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Egypt AnPro-Model Manual Item – 2 Principal Features and Structure of the Model. Part 1: overview of the UNESCO Template ANPRO-Model (Slides 2 - 9) Part 2: the Egypt AnPro-Model (Slides 10 - 16).

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egypt anpro model manual item 2 principal features and structure of the model
Egypt AnPro-ModelManual Item – 2Principal Features and Structure of the Model

Part 1: overview of the UNESCO Template ANPRO-Model

(Slides 2 - 9)

Part 2: the Egypt AnPro-Model

(Slides 10 - 16)

slide2

Egypt AnPro - ModelManual Item – 2: Principal Features and Structure of the Model-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 Part 1:

Overview of

the UNESCO Template ANalysis and PROjection Model

The Egypt AnPro-Model is based on the UNESCO Template ANPRO-Model of the Handbook for Decentralized Education Planning. The overview of the Template Model in Slides 2 - 9 helps to better understand the Egypt Model.

origin of anpro model
Origin of ANPRO Model
  • UNESCO’s country experience with spreadsheet-based ESMs

started in late 1980s

- pioneered by UNESCO-World Bank Cooperative Program

- continuously developed at Headquarters, by Field Offices and by IIEP

  • in 2001 UNESCO (Regional Office Bangkok) prepared the

EFA Planning Guide, published in 10 languages

- it contains a how-to-do methodology and an analysis and projection tool

in the form of an Excel based ESM  the ANPRO Model

- its objective (i) help education ministries prepare a “credible” EFA plan

(ii) ensure consistency in EFA planning by countries and donors

  • in 2005 UNESCO published the

Handbook for Decentralized Education Planning

(2006 in French, 2007 in Arabic)

- it provides concept, methodology, tools for education planning

in the context of public sector management reform

(medium term expenditure frameworks, decentralization, etc.)

it contains an ESM analysis and projection tool  the ANPRO Model

 This is an updated and expanded version of the Model

which replaces the one contained in the EFA Planning Guide!

3

purpose of anpro model
Purpose of ANPRO Model

The ANPRO Education Simulation Model is designed

 (1) to provide essential analytical and projection data

needed for the planning process

- the technical as well as the policy setting process

 (2) to facilitate plan implementation monitoring

 (3) to be used in particular

- for target setting, priority setting, resource allocation

- setting of implementation indicators

4

users of anpro model
Users of ANPRO Model

Users of the ANPRO Model are:

 in countries:

- ministry of education

- ministry of finance

- ministry of planning

- sector management units at sub-national, decentralized levels

- research and training institutions

 at international level:

- financial donors and TA providers:

for international programs like EFA/FTI, MDG, PRGS

- training and research institutions

5

principal areas of use of data produced by the model
Principal areas of use of data produced by the Model

The data produced by the ANPRO-Model are needed and used

for all principal phases and steps of the planning process:

  • Sector diagnosis, situation analysis; i.e. analysis of how the education sector functions at present
  • identification of possibilities for improving the functioning of the sector (sub-sectors)
  • projections of likely future developments of major components of the sector (sub-sectors) under alternative sets of goals and targets,

i.e. under alternative policies and strategies

  • projections of the resources needed to attain these goals and targets (human, material, financial resources)
  • assessment of the feasibility of goals and targets in terms of human, material and financial resources
  • identification of resource gaps
  • setting of implementation priorities
  • setting of indicators for monitoring of plan implementation

6

typical features of anpro model page 1
Typical features of ANPRO Model (page 1)

 ANPRO-Model is:

- designed in Excel and simple to use

- easily adaptable to specific country situations

- using existing data; it does not require expensive and complex

new data collection

 Analytical tools linked to the Model allow to check consistency

and validity of baseline data, projection assumptions and targets.

The ANPRO-Model is an instant tool for dialogue and negotiation:

(i) within the education sector

(ii) between the Ministry of education and the Ministries of Finance

and of Planning

(iii) between central and sub-national level entities

(iv) between Government and donors

  • Dialogue and negotiation concern the setting of targets and implementation priorities, filling of resource gaps, allocation of resources.

7

typical features of anpro model page 2
Typical features of ANPRO Model(page 2)

The Higher Education sector is not included in the ANPRO-Model

for the following reasons:

  • in most countries the HE sector is under a separate ministry
  • in all countries, the HE sector structure and functioning, its regulatory framework, its stakeholder constituency, its management culture, its resource allocation decision process, its separate chapter in the public budget, its own forms of financing, are particular features which make HE significantly distinct and different from the pre-HE education sector.
  • HE has its own, specific planning approaches.

8

egypt anpro model manual item 2 principal features and structure of the model9
Egypt AnPro-Model Manual Item – 2: Principal Features and Structure of the Model=====================================================

 Part 2: The Egypt AnPro-Model (slides 10-16)

The most recent application of the ANPRO-Model is the

Egyptian Analysis and Projection Model (Egypt AnProModel)

which was designed for and applied in the preparation of the

National Strategic Plan

for Pre-University Education Reform in Egypt

2007/08 – 2011/12

structure of the egypt anpro model page 1
Structure of theEgypt AnPro-Model (page 1)

 The Egypt-ANPRO Model includes all education subsectors which

are under the authority of the Ministry of Education:

- Preschool

- Primary

- Preparatory

- General Secondary

- Technical Secondary

- Adult Literacy

 The Model allows separate treatment of:

- Public schools (schools under government responsibility)

- Azhar schools

- Private schools

The Model-structure is the same for the different subsectors. As example

Slides 12-16 show the Model-structure of the PRIMARY subsector.

10

structure of e gypt anpro model page 3

Example

:

Primary Model

Links between sub

-

models

Pupil Sub

-

Model

Pupils

Pupils

Graduates

Teacher Sub

-

Model

Number of Classes

Number of Schools

Recurrent Expenditure

Capital Expenditure

Sub

-

Model

Sub

-

Model

Structure of Egypt AnPro - Model (page 3)

12