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Relationship of CCHE admissions index to student outcomes at CU-Boulder. Lou McClelland CU-Boulder Planning, Budget, and Analysis June 2006 L:/ir/cche/adm/IndexCk IR@colorado.edu. The index predicts outcomes at CU-Boulder. The higher the index The higher the 6-year graduation rate

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relationship of cche admissions index to student outcomes at cu boulder

Relationship of CCHE admissions index to student outcomes at CU-Boulder

Lou McClelland

CU-Boulder Planning, Budget, and Analysis

June 2006

L:/ir/cche/adm/IndexCk IR@colorado.edu

the index predicts outcomes at cu boulder
The index predicts outcomes at CU-Boulder
  • The higher the index
    • The higher the 6-year graduation rate
    • The higher the 4-year graduation rate
    • The higher the one-year retention rate
    • The faster students graduate
  • For CU-Boulder full-time first-time freshmen entering fall 1997, ’98, ’99
  • All analyses use the “old” index calculation – Before the Oct 2003 revisions
the basic relationships are also true for subgroups of these freshmen
The basic relationships are also true for subgroups of these freshmen
  • The same relationships hold for
    • Colorado residents and out-of-state freshmen
    • Male and female freshmen
    • Minority freshmen
    • African-American, Hispanic/Latino, and Native American freshmen combined
the following plots demonstrate the relationship
The following plots demonstrate the relationship
  • Each plot shows
    • A different outcome measure
    • For the 12,919 entering freshmen divided into deciles on index
  • Outcome measures plotted
    • 6- and 4-year graduation rates
    • Retention to second fall
    • Average number of elapsed terms to graduation
the plots show that the relationships hold for all subgroups
The plots show that the relationships hold for all subgroups
  • Black dots show results for all freshmen
    • Blue: Residents and Non-residents
    • Red: Males and Females
    • Green: Minority and BHN – Black-Hispanic-Native American
  • Each point plotted is based on at least 40 entering freshmen; 90% are based on 100 or more freshmen
the index predicts outcomes at cu boulder10
The index predicts outcomes at CU-Boulder
  • Index also predicts first-year GPA’s at CU-Boulder
  • Within CU-Boulder, HS GPA is by far the strongest single predictor of outcomes.
    • Test scores only add a small bit of predictive power
  • Past CCHE work says that the index predicts outcomes within and across other schools as well

L:/ir/cche/adm/IndexCk IR@colorado.edu