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The Question

The Question. H as ‘ more economic freedom ’ helped Americans since the mid-1970s ? Or, asked only somewhat differently…. … was this man a menace to the middle-class? .

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The Question

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  1. The Question Has ‘more economic freedom’helped Americanssince the mid-1970s? Or, asked only somewhat differently…

  2. … was this man a menace to the middle-class?

  3. inflation-adjusted, before-tax, money income for the median American householdhas stagnated since the mid-70s. (Today only about 18% higher.) • Inflation-adjusted hourly money wages for the median, non-supervisory workerhas hardly budged.

  4. Real Household Income

  5. In 2012 dollars, average hourly earnings for non-supervisory workers in 1975 were $4.73. In 2012 dollars that’s $19.70. Today, they’re $20.42 – higher by a mere 3.6 percent

  6. Great Stagnation? “Median [family] income is the single best measure of how much we are producing new ideas that benefit most of the American population.  Yet the picture is depressing.”  - Tyler Cowen, The Great Stagnation (2011) p. 14

  7. Almost all the benefits of economic growth since [the 1970s] have gone to a small number of people at the very top. —Robert Reich, Financial Times, Jan. 29, 2008

  8. So is this narrative correct? Are the policies advocated by Milton Friedman really a menace to the middle-class?

  9. We could talk about how only a few of Friedman’s policy suggestions have been put in place….

  10. … or we could talk about how measures of inflation inadequately account for changes in product quality….

  11. … or we could talk about how, since the mid-1970s, the per-person size of the median household has fallen by 11 percent… … or about how much more compensation today is paid in the form of non-wage – or, “fringe” – benefits… … or about how what happens to a statistical measure, such as an ‘average’ or a ‘median,’ does not necessarily tell us what happens to the individuals whose actions make up the data.

  12. Average Household Size: Down 24% in 50 Years 1960 3.4 persons 1970 3.2 1976 2.86 1980 2.8 1990 2.7 2000 2.7 2006 2.56 2010 2.57

  13. Per-Household-Person Income In 1976 the average household was 2.86 persons, then it fell 10.5 percent by 2006 (to 2.56 persons). Per-household-person income, therefore, rose not by18% but by 32%.

  14. Different Respected Ways to Calculate Inflation

  15. But let’s not. Let’s look at living standard from another angle… Purchasing power.

  16. 7.7 hours

  17. 2012 40 minutes

  18. 6.3 hours

  19. 2 hours

  20. 1.5 hours

  21. 1 hour

  22. 75 minutes

  23. 50 minutes

  24. 7 hours

  25. 4.4 hours (So, 11.4 hours total)

  26. 5.5 hours And it’s got wheels!

  27. 9 hours

  28. 4.9 hours

  29. 15.8 hours

  30. 5.4 hours

  31. 13 minutes

  32. 3.8 minutes

  33. 12.6 hours

  34. 30 minutes

  35. 57 hrs.

  36. 52 hrs.

  37. 73.4 hours

  38. 1 hour, 52 minutes

  39. 44 hours

  40. 11 hours

  41. 8.6 hours

  42. 4.0 hours

  43. 40.2 hours

  44. 13.1 hours

  45. 93 hours

  46. 4 hours

  47. 48.6 hours

  48. 12.2 hours

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