Climate change: an European perspective. Andrus Meiner, EEA 1st International ASTRA Conference “ARE WE PREPARED TO COPE WITH CLIMATIC CHANGES? CONSEQUENCES OF THE WINTER STORM 2005” May 18-20, 2006 Klaipeda, Lithuania. Role of EEA in mitigation and policy adaptation strategies.
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Andrus Meiner, EEA
1st International ASTRA Conference
“ARE WE PREPARED TO COPE WITH CLIMATIC CHANGES?
CONSEQUENCES OF THE WINTER STORM 2005”
May 18-20, 2006 Klaipeda, Lithuania
Data-sources: IPCC, WMO, CRU
Data-sources: IPCC, WMO, CRU, Stott et. al. (in Nature, 2004)
Data-source: Hadley Centre HadCM3 model, B2 scenario
Data source: Henrichs and Alcamo, 2001. Hadley Centre HadCM3 model, baseline scenario
Data-source: EEA, 2006, unpublished
Data-source: EEA, 2006 (forthcoming)
Balancing mitigation and adaptation: “Avoiding the unmanageable, managing the unavoidable,”
Substantial emission reductions are needed: 60 to 80% by 2050 (developed countries)
The EU target of max + 2 °C temperature increase requires at least stabilising at 550 ppm CO2–equivalent. Most likely a lower target is needed, for example of 450 ppm. That would mean a 80% emission reduction by 2050 for developed countries (from 1990 levels).
EU indicative targetof 12% by 2010
Living by the sea
Very different and unequal situations in socio-economic terms
Expected climate changes pose a real challenge to the population at sea to adapt, especially to sea level rise
Often a region or sector is already under pressure today
Built up in the distance of the coast
by Regional Sea Basins
% of built up
Distance to the coast (Km)
Thank you for attention,More information on EEA web page http://eea.europa.euThe European Environment Agency is the EU body dedicated to providing sound, independent information on the environment