http://www.dailypioneer.com/business/double-digit-growth-not-realistic-in-medium-term-dea-secretary.html - Achieving a double-digit economic growth for India in current global scenario is difficult but the country is on path to clock 8 per cent plus expansion by 2020-21.
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Term: DEA Secretary
Achieving a double-digit economic growth for India in current global scenario is
difficult but the country is on path to clock 8 per cent plus expansion by 2020-21, a top
official of the Finance Ministry said.
In his budget speech on February 1, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said India is firmly
on course to achieving over 8 per cent growth and becoming the world's fifth largest
The country has recorded an average growth rate of 7.5 per cent in the first three years
of the Modi government.
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“What we are projecting is, this year second half will have a growth higher than 7 per
cent. Next year, 7-7.5 per cent average growth rate has been projected. That would mean
that there would be some quarters where growth might exceed 8 per cent. So we might
see some 8 per cent plus growth quarter next fiscal,” said Subhash Chandra Garg, the
Department of Economic Affairs Secretary (DEA).
The secretary further said that in 2020-21 “India should” be able to grow at about 8 per
When asked by when India could move into a double digit growth trajectory, Garg said
it is difficult as the growth in the global economy is not that high.
Global growth is 3.5-4 per cent, he said.
“You need to grow exports quite a lot to think of 10 per cent of growth. Exports growth
depend on the ability of the global economy to absorb imports. 10 per cent to my mind,
is not a realistic estimate. I think 8 per cent plus if we can grow, that could be a decent
growth,” he said.
The GDP growth of 6.3 per cent in the July-September quarter of the current fiscal
signalled a turnaround of the economy. The growth had slipped to a three-year low of
5.7 per cent in the first quarter of the current fiscal.
As per the estimates of Central Statistics Office (CSO), the Indian economy is expected
to grow at 6.5 per cent in the current fiscal.
For 2018-19, the economy is likely to grow at 7-7.5 per cent as per the Economic Survey
tabled in Parliament last month.