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“All models are wrong, but some are useful.” – George E.P. Box

Climate is changing. To address this issue, the most important research in aerosols and climate is …. “All models are wrong, but some are useful.” – George E.P. Box. “All observations are useful, but some are wrong.” – ???. Climate sensitivity surface temperature

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“All models are wrong, but some are useful.” – George E.P. Box

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  1. Climate is changing. To address this issue, the most important research in aerosols and climate is …

  2. “All models are wrong, but some are useful.” – George E.P. Box

  3. “All observations are useful, but some are wrong.” – ???

  4. Climate sensitivity • surface temperature • hydrologic cycle (e.g., precipitation) • clouds – dynamic and/or aerosol forcing? • Climate science testing • (testing on many spatial and time scales) • obs/models of patterns of change • obs/models of aerosol/cloud interactions • linking observations and models • Earth simulation • including all processes • probabilistic forecasting / uncertainties • human – climate interactions

  5. Thanks for paticipating. Director of the School Local Organizing Committee William H. Brune Guido Visconti, Piero Di Carlo, Domenico Cimini

  6. Lecturers P. K. Barthia, NASA, USA William Brune (Director), Penn State University, USA Ken Carslaw, University of Leeds, UK Hugh Coe, University of Manchester, UK Neil Donahue, Carnegie Mellon University, USA Graham Feingold, NOAA ESRL, USA Sandro Fuzzi, CNR ISAC, Italy Surabi Menon, Lawrence Berkeley National Lab., USA Joyce Penner, University of Michigan, USA V. Ramaswamy, NOAA, USA Vincenzo Rizi, University of L’Aquila, ITALY

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