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NOAA Forecasts Water

NOAA Forecasts Water. Gary Carter Director, NWS Office of Hydrologic Development NOAA Hydrology Program Manager February 20, 2008 ACWI Meeting. NOAA Forecasts Water. River and Stream Forecasts Flash Floods Streamflow Water Supply Great Lakes Water Levels Hazardous Spill Response.

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NOAA Forecasts Water

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  1. NOAA Forecasts Water Gary Carter Director, NWS Office of Hydrologic Development NOAA Hydrology Program Manager February 20, 2008 ACWI Meeting

  2. NOAA Forecasts Water River and Stream Forecasts • Flash Floods • Streamflow • Water Supply Great Lakes • Water Levels • Hazardous Spill Response Numerical Prediction • Precipitation • Land Surface Conditions Research and Development • Observations and Models • Coupled Modeling Systems Whether there is too much or too little, Whether it is for today or tomorrow, NOAA water forecasts are critical

  3. Hydrologic Service Delivery NOAA services are provided through collaborative efforts of National Centers, 13 River Forecast Centers (RFCs), and 122 Weather Forecast Offices (WFOs) Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC) Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) Climate Prediction Center (CPC) Camp Springs, MD Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Norman, OK Tropical Prediction Center (TPC) Miami, FL River forecasts and warnings are issued for approx. 4000 locations nationwide

  4. Saving Lives through Partnerships PARTNERS NOAA TEAM END USERS

  5. Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) • Provide improved water availability and flood warning information by leveraging NOAA’s infrastructure and expertise • Modernize services through infusion of new science and technology • Enhanced decision support • Quantification of forecast certainty • More accurate and timely forecasts and warnings • Flood-forecast area mapping • Visually-oriented products

  6. AHPS Web-Based Information

  7. Water Resource Forecasting Services Issues: • Precipitation and snowfall patterns are changing • More wet and dry extremes are expected • Impacts are exacerbated by population shifts to coasts, highlands, and drylands • Communities, ecosystems and economies are at risk • America needs better information to manage risks for the potential water “crises” Response: NOAA is well positioned to play a major role in providing water resource forecasting services to the nation

  8. Advance NOAA Water Forecasting • Enable Full Use of Existing and New Observing Systems • Infrastructure and tools to enhance data infusion and assimilation capabilities • Accelerate Research-to-Operations • Incorporate models and science developed by partners • Deploy integrated (water, climate, ecosystem information) services for time scales of hours to months Private Sector EPA DOD Community Hydrologic Prediction System User Needs and Requirements NOAA’s R&D and Testbeds High Resolution Observations and Models Water Resources Information and Services USGS NASA Regional Demonstration Projects NOAA’s Unified Mission Delivery and Support Services DOE USDA Academia

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