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Riksbank Economic Forecasts: Key Indicators and Trends for Sweden

This report presents key economic indicators for Sweden, including repo rates, CPI, GDP, and unemployment. Utilizing quarterly averages and annual changes, it highlights the Riksbank's predictions amidst uncertainty bands. Key figures include the real repo rate, TCW-weighted exchange rates, oil prices, and GDP developments across various regions. Statistical trends are supported by data from sources like Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank, providing a comprehensive overview of inflation, employment, and production trends vital for understanding Sweden's economic landscape.

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Riksbank Economic Forecasts: Key Indicators and Trends for Sweden

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  1. MPU April

  2. Figure 1. Repo rate with uncertainty bandsPer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  3. Figure 2. CPI with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  4. Figure 3. CPIF with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  5. Figure 4. GDP with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  6. Figure 5. GDPQuarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  7. Figure 6. UnemploymentPercentage of the labour force, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast, 15-74 years.

  8. Figure 7. Labour force and number of employedThousands, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast, 15-74 year.

  9. Figure 8. CPI, CPIF and CPIF excluding energyAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  10. Figure 9. Real repo ratePer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  11. Figure 10. TCW-weighted exchange rate Index, 18.11.92 = 100 Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  12. Figure 11. Oil price, Brent crudeUSD per barrel Sources: Intercontinental Exchange and the Riksbank Note. Futures are calculated as a 15-day average.

  13. Figure 12. Development of GDP in different regions and countriesQuarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally adjusted data Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Eurostat, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  14. Figure 13. Estimated gapsPercentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  15. Table A1. Repo rate forecastPer cent, quarterly average values Source: The Riksbank

  16. Table A2. Inflation, annual average Annual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. CPIF is CPI with fixed interest rate.

  17. Table A3. Summary of financial forecastsAnnual average, per cent, unless otherwise specified * Per cent of GDP Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  18. Table A4. International conditionsAnnual percentage change Sources: Eurostat, IMF, Intercontinental Exchange, OECD and the Riksbank

  19. Table A5. GDP by expenditureAnnual percentage change, unless otherwise specified *Contribution to GDP growth, percentage points Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  20. Table A6. Production and employmentAnnual percentage change, unless otherwise stated Sources: Employment Service, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank * Per cent of labour force

  21. Table A7. Wages and unit labour cost for the economy as a wholeAnnual percentage change, calendar-adjusted data Sources: National Mediation Office, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

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