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Marc Di Paolo International Staff - Operations Division

NATO’s Contribution to Projecting Stability why we are failing and how to fix it. Marc Di Paolo International Staff - Operations Division. Test. Horizon 3. illuminate alternative futures. Horizon 2. Potential payback from innovation Uncertainty. develop new opportunities. Horizon 1.

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Marc Di Paolo International Staff - Operations Division

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  1. NATO’s Contribution to Projecting Stability why we are failing and how to fix it Marc Di Paolo International Staff - Operations Division

  2. Test

  3. Horizon 3 illuminate alternative futures Horizon 2 Potential payback from innovation Uncertainty develop new opportunities Horizon 1 extend the core Time

  4. Horizon 3 Cyber threats Counter-space threats Horizon 2 Potential payback from innovation Uncertainty Hybrid threats Terrorism Horizon 1 Projecting stability Rotational forward presence Conventional threats NATO Response Force Exercises Russian nukes Time Air Policing Nuclear deterrence

  5. Horizon 3 Project

  6. Horizon 1 Management

  7. Horizon 1 Management

  8. Horizon 3 Cyber threats Counter-space threats Horizon 2 Potential payback from innovation Uncertainty Hybrid threats Terrorism Horizon 1 Projecting stability Rotational forward presence Conventional threats NATO Response Force Exercises Russian nukes Time Air Policing Nuclear deterrence

  9. Problems with the current approach Expensive failures Requirements > Resources Risk averse decision-making Programs are not coherent, sometimes contradictory

  10. pace of change Horizon 3 Cyber threats Counter-space threats Horizon 2 Hybrid threats Terrorism Horizon 1 Conventional threats Russian nukes Time

  11. Way ahead

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