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Ensemble Weather Forecast: Africa Desk GFS Spaghetti Plots and Probabilities

Stay updated on 500mb height, 10-m winds, and 6-hr precipitation probabilities from 00-144 hrs on the Africa Desk GFS Ensemble web page. View ensemble, mean, and operational GFS data with 50mm precipitation contour.

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Ensemble Weather Forecast: Africa Desk GFS Spaghetti Plots and Probabilities

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  1. Africa Desk GFS Ensemble Web Page • Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs): • Spaghetti plots • 500mb height (5500 and 5670, 5700 and 5870-m contours) • 10-m winds (20-kt and 30-kt contours) • 6-hr accumulated precipitation (50-mm contour) • Probability of exceedance • 10-m wind exceeding 20- and 30-kt • 6-hr accumulated precipitation exceeding 10- and 50-mm

  2. Africa Desk GFS Ensemble Web Page • Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs): • Spaghetti plots • 500mb height (5500 and 5670, 5700 and 5870-m contours) • 10-m winds (20-kt and 30-kt contours) • 6-hr accumulated precipitation (50-mm contour) • Probability of exceedance • 10-m wind exceeding 20- and 30-kt • 6-hr accumulated precipitation exceeding 10- and 50-mm

  3. Africa Desk GFS Ensemble Web Page • Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs): • Spaghetti plots • 500mb height (5500 and 5670, 5700 and 5870-m contours) • 10-m winds (20-kt and 30-kt contours) • 6-hr accumulated precipitation (50-mm contour) • Probability of exceedance • 10-m wind exceeding 20- and 30-kt • 6-hr accumulated precipitation exceeding 10- and 50-mm

  4. Africa Desk GFS Ensemble Web Page • Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs): • Spaghetti plots • 500mb height (5500 and 5670, 5700 and 5870-m contours) • 10-m winds (20-kt and 30-kt contours) • 6-hr accumulated precipitation (50-mm contour) • Probability of exceedance • 10-m wind exceeding 20- and 30-kt • 6-hr accumulated precipitation exceeding 10- and 50-mm

  5. Africa Desk GFS Ensemble Web Page • Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs): • Spaghetti plots • 500mb height (5500 and 5670, 5700 and 5870-m contours) • 10-m winds (20-kt and 30-kt contours) • 6-hr accumulated precipitation (50-mm contour) • Probability of exceedance • 10-m wind exceeding 20- and 30-kt • 6-hr accumulated precipitation exceeding 10- and 50-mm

  6. Africa Desk GFS Ensemble Web Page • Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs): • Spaghetti plots • 500mb height (5500 and 5670, 5700 and 5870-m contours) • 10-m winds (20-kt and 30-kt contours) • 6-hr accumulated precipitation (50-mm contour) • Probability of exceedance • 10-m wind exceeding 20- and 30-kt • 6-hr accumulated precipitation exceeding 10- and 50-mm

  7. Africa Desk GFS Ensemble Web Page New Requests? • Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs): • Spaghetti plots • 500mb height (5500 and 5670, 5700 and 5870-m contours) • 10-m winds (20-kt and 30-kt contours) • 6-hr accumulated precipitation (50-mm contour) • Probability of exceedance • 10-m wind exceeding 20- and 30-kt • 6-hr accumulated precipitation exceeding 10- and 50-mm

  8. 6 hour Precipitation – 50 mm contour Ensemble Members, Ensemble Mean and Operational GFS (higher resolution) Compliments “Probability of Exceeding” plots

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