Mpu september 2008 080904
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MPU September 2008 080904. Figure 1. Repo rate with uncertainty bands Per cent quarterly averages. Source: The Riksbank. Figure 2. CPI with uncertainty bands Annual percentage change. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank.

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Figure 1 repo rate with uncertainty bands per cent quarterly averages
Figure 1. Repo rate with uncertainty bandsPer cent quarterly averages

Source: The Riksbank


Figure 2 cpi with uncertainty bands annual percentage change
Figure 2. CPI with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


Figure 3 gdp with uncertainty bands annual percentage change seasonally adjusted data
Figure 3. GDP with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change, seasonally adjusted data

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


Figure 4 gdp quarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms seasonally adjusted data
Figure 4. GDPQuarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally adjusted data

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

Note. Broken line represent the Riksbank´s forecast.


Figure 5 number of employed thousands of persons seasonally adjusted data
Figure 5. Number of employedThousands of persons, seasonally adjusted data

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

Note. Broken line represent the Riksbanks forecast.


Figure 6 cpi annual percentage change
Figure 6. CPIAnnual percentage change

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

Note. Broken line represent the Riksbank's forecast.


Figure 7 cpi cpif och cpix annual percentage change
Figure 7. CPI, CPIF och CPIXAnnual percentage change

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

Note. Broken line represent the Riksbank's forecast.


Figure 8 repo rate per cent quarterly average
Figure 8. Repo ratePer cent, quarterly average

Source: The Riksbank

Note. Broken line represent the Riksbank forecast.


Figure 9 oil price brent crude usd per barrel future prices
Figure 9. Oil price, Brent crudeUSD per barrel, future prices

Sources: Intercontinental Exchange and the Riksbank

Note. Futures are calculated as a 15-day average.


Figure 10 real interest rate per cent quarterly average
Figure 10. Real interest ratePer cent, quarterly average

Source: The Riksbank

Note. Broken line represent the Riksbank forecast.


Figure 11 cpix excluding energy and food annual percentage change
Figure 11. CPIX excluding energy and foodAnnual percentage change

Source: Statistics Sweden


Figure 12 estimated gaps percentage deviation from the hp trend
Figure 12. Estimated gapsPercentage deviation from the HP trend

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

Note. Broken line represent the Riksbank's forecast.


Table 1 inflation annual average annual percentage change mpr 2008 2
Table 1. Inflation, annual averageAnnual percentage change, ( ) = MPR 2008:2

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


Table 2 inflation 12 month figures annual percentage change mpr 2008 2
Table 2. Inflation, 12-month figures Annual percentage change, ( ) = MPR 2008:2

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


Table 3 repo rate forecast per cent quarterly averages mpr 2008 2
Table 3. Repo rate forecastPer cent, quarterly averages, ( ) = MPR 2008:2

Source: The Riksbank


Table 4 summary of financial forecasts per cent annual average mpr 2008 2
Table 4. Summary of financial forecastsPer cent, annual average, ( ) = MPR 2008:2

* Per cent of GDP

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


Table 5 international conditions annual percentage change mpr 2008 2
Table 5. International conditionsAnnual percentage change, ( ) = MPR 2008:2

Sources: IMF, Intercontinental Exchange, OECD and the Riksbank


Table 6 gdp by expenditure annual percentage change unless otherwise specified mpr 2008 2
Table 6. GDP by expenditureAnnual percentage change, unless otherwise specified ( ) = MPR 2008:2

*Contribution to GDP growth, percentage points

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


Table 7 production and employment annual percentage change unless otherwise specified mpr 2008 2
Table 7. Production and employmentAnnual percentage change, unless otherwise specified, ( ) = MPR 2008:2

*Per cent of labour force

Sources: Employment Service, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


Mpu september 2008 080904
Table 8. Wages and unit labour costs for the economy as a wholeAnnual percentage change, calendar-adjusted data ( ) = MPR 2008:2

*Contribution to the increase in labour costs, percentage points

Sources: National Mediation Office, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


Mpu september 2008 080904

Table 9. Latest outcome and previous forecasts for central forecast variablesAnnual percentage change, calendar-adjusted data ( ) = MPR 2008:2

*Percentage of labour force, seasonally adjusted data

** Outcome for quarter 3 refers to the mean value for July and August

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank