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The Alpine Space Prospective Study

The Alpine Space Prospective Study Alpine Space Summit June 20th 2006, Stresa Thomas Bausch Martin Vanier. I phase. Analysis A: Territorial trends in the Alpine area. Analysis B: Territorial policies in the Alpine area. Analysis C: The Alpine Space programme. II phase.

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The Alpine Space Prospective Study

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  1. The Alpine Space Prospective Study Alpine Space SummitJune 20th 2006, StresaThomas BauschMartin Vanier

  2. I phase Analysis A: Territorial trends in the Alpine area Analysis B: Territorial policies in the Alpine area Analysis C: The Alpine Space programme II phase Substantial key issues Strategic key players Procedural key issues Immediate strategic projects III phase Shared scenario Strategic Projects after 2006 Programme improvement after 2006 The research approach

  3. Structure of the study 1 Analyses 1.1 Economic, social and territorial trends 1.2 Spatial policies in the Alpine area 1.3 The Alpine Space Interreg IIIB programme 2 Findings 2.1 Substantive key issues 2.2 Procedural key issues 2.3 Key actors 3 Proposals 3.1 Shared scenarios for the Alpine territory 3.2 Proposals for improving cooperation after 2006 3.3 Potential strategic projects

  4. 1 Territorial trends in the Alpine area Territorial trend definition territorial = trends with a longer lasting trends influence to a spatial (sustainable) development main fields of trend-analysis: • natural resources and biodiversity • economy • social and cultural welfare(including R&D)

  5. 1. Territorial trends in the Alpine area Research approach scan of sources statistical reports, EU documents, results of SPESP, ESPON, OECD, EEA and other EU agencies potential trends fields of territorial development and described trends trends with high impactto the Alpine Space experts survey main alpine trends detail analysis toeach territorial type

  6. 1 Territorial trends in the Alpine area Trendlist extracted from sources 34 trends in 4 main groups each group 3-6 fields of territorialdevelopment A: natural resources and biodiversity B: economy C: cultural and social affairs D: spatial development

  7. 1 Territorial trends in the Alpine area Trendanalysis based on expert survey (1)

  8. 1 Territorial trends in the Alpine area Trendanalysis based on expert survey (2) 1: loss of habitats and biodiversity 2: increasing environmental damages by transport 3: variety of landscapes endangered 5: dynamic increase of natural hazards 9: growing importance of accessibility to infrastructure and knowledge 13: increase of transportation volume, road growth, rail decline 14: growing impact of trans-portation on the environment 19: dynamic competition / concentration in the tourism sector 22: overaging population

  9. 1 Territorial trends in the Alpine area Alpine Space top trends Definition top-trends: strong territorial impact (below 1,4), over average dynamic (below 1,92) and over average duration (below 1,7) A: natural resources and biodiversity C: Culture and social welfare B: economy D: spatial development

  10. 1 Territorial trends in the Alpine area Trends with specific impact to area types A: natural resources and biodiversity C: Culture and social welfare B: economy D: spatial development

  11. Proposals Six prospective visions about a shared scenario for the Alpine territory Potential strategic projects

  12. 1. Alpine core and the MEGAs Metropolisation, attractiveness, global sustainability, protection, city/mountain, solidarity, international tourism…

  13. 2. Regional diversity: puzzle and « coopetition » « coopetition » (mix of cooperation and competition), territorial systems, multi-level governance, clusters, cultural partnerships, regional heritage, local development

  14. 3. North-South mediation Transit routes, governmental cooperation, infrastructures, impacts, ports and airports, technological risks

  15. 4. Networks, corridors, connecting elements Polycentrism, distribution, knowledge networks, mobility management

  16. 5. Openness and enlargement River basin, openness, enlargement, « little Europes », solidarity, Alpine experience

  17. 6. Positionning: we and the others Globalisation, international tourism, alpine amenities, global competition, image, joint promotion -------------------------- • Six visions to organise the debate about strategic orientations • Visions 1, 2, 3: internal regulation and management of alpine diversity • Visions 4, 5, 6: integration in a wider global perspective and preservation of it specificity • Towards a permanent forum on the Alpine Space scenarios

  18. Ideas for potential strategic projects • (2007-2013) • Project ideas connected with preparation and implementation of the Alpine Space programme • Alpine Space 2020 • Preparatory projects (e.g. Climate Change in the Alps) • Synthesis and dissemination projects • Projects accompanying programme implementation • --- • Project ideas connected with strategic key issues • Metropolitain / urban network of the Alpine Space • Rural-urban relations at work • Regional development observatory • Territorial effects of « brain drain » • « Destination Alpine Space » • Sustainable tourism in the Alpine Space • Mobility chain in the Alpine Space • Public passenger transport in the Alpine Space • ---

  19. Full report and executive summary please refer to programme WEB-site

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