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The Top Quark: 2006 and Beyond

The Top Quark: 2006 and Beyond. An (updated) summary of TOP2006: International Workshop on Top Quark Physics Coimbra, Portugal, January 2006 John Womersley Director of Particle Physics CCLRC – Rutherford Appleton Laboratory. If this was all we were talking about, I don’t think we’d be here.

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The Top Quark: 2006 and Beyond

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  1. The Top Quark: 2006 and Beyond An (updated) summary of TOP2006: International Workshop on Top Quark PhysicsCoimbra, Portugal, January 2006 John Womersley Director of Particle Physics CCLRC – Rutherford Appleton Laboratory

  2. If this was all we were talking about, I don’t think we’d be here The Standard Model • Decades of experimentation with accelerators, and theoretical synthesis, have culminated in what we call the “Standard Model” • A theory of matter and forces • A quantum field theory describing point-like fermions (quarks and leptons) • matter particles • which interact byexchanging vector bosons (photons, W±and Z, gluons) • Force carriers

  3. a revolução está vindo! *

  4. But (like capitalism!) it contains the seeds of its own destruction * revolution is coming • The standard model makes precise and accurate predictions • It provides an understanding of what nucleons, atoms, stars, you and me are made of • Its spectacular success in describing phenomena at energy scales below 1 TeV is based on • At least one unobserved ingredient • the SM Higgs • Whose mass is unstable to loop corrections • requires something like supersymmetry to fix • And which has an energy density 1060 times too great to exist in the universe we live in • The way forward is through experiment (and only experiment) • tantalizing – we know the answers are accessible • and also a bit frustrating – we have known this for 20 years…

  5. Quarks and leptons 4% Meanwhile, back in the universe … • What shapes the cosmos? • Old answer: the mass it contains, through gravity • But we now know • There is much more mass than we’d expect from the stars we see, or from the amount of helium formed in the early universe • Dark matter • The velocity of distant galaxies shows there is some kind of energy driving the expansion of the universe, as well as mass slowing it down • Dark Energy • We do not know what 96% of the universe is made of!

  6. These questions seem to come together at the TeV scale: With TeV scale accelerators we are exploring what the universe contained ~ 1ps after the big bang! EW symmetry breaking WIMP Mass and cross section

  7. Electroweakphysics QCD Higgsor new physics What does any of this have to do with top? • We know there’s new physics at the electroweak scale • We really don’t know what it is • Right now, the top quark is our only window on this physics • Couples strongly to the Higgs field: what is this telling us? • A window on fermion mass generation: does it really happen through Yukawa couplings? • Offers a unique physics laboratory: top

  8. Top and new physics Solutions to EWSB • Supersymmetry • Top Yukawa coupling is modified w.r.t. its SM value • Mass scale of top partners must be low (not true of other superpartners) • New physics associated with top may be first to be seen • Little Higgs models • New vector-like top-partner T, m ~ 1–2 TeV • mixes with top, decays to th, tZ, bW • Strongly-coupled models: Technicolor and its descendents • If mass dynamically generated, top is special because of its large mass: extra interactions (topcolor…) • Resonances in tt, tb (single top in s-channel) • Modified spacetime: Extra dimensions • Not such a special role for top, but can havett production through KK resonances

  9. t W+ l+ qq l+ qq b b b b b t W- l- l- qq qq b b b b b tt final states • Standard Model: t  Wb dominates tau+X 21% mu+jets 44% e+jets 15% e+e 15% e+mu mu+mu all hadronic 1% 30% e/ + jets 5% ee/e/ 3% 1%

  10. Neutrino Muon W b t W t b How to catch a Top quark

  11. So… • Top requires an excellent understanding of the whole detector and of QCD • Triggering, tracking, b-tags, electrons, muons, jets, missing ET • Performance must be understood and modelled In particular: • Early effort to understand Jet Energy Scale • for event kinematics and top quark mass • b-tagging • To reduce backgrounds • To reduce combinatorics in measurements of top quark properties • Sophisticated techniques • To maximise sensitivity to rare processes • To maximise sensitivity to deviations from SM • Team work and efficient tools

  12. Jet energy scale • The jet energy scale is the dominant uncertainty in many measurements of the top quark. • CDF and DØ use different approaches to determine the jet energy scale and uncertainty: • CDF: Scale mainly from single particle response + jet fragmentation model. Cross-checked with photon/Z-jet pT balance etc. • ~3% uncertainty in Run II. Further improvements in progress. • DØ: Scale mainly from photon-jet pT balance. Cross-checked with the closure tests in photon/Z+jet events etc. • new Run II calibration (uncertainty ~ 2%) will come out soon. • In-situ mWcalibration has been successfully used to improve JES by both CDF and DØ in top mass measurements. • Expect result on the b-jet energy scale from photon/b-jet pT balance & Z bbsoon.

  13. B-tagging • A significant body of experience has been gained at the Tevatron experiments • both have developed multiple b-tagging tools • Many issues deserve attention for the LHC: • Alignment of the silicon tracking detector • Understanding charge deposition • Understanding material in the tracking volume • Tracking simulation and its relation to reality • Monte Carlo scale factors • Determination of efficiencies from data – calibration data must be collected at appropriate ET and η

  14. Event Generators Significant progress on event generators: • top-quark production with spin correlations • single top production including 2  2 + 2  3 with proper matching • tree level generators with additional multi-jets in the final state • prescriptions to match tree-level + showering without double counting • generators with full NLO corrections to top production processes • event generators for top production and decays due to interactions beyond SM Pythia Full 2  6 process NLO calculation MC@NLO Additional final state jets Polarised top decays TopReX Alpgen + work on b-quark fragmentation in top decays

  15. Top production • If the top is “just” a very heavy quark, its production cross section can be calculated in QCD Dileptons: Cleanest channel Lepton + jets, b-tagged: Higher yields PLB 626, 35 (2005) L=230 pb-1 1 secondary vertex tag

  16. Cross section measurements • All channels consistent with each other and with QCD • Ongoing effort to combine measurements within and among experiments.

  17. Extracting the top mass Two basic techniques • Template method: • extract a quantity from each event, e.g. a reconstructed top mass • find the best fit for the distribution of this quantity to “templates” • Matrix element (or dynamic likelihood) method • Calculate a likelihood distribution from each event as a function of hypothesised top mass • Multiply these distributions to get the overall likelihood

  18. Top mass • Both experiments are now simultaneously calibrating the jet energy scale in situ using the W  jj decay within top events Combined fit to top mass … … and shift in overall jet scale from nominal value But … no information on ET or  dependence, or on b-jet scale DØ lepton + jetsmatrix element

  19. Mass in dilepton events • Reduced statistics, but less sensitivity to JES • On the other hand, can’t incorporate W  jets calibration in the same way • With the full statistics, these channels are starting to become competitive with lepton + jets channel Feb 2006 Update 750 pb-1

  20. Top mass status January 2006 Most precise measurements come from lepton + jets Use of W  jets calibration is an important recent improvement

  21. hep-ex/0510048  = ~1.1 GeV Prospects • With plausible (but not easy to achieve) assumptions about evolution of systematic errors

  22. Improvements in progress • The Tevatron experiments have quantified the improvements in sensitivity needed to reach their Higgs projections • EM coverage, efficiency; dijet mass resolution; b-tagging... • Will also improve performance for top Improvement in b-taggingusing neural networks Improvement in dijet mass resolutionusing track momentum as well as calorimetry

  23. W mass • Tevatron goal: improve on LEP2 • will require ~ 1fb-1 or more • Strategy: extract mass from kinematic quantities • Transverse mass • (Lepton pT) • (Missing ET) • Overall scale is set by Z (using LEP’s mass measurement) • CDF analysis with ~ 200pb-1mW = 76 MeV mW still blinded

  24. W mass prospects

  25. What this would mean • A 25-30 % measurement of the Higgs mass

  26. How does top decay? • In the SM, top decays almost exclusively to a W and a b-quark, but in principle it could decay to other down-type quarks too • Can test by measuring R = B(t  b)/B(t  q) • Compare number of double b-tagged to single b-tagged events All consistent with R = 1 (SM)i.e. 100% top  b Lepton+jets and dilepton (~160 pb-1) DØ Run II Preliminary Lepton+jets (~230 pb-1)

  27. Top  charged Higgs • If MH <mt - mb then t  H+b competes with t  W+b • Sizeable B(t H+b) expected at • low tan: H cs, Wbb dominate • high tan : H   dominates • different effect on cross section measurements in various channels. • CDF used tt measurements in dileptons, lepton+jets and lepton+tau channels • allowed for losses to t H+b decays • Simultaneous fit to all channels assuming same tt Still room for substantial BR t  H+b (as high as 50%?)

  28. Top charge • Using 21 double-tagged events, find 17 with convergent kinematic fit • Apply jet-charge algorithm to the b-tagged jets • Expect b (q = 1/3) to fragment to a jet with leading negative hadrons, butb (q = +1/3) to fragment to leading positive hadrons • Jet charge is a pT weighted sum of track charges • Allows to separate hypothesis of top  W+b from Q  W-b • Data are consistent with q = ±2/3 and exclude q = ±4/3 (94%CL)

  29. L=230 pb-1 Spin in Top decays Left-handed Right-handed • Because its mass is so large, the top quark is expected to decay very rapidly (~ yoctoseconds) • No time to form a top meson • Top  Wb decay then preserves the spin information • reflected in decay angle and momentum of lepton in the W rest frame • We find the fraction of RH W’s to be (95% CL) F+ < 0.25 (DØ) ; 0.27 (CDF) CDF finds the fraction of longitudinal W’s to be F0 = 0.74 +0.22 –0.34 (lepton pT andcos * combined) In the SM, F+  0 and F0 ~ 0.7 Longitudinal cos* PRD 72, 011104 (2005) All consistent with the SM

  30. Spin correlations in top pair production • DØ run I analysis, using only 6 events Phys. Rev. Lett. 85 256 (2000) • CDF sensitivity studies… need a few fb-1 before correlations can be seen • At LHC, precision measurements seem possible • Look at dilepton and l+jets events, various bases • Useful tool to study/look for nonstandard production mechanisms (resonances, effects of extra dimensions)

  31. New particles decaying to top? • One signal might be structure in thett invariant mass distribution from (e.g.) X tt • Interesting features in both distributions, but are they consistent ? ?

  32. Alas, with about twice the data, the excess washes out Feb 2006 Update 682 pb-1

  33. Single Top production • Probes the electroweak properties of top and measures CKM matrix element |Vtb| • Good place to look for new physics connected with top • Desirable to separate s and t-channel production • The s-channel mode is sensitive to charged resonances. • The t-channel mode is more sensitive to FCNCs and new interactions.

  34. Single top searches • Much higher backgroundsthan tt production: • Current results: 160 pb-1 230 pb-1 370 pb-1 World’s best limits

  35. Multivariate techniques • Reference case: DØ single top search • Last year, moved from simple cuts to multivariate approach: roughly doubled sensitivity • Likelihood discriminants • Neural networks • Decision trees • less familiar in high energy physics • Some attractive features (“not a black box”) • Boosting algorithms • Used in miniBooNE and GLAST • Boosted DT results for single top soon

  36.  data only e data only Single top searches • Not yet able to see SM rate, but starting to disfavour some models

  37. Single top prospects • with current sensitivity, statistically significant observation will happen in Run II – but improvements still desirable!

  38. Tevatron Performance 2005 1.6 × 1032 cm-2 s-1 2004 2003 2002 The highest luminosity hadron collider ever built

  39. Tevatron Status 8 fb-1 Champagne for 1 fb-1 Electron cooling in Recycler 4 fb-1 2 fb-1

  40. Status of LHC • First collisions in Summer 2007 • Initial measurements 2 years from now? • First precision measurements 3 years from now with 1-10fb-1?

  41. LHC Tevatron Top at LHC • LHC has great potential for Top physics • Enormous cross sections • 1 day at 1033  10 years at Tevatron for SM processes • In many cases, negligible stat uncertainties • Dramatic improvements over statistically limited Tevatron analyses (e.g. spin, polarisation, rare decays) • Improved understanding of top and window on BSM physics • LHC is on the road • Huge amount of work needed prior to measurements • to understand the detectors & control systematics • Early top signals will also be critical to commissioning the detectors • Some of the earliest LHC physics results, and earliest sensitivity to new physics, should come from top physics • Top is also a background to discovery physics at LHC • e.g. H  WW, top, susy

  42. and W+jetsfor 150 pb-1 Tools for top at LHC • Enormous statistics • Even greater emphasis on control of systematics • Worry about issues at < 1% level that are not major concerns at the Tevatron • Jet masses, calibrate parton energy or jet energy • Can afford to talk about strategies like removing events with identified semileptonic b-decay jets • What can be done at the start of the run? • Signal is large enough that clear lepton + jets signal can be seen in 150 pb-1 with HT cuts, no b-tagging • ATLAS studies + ongoing work for CMS Physics TDR

  43. Top mass at LHC • Lepton + jets - golden channel • S/B ~ 30, statistical uncertainty is tiny (100 MeV?) • Can afford to select high-pT sample to reduce combinatorics, if desired • would this help reconstructing t quark C of M for spin studies? • Importance of kinematic fitting • msys at the 1 GeV level (b-jet JES dominates) • Dilepton channel • msys at the 1.7 GeV level • More exotic possibilities … • Measurements in all-jets channel • msys ~ 3 GeV • Leptonic final states with J/: • statistics low, but msys 0.5 GeV?? • Methods have very different sensitivities to systematics • Combining all of the above: measure mt to ~ 1 GeV with 10 fb-1

  44. W: LHC will have sufficient statistics to permit mW = 15 MeV • to reach this precision will be a challenging, multi-year project • will there be a physics need – precision test of SUSY? hep-ph/0307177 + LEPEWWG05 ∆mt=1 GeV/c2 ∆mW=15 MeV/c2 mt and mW at LHC • Top: Measure mass to the 1 GeV level • Dominant systematic is b-jet energy scale

  45. … and at ILC • mt ~ 100 MeV claimed possible • But requires further theoretical progress on higher order calculations • “The tools are there… (just) a lot of tedious work required”

  46. Top + Higgs at LHC • tH+ and tbH+ • discovery modes for charged Higgs • ttH • Verify top Yukawa coupling • fermion mass generation • gt : 20 to 30 % @ 300 fb-1

  47. Single top at LHC • t-channel process • Cross section 120 times higher than Tevatron • ATLAS study • s-channel process • Direct extraction of |Vtb| from ratio of W* (single top) to real W • Harder: cross section only 10 times higher than Tevatron S/B ~ 3 √(S+B)/S ~ 1.4% @ 30 fb-1 After preselection M(tb)

  48. tW production at LHC • Only single top process where we directly observe the W • The t W mode is a more direct measure of top’s coupling to W and a down-type quark (down, strange,bottom). • Tiny cross section at Tevatron, significant at LHC (x 400) • Theoretical definition is “delicate”; new work in progress • Major background from tt • ATLAS study: S/B ~ 1/7 √(S+B)/S ~ 4% @ 30 fb-1

  49. Top spin and polarisation at LHC F0=0.677 ± 0.015 FL=0.309 ± 0.009 FR=0.014 ± 0.009 • High statistics – can significantly improve on the Tevatron • W helicity in top decay • Measure at the 1 – 7 % level • dominated by systematics • Top spin in single top • 90% polarised • Measure at the few % level (fast sim) • Search for CP violation! • Top-antitop spin correlation • A = 0.33 in SM • Measure A to ~ 10% (fast sim) Full simulation (preliminary) 1.5 fb-1

  50. FCNC decays • HERA sets limits on FCNC utZ, ut couplings • Still need to understand the origin of observed isolated lepton events in e+p data in H1 (and not in Zeus) • LHC sensitivities (100 fb-1, 5 significance)

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