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EURESCOM Future Directions Workshop. The Changing Environment The New Challenges of Research Examples of Questions. The changing environment. Significant changes are expected in the telecommunication networks and services: Fixed Mobile Data
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EURESCOM Future Directions Workshop The Changing Environment The New Challenges of Research Examples of Questions
The changing environment • Significant changes are expected in the telecommunication networks and services: • Fixed • Mobile • Data • The near future will show both positive and negative effects: • Innovations • Turbulencies • The telecommunications sector is shifting from a rather stable situation to a completely new one • Convergence • New actors
The changing environment • At the beginning of 70s: • telephone service as the major revenue source • small amount of mobile and data • small market segment • ad-hoc solutions • adaptation of the telephone network • At the beginning of 2000 century: • the data traffic will overcome the fixed telephone traffic • the mobile traffic will overcome the fixed telephone traffic • market and technological convergence of Telecommunications, Information Technology and Media
The changing environment • New actors coming from different sectors: • Information Technology and data networks • Mobile • Media • New points of excellence • New success factors: • technological availability • new market positioning • evolving regulation • death of distance • time based tariffing • new business models • New mergers and acquisitions
The new challenges of research • Potentially, this situation is very stimulating for Research Centres • The objective is to catch new opportunities: • global thinking • overcoming of the legacies • flexibility • understanding in advance the new context • Customer orientation: • demonstrate the value for the customers • time-to-market • economics • matching between technological and market opportunities
Example of Political Questions • Law of the jungle or jungle of the law? • Avoid over-regulation • Promote the global market • Avoid the law of the jungle • How to manage the economic convergence of telecommunications, IT and media starting from completely different regulatory conditions? • Over-regulated telecommunications • Information Technology • Content and media
Example of Political Questions • What will be the basic principles of a future regulation? • Limited to the necessary minimum • Independent • Responsive to users’ needs • Clear • How regulatory authorities can guarantee better and cheaper services? • Technology neutral competition • Value chain and business models • New definition of Universal Service
Example of Political Questions • Should the “virtual world” built over Internet be regulated? • Trans-national character • New services and applications • Should the focus of regulation change from infrastructure supply to value added services provision? • Growing number of actors • Complexity of the value chain • New technological solutions • How will evolve the allocation and pricing of radio resources? • Economic value of frequencies • International allocation authorities
Example of Political Questions • What role will the regulator undertake in a converged industry structure? • Harmonisation of different regulatory environments • Horizontal integration rather than vertical stovepipes • What social obligation will different sectors of the industry have to accept? • The new technology will penetrate deeply into everybody’s lives • Convergence on the Internet paradigm • How do we provide seamless services for the customer within a competitive environment? • Seamless context across different service configurations • Transparency to the underlying technical complexity
Example of Political Questions • If tomorrow will be an IP dominated world, how do we influence its development? • Ubiquitous standard sockets • Always on capability • How can we define a regulatory structure enabling a wide diffusion of electronic commerce? • Reliable procedures for the exchange of money, information, goods and services • ensuring security, privacy and IPR • How can we stimulate direct investments in R&D in the Information and Communication sector? • Promoting the development and diffusion of new communication instruments • Pushing the evolution of education system
Example of Economic Questions • Is it convenient a co-operation to expand the global market pie? • Abundance mentality • Common promotion activity • Which kind of competition to share the extended market pie? • Reduction of national market shares • Share of foreign markets • Layering of the market (transport, services, applications) • Which way to promote a real global market? • Common standards • Common regulation
Example of Economic Questions • Which are the characteristics of the convergent Telecommunications, Information technology and Media global market? • Applications • Market dynamics • Market size • Which are the characteristics of the evolving convergent market? • Generalised market with product differentiation • Market segmentation • Customer orientation and personalisation
Example of Economic Questions • What impact can be expected by the shift from scarcity to abundance of resources? • Increase of number and capacity of transmission media • Several offers from different actors • What are the economic implications of interconnection and unbundling? • Interconnection rules and fees • Unbundling levels and fees
Example of Economic Questions • What evolution is expected in marketing approaches? • From a reactive to a proactive marketing • Customer orientation • Time-to-market • What evolution is expected in costing aspects? • Life-cycle costs (investments + operation) • Cost allocation • Time-to-market • What evolution is expected in pricing approaches? • Evolution of tariffing • Death of distance • Time-based tariffing • Cost-based tariffing
Example of Economic Questions • What will be the impact of IP telephony on tariff structures in the telecommunications market? • Local calls and time based tariffs • Subscriptions and business models • What are the conditions for a full development of electronic commerce? • Regulatory framework • Actors and business models • Impact on GDP growth and employment • Impact of the “Virtual World” on regulation • Loose of relevance of trans-national borders
Example of Economic Questions • What will be the economic implications of the development of multi-service networks? • How will deploy a multi-service network • Business models for multi-service networks • Tariffing for multi-service networks • What will be the economic implications of the fixed-mobile convergence? • Regulatory implications, actors, business models and tariffing issues • Marketing issues and opportunity for operators (one stop shop, one number, personalisation of the services, unification of commercial chains, cost and resource optimisation) • Benefits for the clients (integrated vision of user needs, easier usage, one bill, one number)
Example of Social Questions • What evolution is expected of social habits? • Extensive info gathering and exchange • Global interconnectivity • info at Home and Office • Mobile info • New ways of info gathering and exchange • What evolution is expected towards a Future Home? • Evolution of Entertainment • New user approaches and interfaces • New usability requirements
Example of Social Questions • What new services are expected for business users? • New communication needs • New info gathering needs • Evolution of corporate networks and applications • Virtual companies and distributed working • Teleworking and Mobile Work • Market segmentation • What new services are expected for the Public Administration? • New information services • City information • Information Society
Example of Technical Questions • Which services can be supported by multi-service networks? • Different kinds of services and flexibility • Service characterisation and service support • Is IP and related protocols suited to implement multi-service networks? • Benefits of IP based multi-service networks • Coexistence of IP and other techniques • Is it viable to foresee a unique network for all integrated services or is it better to foresee the coexistence of different networks for different sets of services? • PSTN/ISDN and IP/ATM • Access networks • Core networks
Example of Technical Questions • What will be the most likely migration paths from existing networks to future multi-service networks? • Fixed voice networks • Data networks • Mobile networks • What will be the most likely evolutions of fixed-mobile convergence? • Step approach tailored to specific market segments • Core network functions and radio access techniques • Overlay networks will evolve independently of will include in the long run all the functionalities? • Overlay high speed data networks • Overlay high performance mobile networks