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Estimating Impacts from Deep-Water Loss of Control Events

Expected Results: potential impacts to major economic sectors, humans, and species of concern Innovative modeling of the event from the bore-hole throughout the water column to impacts on primary commercial species,

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Estimating Impacts from Deep-Water Loss of Control Events

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  1. Expected Results: potential impacts to major economic sectors, humans, and species of concern • Innovative modeling of the event from the bore-hole throughout the water column to impacts on primary commercial species, • Partnering with other organizations for: Risk modeling, Blow-out models, Spatial Data Estimating Impacts from Deep-Water Loss of Control Events

  2. Overall Modeling Approach Ecosystem Impacts Species Ranges Transport Plume Human Impacts Blowout Reservoir

  3. The Blowout/Spill Model • 3-major modeling phases: • Plume/Jet model (control-volumes) • Conversion to particles/“slicklets” • Transport model for particles with weathering processes

  4. Shrimp Population Modeling Adults Juveniles Post-Larva Eggs

  5. Modeling Shrimp Impacts • Spatial-temporal model for brown, white, and pink shrimp throughout the northern Gulf of Mexico • Analyzing impacts on various life stages based on habitat preference and potential distribution of hydrocarbons

  6. Oregon State University • National Energy Technology Laboratory • U.S. Department of Energy • Background Image Credits (left to right) • Los Alamos National Laboratory • National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration • U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works Spatial Environment Energy Research Group

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