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Russia: A Major Player or Not? . Pravco September 2002. In 1970, Airbus Did Not Exist, Today They Have Over 50% Market Share . Who will be the next “Airbus”? The manufacturers from Russia, China and India?.

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russia a major player or not
Russia: A Major Player or Not?

Pravco

September 2002

in 1970 airbus did not exist today they have over 50 market share
In 1970, Airbus Did Not Exist, Today They Have Over 50% Market Share
  • Who will be the next “Airbus”?
  • The manufacturers from Russia, China and India?
is there a market for russian designed and manufactured commercial aircraft
Is there a market for RussianDesigned and ManufacturedCommercial Aircraft?
why would the world airlines purchase a russian aircraft
Why would the World Airlines purchase a Russian Aircraft?
  • Pricing is a third to half of the western aircraft.
  • Russian aircraft use western engine and avionic packages.
  • Newly Emerging Markets and western freight carriers will be the first purchasers.
  • Russian aircraft are in the process of receiving FAA and JAA certifications.
russian commercial aircraft programs and production
New Programs

RRJ Sukhoi/Boeing

Be-200 Beriev

Tu-334 Tupolev

An-148 Antonov

MTR- Ilyushin/HAL

Existing Programs

AN-74 Antonov

Il-96 Ilyushin

Tu-204 Tupolev

Tu-214 Tupolev

Production Facilities

Aviastar -Tu-204

Irkutsk - BE-200

Kazan -Tu-214

Kharkov– An-74

Kharkov -An-148

Mig/Aviant -Tu-334

Novosibirsk -RRJ

Voronezh -Il-96

Russian Commercial Aircraft Programs and Production
russian regional jet sukhoi boeing ilyushin
Russian Regional JetSukhoi/Boeing/Ilyushin
  • Three models- RRJ55, RRJ75 and RRJ95
  • Sukhoi is the design project leader
  • Ilyushin will provide Russian civil certification
  • Boeing will provide marketing, leasing, and assistance in design and FAA certification
  • Novosibirsk is the probable production site
  • Pricing is targeted to be 20% lower than western manufacturers
be 200 irkutsk
Be-200/Irkutsk
  • Two versions
    • Waterbomber (first deliveries in Russia)
    • Passenger (65 seater).
  • First serial production units in assembly
    • Currently being manually assembled.
  • Scheduled to receive JAA certification by the end of 2003
tu 334 mig
TU-334/MIG
  • Rosaviakosmos will fund the certification testing.
  • 100 passenger jet.
  • Prototype in Russian certification testing.
  • Co-production lines
    • Mig (Moscow)
    • Aviant (Ukraine)
  • Selling price is $18 million with Russian engines.
an 148 kharkov
An-148/Kharkov
  • Antonov Design Bureau in Kiev Ukraine
  • Final assembly at Kharkov Aviation Plant (Ukraine)
  • Final assembly at Ulan-Ude Production (Russia)
  • Three prototypes are currently being built
  • Selling price is between $15-20 million
multi role transport hal
Multi Role Transport/HAL
  • Two versions
    • 100 passenger jet
    • Military cargo
  • Design and Production
    • Ilyushin Design Bureau (Moscow) is designing the aircraft.
    • India will invest $300 million into the program and sent up a production line at Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd.
an 74 kharkov
An-74 /Kharkov
  • Kharkov plant in the Ukraine will be the final assembly site.
  • Three versions-passenger, cargo, combi.
  • Aeroflot recently purchased 25 aircraft through the Ilyushin Finance Group.
  • Risk sharing joint venture between Antonov, Motor Sich, Ulan-Ude and Kharkov.
il 96 voronezh
Il-96/Voronezh
  • Produced at the Voronezh facility.
  • Received FAA certification for the cargo version.
  • Western engines and avionics (17 US suppliers)
  • Low production rate (less 10 aircraft/year)
  • Selling Price is $70 million ($43 million US content)
tu 204 aviastar
Tu-204/Aviastar
  • Currently undergoing JAA certification which will be completed in 2003.
  • Installed modern western machine tools for fuselage and wing production.
  • Sirocco has recently invested in $280 million.
  • China purchased 10 Tu-204.
  • TNT cargo (Belgium) took delivery of three Tu-204’s
  • Selling price is $25 million.
tu 214 kazan
Tu-214/Kazan
  • Kazan is the production facility
    • Tu-214 production
    • Possible Airbus fuselage production
  • Low serial production plans in the next year.
  • Installed modern western machine tools for fuselage and wing production.
  • Selling price range $25 to $30 million.
russian aircraft certification
Russian Regional Jet

BE-200 Waterbomber

Tu-204 passenger

IL-96

An-74

An-148

Tu-334

FAA

JAA

JAA

FAA

Russian

Russian

Russian

Russian Aircraft Certification

Russian AP-25 Type certification is similar to FAR Part 25

russian alliances
Russian Alliances
  • Airbus has partnered with Kaskol to manage $2.1 billion in future Airbus subcontracting packages.
  • Boeing has 300 Russian engineers in their Moscow Technical Center.
  • Russia and China have signed an agreement for co-production of commercial aircraft.
  • Other western aircraft manufacturers are exploring joint ventures in Russia.
conclusions
Conclusions
  • Russian commercial aircraft will gain worldwide acceptance with western certifications.
  • Access to global maintenance centers will assist in the selling of Russian Commercial Aircraft.
  • First out of country customers will be “old Soviet bloc trading partners” and western freight carriers.
  • Western manufacturers will continue to expand their presence in Russia on a sub assembly level.
www pravco com
www.pravco.com
  • Download-Ph.D. dissertation titled “Globalization of Commercial Aircraft Production: Implications for US Based Manufacturing Activity”
  • Download-paper titled “The International Decentralization of US Commercial Aircraft Production: Implications for US Employment and Trade”-Canada-United States Trade Center
research and service
Research and Service

- Canada-United States Trade Center, University at Buffalo, Occasional Paper No. 26, 2002, “The International Decentralization of US Commercial Aircraft Production: Implications for US Employment and Trade”.

- Office of Aerospace - International Trade Administration- U.S. Department of Commerce, briefings on Russian Commercial Aircraft Manufacturing and European Commercial Aircraft Production Processes, 2002

- Presidential Commission on the Future of the US Aerospace Industry, submitted research on industrial offsets and new global emerging aircraft programs, 2001.

- International Journal of Aerospace Management, October 2001. “Globalization of Commercial Aircraft Production: Implications to US Based Manufacturing Activity”.

research and service30
Research and Service

- House of Representatives Subcommittee on Aviation, submitted research on Global Aircraft Production, 2001

- Speednews Aviation Conference, March 2001, “Globalization of Commercial Aircraft Production: Russian and Chinese Capabilities”

- Presidential Offsets Commission, submitted research on Russian and Chinese Aircraft Manufacturing sector, 2000.

contact information
Contact Information

David J Pritchard Ph.D.

210 Sagewood Terrace

Williamsville, NY 14221 USA

Telephone/Telefax 716-632-5657 (USA)

E-mail: davidjpritchard@adelphia.net

Website: www.pravco.com