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The International Voluntary CO2 Market Current State and Prospects for the Future

The International Voluntary CO2 Market Current State and Prospects for the Future. Casiana Fometescu Consultant Carbon Expert Romania www.carbonexpert.eu. Contents. Volumes and Average Prices Forestry Market Major Players Project Types Long Term Tendencies & Predictions.

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The International Voluntary CO2 Market Current State and Prospects for the Future

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  1. The International Voluntary CO2 MarketCurrent State and Prospects for the Future Casiana Fometescu Consultant Carbon Expert Romania www.carbonexpert.eu

  2. Contents • Volumes and Average Prices • Forestry Market • Major Players • Project Types • Long Term Tendencies & Predictions

  3. Transactions Volumes 2008 - 2013

  4. AVERAGE PRICE

  5. The Forestry Market • 17% Volume Increase in 2013 (agriculture, REDD, land-use) • Total Volume in 2013: 32.7 MtCo2 • Average REDD offset price: $ 4.2 tCO2 • Beyond carbon benefits (jobs, investments in infrastructures, education, health) • Latin America – top projects supplier

  6. Major Players • Buyers • Sellers • Standard Organizations

  7. What stands for these acronyms? • GS – Gold Standard • VCS – Verified Carbon Standard • CAR – Climate Action Reserve • ACR – American Carbon Standard • CCB – Climate, Community and Biodiversity Standard • SC – Social Carbon

  8. Retirements by Standard Organization

  9. Market Shares

  10. Who are the Sellers? • Project Developers • Retailers • Brokers • Government

  11. Transacted Volumes by Seller Types

  12. Who are the Buyers? • Offset credit retailers • Governments • Energy utilities • Multinational companies • Other sectors (finance, transport, food, events etc.)

  13. BUYER SECTORS

  14. Buyers Motivations • Balance between profit – climate driven • CSR – corporate social responsibility • Leadership in Industry • Production Chain Sustainability • Marketing and image

  15. Europe – the Main Buyer

  16. Why Europe as the main buyer? • The European Union is the main promoter for CO2 emissions reductions • The EU ETS is the main pillar of the climate change regulated policy in Europe • Much awareness among companies and people • 3 European countries currently have “voluntary” legislation: Germany, France, the Netherlands • Pilot projects to be extended at the whole EU • Romania’s case

  17. Project Types

  18. Average Price by Project Type

  19. Tendencies on Long Term: • Standards collaboration – shared expertise • Collective management of the projects • Less profit • More climate change driven motivations • Co-benefits beyond carbon

  20. Tendencies on Long Term • Rise of CSR in companies/corporations • Zero CO2 or emissions – brand for companies • Shift of the voluntary market to regulated market. Ex. California, predicted for the EU • New buyer sector: Government & Public Institutions • Rise of End-buyers: individuals

  21. Predictions for the future • Most estimations see a long term price increase together with increase in trading volumes • Market value predicted for 2020: 1.8 billion USD (based on historical average price $5.9 tCo2) • Volume estimated to 300 MtCO2e in 2020 • Reduced projects’ pipeline in the next 5 yeas

  22. Future Trends

  23. Thank you for your attention and take a lead into your industry! Casiana Fometescu CO2 Consultant, Carbon Expert casiana@carbonexpert.ro Skype: casianairina www.carbonexpert.eu

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