150 likes | 170 Views
Explore the development phases, financial flows, key indicators, and current trends in the Russian banking system. Analyze government support, foreign capital, and more for insights into future prospects.
E N D
Russian Banking System – the Current State and the Prospects for the Future Developments
The Phases of the Russian Banking System Developments • The Structure of the Financial Flows in the Russian Economy • The Prospects of the National Banking System Developments
The Phases of the Russian Banking System Developments in the Transition Period • 1. The Appearance of the Russian Banking System in the Transition Period (1988-1998) • 2. The Recovery of the Russian Banking System After the System Financial Crises in August 1998 (September 1998 -2002) • 3. The Current State and the Prospects for the Future Developments of the National Banking System (2003 - 2006)
The Scenarios of the Banking System Recovery in the Post-Crisis Period • The Government Support • The Foreign Capital Invasion • Using Own Activity and Own Capital
Russia’s Banking System Key Indicators (as on the beginning of the period, in USD according to the market exchange rates) • Year Assets Charter Capital Own Capital Enterprises' Loans • 1998 112,2 7,7 20,4 34,0 • 1999 45,9 3,0 5,2 14,5 • 2000 53,7 5,3 7,1 16,8 • 2001 76,7 7,5 10,4 27,5 • 2002 95,7 9,0 15,0 39,8 • 2003 120,2 10,0 18,3 50,8
Current Trends in Banking System • Fall of the Profitability • Shortage of the Financial Instruments • Increase of the External Credits • Increase of the Market Risks
The Net Financial Flows Between Russians Banks and Economic Agentsas on 01.01.1998 (%GDP)
The Net Financial Flows Between Russians Banks and Economic Agentsas on 01.01.2004 (%GDP)
Net Financial Flows (% GDP) • 01.98 01.99 01.00 01.01 01.02 01.03 01.04 • Commercial Banks -2,97 -2,60 -0,97 -1,90 -1,62 -1,30 -1,15 • CBR 2,23 1,87 2,54 3,54 2,86 3,78 4,95 • Government 7,15 6,44 3,92 3,34 2,93 3,00 2,73 • Regions 0,60 0,52 0,09 -0,28 -0,23 0,08 0,28 • Enterprises 2,24 1,01 -1,83 -1,46 1,09 1,84 3,63 • Households -7,58 -7,13 -5,77 -5,61 -6,72 -8,38 -9,37 • Non-Residents -1,67 -0,12 2,03 2,36 1,68 0,97 -1,06
Banking Classification • - The State’s Control Banks • - Private Banks • - Foreign Banks
State Control Banks • Households’ Deposits • Foreign Loans • Credits to the Real Sector • Financial Markets
Private Banks • High Cost of the Liabilities • Low Capitalization • Low Credit Ratings • High Risk of the Assets
Foreign Banks • Cheap Deposits • Access to the Foreign Loans • Good Financial Results
The Financial Results of the Selected Banks on the Russian Market 2002 2003 Profit/CapitalProfit/Capital Domestic Banks Industrial Construction Bank 45,5% 39,4% Sberbank of RF* 30,2% 26,7% Gazprombank* 13,2% 19,6% Moscow Bank 10,2% 18,0% Vneshtorgbank of RF* 22,1% 17,9% Rosbank 16,5% 9,6% MDM-bank 1,7% 7,5% Alfabank 1,6% 1,3% Foreign Banks Raiffeisenbank 49,4% 66,7% Commerzbank (Eurasia) 33,6% 65,5% International Moscow Bank 31,5% 52,8% ABN AMRO (Eurasia) 48,0% 36,0% Citibank 39,6% 31,0% CSFB 36,1% 21,8%