Relationship of cche admissions index to student outcomes at cu boulder
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Relationship of CCHE admissions index to student outcomes at CU-Boulder. Lou McClelland CU-Boulder Planning, Budget, and Analysis June 2006 L:/ir/cche/adm/IndexCk [email protected] The index predicts outcomes at CU-Boulder. The higher the index The higher the 6-year graduation rate

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Relationship of cche admissions index to student outcomes at cu boulder l.jpg

Relationship of CCHE admissions index to student outcomes at CU-Boulder

Lou McClelland

CU-Boulder Planning, Budget, and Analysis

June 2006

L:/ir/cche/adm/IndexCk [email protected]


The index predicts outcomes at cu boulder l.jpg
The index predicts outcomes at CU-Boulder CU-Boulder

  • The higher the index

    • The higher the 6-year graduation rate

    • The higher the 4-year graduation rate

    • The higher the one-year retention rate

    • The faster students graduate

  • For CU-Boulder full-time first-time freshmen entering fall 1997, ’98, ’99

  • All analyses use the “old” index calculation – Before the Oct 2003 revisions


The basic relationships are also true for subgroups of these freshmen l.jpg
The basic relationships are also true for subgroups of these freshmen

  • The same relationships hold for

    • Colorado residents and out-of-state freshmen

    • Male and female freshmen

    • Minority freshmen

    • African-American, Hispanic/Latino, and Native American freshmen combined


The following plots demonstrate the relationship l.jpg
The following plots demonstrate the relationship freshmen

  • Each plot shows

    • A different outcome measure

    • For the 12,919 entering freshmen divided into deciles on index

  • Outcome measures plotted

    • 6- and 4-year graduation rates

    • Retention to second fall

    • Average number of elapsed terms to graduation


The plots show that the relationships hold for all subgroups l.jpg
The plots show that the relationships hold for all subgroups

  • Black dots show results for all freshmen

    • Blue: Residents and Non-residents

    • Red: Males and Females

    • Green: Minority and BHN – Black-Hispanic-Native American

  • Each point plotted is based on at least 40 entering freshmen; 90% are based on 100 or more freshmen


The index predicts outcomes at cu boulder10 l.jpg
The index predicts outcomes at CU-Boulder

  • Index also predicts first-year GPA’s at CU-Boulder

  • Within CU-Boulder, HS GPA is by far the strongest single predictor of outcomes.

    • Test scores only add a small bit of predictive power

  • Past CCHE work says that the index predicts outcomes within and across other schools as well

    L:/ir/cche/adm/IndexCk [email protected]


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