 km Itararé – Jaguaraíva 230 kV – 40 km Londrina – Maringá 230 kV – 83 km Curitiba – Bateias 500 kV – 38 km C. Novos – Videira 230 kV – 71 km D. Francisca – Santa Maria 230 kV – 66 km

  37. OTHERS ENERGY SOURCES

  38. RENEWABLE ENERGY INCENTIVE PROGRAM PROINFA PROINFA, co-coordinated by the Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) and implemented by Eletrobrás, is an important instrument to the diversification of the national energy mix, once it will guarantee greater reliability and supply security. PROINFA has assured the purchase of 3,300 MW from power plants based on biomass, wind and small hydro power (SHP) to be connected to the integrated national grid (SIN).

  39. Programa de Incentivo às Fontes Alternativas de Energia Elétrica- PROINFA Renewable Energy Incentive Program PROINFA GENERAL RESULTS 139 projects hired. : Total capacity 3,300 MW • 06 in operation (capacity – 141.70 MW) • 36 under construction • 52 with EPCs signed Forecast 2006 – 38 power plants installed ( 938.27 MW) Forecast 2007 – 101 power plants installed (2,211.73 MW)

  40. AGRO- INDUSTRY

  41. SUGARCANE AGRO-INDUSTRY • Current Situation: • Number of Sugar mills/Distilleries: 313 • Production: 16 million m3 • Production Capacity: 18 million m3 • Cropped Area for ethanol Production: 3 million hectares As of 2010: • Investments that will amount US$ 10.0 billion in 89 plants • Increase in the ethanol production (in comparison with 2005): 8 million m3 • Expansion in the sugarcane cropped area: 2 million hectares BRAZIL (Territorial Extension): 851 Total Agriculture Area: 383 of which: Fertile and free areas for agriculture: 91 Present cropped area for ethanol: 3 (in million of hectares) Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy; Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Food Supply - 2005

  42. AGRI-ENERGY - ETHANOL • FLEX-FUEL Technology • Any mixture of gasoline and alcohol can be used, from 0 to 100% ; • In May/2006: The domestic flex-fuel vehicle sales represented 71% of all light vehicles (including imported) sold in the same period; • Total domestic flex-fuel vehicle sales (2003-2006): 1,757,606 units. (*) (*) until May/2006. 7 multinational automotive manufacturers settled in Brazil are producing 32 different models of FFV vehicles Last June, an automotive manufacturer announced that, from now on, it will going to produce FFV vehicles only. Source: Ministry of Development, Industry and Foreign Trade; Brazilian Association of Automotive Vehicle Manufacturers - 2006

  43. BIODIESEL: Producers in Commercial Operation and Projects Forecast (As of Dec/2007) 2005 to 2007 2008 to 2012 From 2013 on 5% 2% 2% Mandatory Mandatory Authorized Legend: Under Construction or Project In Commercial Operation (*) Elaborated with obtained information of producing potentials and investors. Position of 31/05/06. ANP: National Petroleum Agency SRF: IRS (Internal Revenue Service) New Project Intentions In Authorization Process (ANP / SRF)

  44. BIODIESEL AUCTIONS • In 2005, The Federal Government has established: • The mandatory B2 mixture is now anticipated for January of 2006, only for biodiesel produced by industries that have the so-called Social Fuel Certificate and commercialized in public auctions promoted by the National Agency of Petroleum – ANP. (1) And (2): One single Auction with two Lots that will take place in July, 11th and 12th of 2006. ANP = National Petroleum Agency

  45. H-BIO: A NEW BRAZILIAN TECHNOLOGY

  46. H-BIO AND BIODIESEL: COMPLEMENTARY PROCESSES • Diesel oil production process that uses vegetable oils as raw materials in a petroleum refinery. • Hidrogenation of the mixture: • diesel + vegetable oil.

  47. Refinery Distributors BIOFUELS PRODUCTION H-BIO Hidrogen Fractions of diesel Agribusiness Refined Oil Grains Oil Crushing Plantation Diesel OR OR Transesterification Unit Biodiesel Ethanol or Methanol Diesel OR B2 or B5 mixture Gas Station Glycerin Others

  48. CHARGE OPTIONS FOR H-BIO PROCESS Castor Beans Sunflower Soy Palm Oil Cotton Average Agriculture Productivity 1,500 kg/ha 1,500 kg/ha 3,000 kg/ha 20,000 kg/ha 3,000 kg/ha Percentage of Vegetable Oil 47% 42% 18% 20% 15% Vegetable Oil Production (kg/ha) 705 630 540 4,000 450 Brazilian Production in 2005 m3/year 90,000 23,000 5,600,000 151,000 315,000

  49. OIL AND GAS

  50. Production/Consumption Ratio 3.000 Thousand barrels/day 1995 2000 2005 2.500 96% 71% 45% 2.000 1.500 SELF-SUFFICIENCY APRIL/2006 1.000 500 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Oil Production Oil Products + NG and Alcohol Consumption Oil Products Consumption OIL: SELF-SUFFICIENCY

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