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Convergence winners and losers - who’s where on the hype curve? . Peter Gardner Global Sector Head, Communications, 3i Group. The WiFi Business Development Summit Milan, Wednesday 26 October 2005. Agenda. Introduction to 3i Convergence The Hype Cycle Who is doing what (selection) Wifi

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convergence winners and losers who s where on the hype curve

Convergence winners and losers- who’s where on the hype curve?

Peter Gardner

Global Sector Head, Communications, 3i Group

The WiFi Business Development Summit

Milan, Wednesday 26 October 2005

agenda
Agenda
  • Introduction to 3i
  • Convergence
  • The Hype Cycle
  • Who is doing what (selection)
    • Wifi
    • VoIP
    • Location
    • Broadband
    • Broadcast
3i the facts
3i – the facts
  • A world-leader in private equity and venture capital
  • Established for 60 years
  • FTSE 100 company valued at €6 billion
  • 14,000 investments since 1946 and 1,000 IPOs
  • Over 500 trade sales and 83 IPOs in the past 5 years
  • Over 250 market-facing investment professionals
  • Proven international, cross-border offer

As at 31 March 2005

International scale and reputation

venture capital investment criteria
Venture capital: investment criteria
  • Investment range: €1.5 - €40 million
  • High quality founders and management team
  • Differentiated technology or service proposition
  • Clear attainable market proposition
  • Significant growth potential
  • Clear opportunity for 3i to add value
  • Clear opportunity for realisation of value – sale or float
  • Venture capital team focuses on:
    • Communications
    • Software
    • Healthcare
    • Electronics, semiconductors and advanced technologies
slide6

GLOBAL

UK

US

NORDIC

C. EUROPE

Ere Kariola

Ian Lobley

David Aslin

Peter Gardner

Achim Lederle

Vesa Sadeharju

ASIA

Mike Reid

Robin Murray

Kimmo Korpela

Jean-David Chamboredon

Krishna Visvanathan

Mikko Suonenlahti

Jarkko Virtanen

Cynthia Ng

slide8

Visibility

Key: Time to Plateau

Less than two years

Two to five years

Five to 10 years

More than 10 years

See

www.gartner.com

Sorting the problems

Mature technology and businesses

Emerging technology

Problems sorted now for execution

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide9

Visibility

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide10

Visibility

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

Wi-Fi Hotspots

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide11

Visibility

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

VoIP

Wi-Fi Hotspots

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide12

Visibility

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

VoIP

VoWLAN

Wi-Fi Hotspots

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide13

Visibility

VoWLAN Phones

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

VoIP

VoWLAN

Wi-Fi Hotspots

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide14

Visibility

VoWLAN Phones

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

VoIP

VoWLAN

Wi-Fi Hotspots

SIP Based Push to Talk

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide15

Visibility

VoWLAN Phones

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

VoIP

Location Aware Applications

VoWLAN

Wi-Fi Hotspots

SIP Based Push to Talk

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide16

Location Aware Technology

Visibility

VoWLAN Phones

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

VoIP

Location Aware Applications

VoWLAN

Wi-Fi Hotspots

SIP Based Push to Talk

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide17

Location Aware Technology

Location Aware Services

Visibility

Visibility

VoWLAN Phones

VoWLAN Phones

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

VoIP

Location Aware Applications

VoWLAN

Wi-Fi Hotspots

SIP Based Push to Talk

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide18

Location Aware Technology

Location Aware Services

Visibility

Visibility

VoWLAN Phones

VoWLAN Phones

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

VoIP

Location Aware Applications

VoWLAN

Wi-Fi Hotspots

SIP Based Push to Talk

WCDMA / UMTS

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide19

Location Aware Technology

Location Aware Services

Visibility

Visibility

HSDPA

VoWLAN Phones

VoWLAN Phones

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

VoIP

Location Aware Applications

VoWLAN

HSUPA

Wi-Fi Hotspots

SIP Based Push to Talk

WCDMA / UMTS

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide20

Location Aware Technology

Location Aware Services

Visibility

Visibility

HSDPA

VoWLAN Phones

VoWLAN Phones

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

VoIP

Location Aware Applications

VoWLAN

HSUPA

Wi-Fi Hotspots

SIP Based Push to Talk

WCDMA / UMTS

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide21

Location Aware Technology

Location Aware Services

Visibility

Visibility

HSDPA

VoWLAN Phones

VoWLAN Phones

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

1x EvDO Rev A

VoIP

Location Aware Applications

VoWLAN

1x EvDO

HSUPA

Wi-Fi Hotspots

SIP Based Push to Talk

WCDMA / UMTS

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide22

Location Aware Technology

Location Aware Services

Visibility

Visibility

HSDPA

VoWLAN Phones

VoWLAN Phones

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

1x EvDO Rev A

802.16d WIMAX

VoIP

Location Aware Applications

VoWLAN

1x EvDO

HSUPA

Wi-Fi Hotspots

SIP Based Push to Talk

WCDMA / UMTS

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide23

Location Aware Technology

Location Aware Services

Visibility

Visibility

HSDPA

VoWLAN Phones

VoWLAN Phones

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

1x EvDO Rev A

802.16d WIMAX

VoIP

802.16e WIMAX

Location Aware Applications

VoWLAN

1x EvDO

HSUPA

Wi-Fi Hotspots

SIP Based Push to Talk

WCDMA / UMTS

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide24

Location Aware Technology

Location Aware Services

Visibility

Visibility

HSDPA

VoWLAN Phones

VoWLAN Phones

Mobile TVStreaming

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

1x EvDO Rev A

802.16d WIMAX

VoIP

802.16e WIMAX

Location Aware Applications

VoWLAN

1x EvDO

HSUPA

Wi-Fi Hotspots

SIP Based Push to Talk

WCDMA / UMTS

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide25

Location Aware Technology

Location Aware Services

Visibility

Visibility

HSDPA

VoWLAN Phones

VoWLAN Phones

Mobile TVStreaming

Mobile TV Broadcast

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

1x EvDO Rev A

802.16d WIMAX

VoIP

802.16e WIMAX

Location Aware Applications

VoWLAN

1x EvDO

HSUPA

Wi-Fi Hotspots

SIP Based Push to Talk

WCDMA / UMTS

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

slide26

Key: Time to Plateau

Less than two years

Two to five years

Five to 10 years

More than 10 years

Location Aware Technology

Location Aware Services

Visibility

HSDPA

VoWLAN Phones

Mobile TVStreaming

Mobile TV Broadcast

802.11a/g Wi-Fi

1x EvDO Rev A

802.16d WIMAX

VoIP

802.16e WIMAX

Location Aware Applications

VoWLAN

1x EvDO

HSUPA

Wi-Fi Hotspots

SIP Based Push to Talk

WCDMA / UMTS

Technology

Trigger

Peak of Inflated

Expectations

Trough of

Disillusionment

Slope of

Enlightenment

Plateau of

Productivity

Maturity

Source: Gartner 2004-5

for further information please visit www 3i com

thank you

For further information please visit:

www.3i.com