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Meteorology 415

Meteorology 415. Contest 3 Hancock, MI and Elmira, NY November 9, 2011. Hancock, MI. Hancock, MI.

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Meteorology 415

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  1. Meteorology 415 Contest 3 Hancock, MI and Elmira, NY November 9, 2011

  2. Hancock, MI

  3. Hancock, MI FAA Identifier: CMX Lat/Long: 47-10-06.3020N / 088-29-20.6190W47-10.105033N / 088-29.343650W47.1684172 / -88.4890608(estimated) Elevation: 1095 ft. / 333.8 m (surveyed) Variation: 02W (1985) From city: 4 miles NE of HANCOCK, MI

  4. Hancock Observations • KCMX 092353Z AUTO 34016G23KT 1/2SM SN FG VV008 00/M01 A2972 RMK AO2 SLP076 • P0003 60016 T00001006 10028 20000 56016= • KCMX 100053Z AUTO 34013G21KT 1/2SM SN FG VV008 00/M01 A2970 RMK AO2 PK WND • 35027/0000 SLP070 P0002 T00001006= • KCMX 100153Z AUTO 33015G24KT 3/4SM -SN BR OVC007 00/M01 A2968 RMK AO2 PK WND • 33026/0134 SLP062 P0003 T00001006= • KCMX 100243Z AUTO 33020G26KT 1SM -SN BR SCT007 OVC015 01/M01 A2967 RMK AO2 PK • WND 33026/0242 P0001= • KCMX 100253Z AUTO 33021G29KT 1 1/4SM -SN BR SCT009 OVC019 00/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 • PK WND 32029/0248 SLP057 P0001 60006 T00001011 56018= • KCMX 100314Z AUTO 33017G28KT 3/4SM -SN BR FEW010 OVC017 00/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 PK • WND 32028/0312 P0000= • KCMX 100314Z AUTO 33017G28KT 3/4SM -SN BR FEW010 OVC017 00/M01A2966= • KCMX 100321Z AUTO 33020G28KT 3/4SM -SN BR FEW007 OVC014 00/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 PK • WND 32028/0312 P0000= • KCMX 100321Z AUTO 33020G28KT 3/4SM -SN BR FEW007 OVC014 00/M01A2966= • KCMX 100340Z AUTO 33017G24KT 1SM -SN BR VV014 00/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 PK WND • 32028/0312 P0000=

  5. Hancock Observations • KCMX 100253Z AUTO 33021G29KT 1 1/4SM -SN BR SCT009 OVC019 00/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 • PK WND 32029/0248 SLP057 P0001 60006 T00001011 56018= • KCMX 100314Z AUTO 33017G28KT 3/4SM -SN BR FEW010 OVC017 00/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 PK • WND 32028/0312 P0000= • KCMX 100314Z AUTO 33017G28KT 3/4SM -SN BR FEW010 OVC017 00/M01A2966= • KCMX 100321Z AUTO 33020G28KT 3/4SM -SN BR FEW007 OVC014 00/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 PK • WND 32028/0312 P0000= • KCMX 100321Z AUTO 33020G28KT 3/4SM -SN BR FEW007 OVC014 00/M01A2966= • KCMX 100340Z AUTO 33017G24KT 1SM -SN BR VV014 00/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 PK WND • 32028/0312 P0000= • KCMX 100353Z AUTO 33018G22KT 1 1/2SM -SN BR OVC016 01/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 PK WND • 32028/0312 SLP055 P0000 T00061006= • KCMX 100403Z AUTO 33017G23KT 2 1/2SM -SN BR OVC020 01/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 P0000= • KCMX 100353Z AUTO 33018G22KT 1 1/2SM -SN BR OVC016 01/M01 A2966= • KCMX 100403Z AUTO 33017G23KT 2 1/2SM -SN BR OVC020 01/M01 A2966= • KCMX 100438Z AUTO 32015KT 5SM -SN BR FEW013 OVC022 01/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 P0000= • KCMX 100453Z AUTO 32013KT 9SM SCT015 OVC024 01/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 SNE49 SLP054 • P0000 T00061006 400281022= • KCMX 100533Z AUTO 33014G21KT 1 3/4SM -SN BR FEW013 OVC019 01/M01 A2965 RMK AO2 • SNB0458 P0000= • KCMX 100533Z AUTO 33014G21KT 1 3/4SM -SN BR FEW013 OVC019 01/M01A2965= • KCMX 100553Z AUTO 32011G21KT 1SM -SN BR SCT008 OVC017 01/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 • SNB0458 SLP054 P0000 60006 T00061006 10006 20000 56003= • KCMX 100600Z AUTO 32014KT 3/4SM -SN BR SCT008 OVC015 01/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 P0001= • KCMX 100553Z AUTO 32011G21KT 1SM -SN BR SCT008 OVC017 01/M01 A2966= • KCMX 100600Z AUTO 32014KT 3/4SM -SN BR SCT008 OVC015 01/M01 A2966= • KCMX 100609Z AUTO 33013G21KT 1/2SM SN FG OVC010 01/M01 A2965 RMK AO2 P0001= • KCMX 100619Z AUTO 33014KT 1SM -SN BR SCT007 OVC010 00/M01 A2965 RMK AO2 P0001= • KCMX 100646Z AUTO 32015G20KT 3/4SM -SN BR FEW009 OVC014 00/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 • P0001= • KCMX 100646Z AUTO 32015G20KT 3/4SM -SN BR FEW009 OVC014 00/M01A2966=

  6. Hancock Observations • KCMX 100553Z AUTO 32011G21KT 1SM -SN BR SCT008 OVC017 01/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 • SNB0458 SLP054 P0000 60006 T00061006 10006 20000 56003= • KCMX 100600Z AUTO 32014KT 3/4SM -SN BR SCT008 OVC015 01/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 P0001= • KCMX 100553Z AUTO 32011G21KT 1SM -SN BR SCT008 OVC017 01/M01 A2966= • KCMX 100600Z AUTO 32014KT 3/4SM -SN BR SCT008 OVC015 01/M01 A2966= • KCMX 100609Z AUTO 33013G21KT 1/2SM SN FG OVC010 01/M01 A2965 RMK AO2 P0001= • KCMX 100619Z AUTO 33014KT 1SM -SN BR SCT007 OVC010 00/M01 A2965 RMK AO2 P0001= • KCMX 100646Z AUTO 32015G20KT 3/4SM -SN BR FEW009 OVC014 00/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 • P0001= • KCMX 100646Z AUTO 32015G20KT 3/4SM -SN BR FEW009 OVC014 00/M01A2966= • KCMX 100653Z AUTO 32014G26KT 3/4SM -SN BR FEW008 OVC014 00/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 PK • WND 32026/0648 SLP055 P0001 T00001011= • KCMX 100742Z AUTO 33012KT 1SM -SN BR FEW010 OVC014 00/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 P0001= • KCMX 100750Z AUTO 31014G19KT 3/4SM -SN BR FEW004 OVC014 00/M01 A2966 RMK AO2 • P0001= • KCMX 100750Z AUTO 31014G19KT 3/4SM -SN BR FEW004 OVC014 00/M01A2966= • KCMX 100753Z AUTO 31013G19KT 1/2SM SN FG SCT004 OVC014 00/M01 A2967 RMK AO2 • SLP058 P0001 T00001006= • KCMX 100814Z AUTO 33014G20KT 1SM -SN BR SCT006 OVC012 00/M01 A2967 RMK AO2 • P0001= • KCMX 100826Z AUTO 32014G19KT 3/4SM -SN BR SCT006 OVC014 00/M01 A2967 RMK AO2 • P0001= • KCMX 100826Z AUTO 32014G19KT 3/4SM -SN BR SCT006 OVC014 00/M01A2967= • KCMX 100853Z AUTO 32016G23KT 3/4SM -SN BR BKN006 OVC012 00/M01 A2967 RMK AO2 • SLP060 P0002 60004 T00001006 53005=

  7. Synoptic Pattern

  8. Synoptic Pattern

  9. Surface Analysis

  10. Radar

  11. Verifications

  12. Standings for Hancock, MI

  13. COMPARE

  14. Standings for Hancock, MI

  15. Up Close and Personal

  16. Hancock, MI – Lessons Learned • Lake effect season is upon us… • Trajectory, persistence of air flow can be as important as instability • It was a no surprise Superior Lake Effect! • Winds also transport warmth inland – keeping temperatures at near constant levels.

  17. Elmira, NY

  18. Elmira • The New York legislature established the Township of Chemung, now Chemung County, in 1788. The settlement of Newtown was soon established at the intersection of Newtown Creek and the Chemung River. In 1792, the settlement at Newtown joined with the Wisnerburg and DeWittsburg settlements to form the village of Newtown. In 1808, the village officially changed its name to the Town of Elmira, at a town meeting held at Teal's Tavern. It is said the town was named after tavern owner Nathan Teal's young daughter, but that story has never been confirmed. In any case, the City of Elmira, also called "The Queen City", was incorporated in 1864 from part of the town of Elmira and the village of Elmira.

  19. Elmira, NY FAA Identifier: ELM Lat/Long: 42-09-34.8000N / 076-53-31.3000W42-09.580000N / 076-53.521667W42.1596667 / -76.8920278(estimated) Elevation: 954 ft. / 290.8 m (surveyed) Variation: 12W (2000) From city: 6 miles NW of central business district of the associated city

  20. Elmira Observations • KELM 092353Z AUTO 19005KT 10SM CLR 14/02 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP128 T01440022 10194 • 20133 56008= • KELM 100053Z AUTO 20004KT 10SM CLR 14/02 A2989 RMK AO2 SLP126 T01390022= • KELM 100153Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM CLR 13/02 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP121 T01330022= • KELM 100253Z AUTO 21005KT 10SM BKN080 13/02 A2989 RMK AO2 SLP122 T01330022 • 55003= • KELM 100353Z AUTO 21009G16KT 10SM OVC075 13/03 A2989 RMK AO2 SLP120 T01280033= • KELM 100453Z AUTO 23009KT 10SM BKN080 13/04 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP118 T01280039 • 401941022= • KELM 100553Z AUTO 22011KT 10SM SCT090 13/05 A2986 RMK AO2 SLP110 T01280050 • 10144 20122 58009= • KELM 100653Z AUTO 20007KT 10SM SCT042 OVC090 12/06 A2986 RMK AO2 SLP109 • T01220056= • KELM 100753Z AUTO 21005KT 10SM SCT038 OVC049 13/06 A2985 RMK AO2 SLP107 • T01280061= • KELM 100853Z AUTO 20004KT 10SM SCT034 OVC055 12/07 A2983 RMK AO2 RAB16E45 • SLP101 P0000 60000 T01170072 58008=

  21. Synoptic Pattern

  22. Surface Analysis

  23. Radar

  24. Verifications

  25. Standings for Elmira

  26. COMPARE

  27. Elmira – Lessons Learned • Fronts moving through in the middle of the night have limited or no convection, in spite of an unseasonably mild air mass preceding it. Also moisture is needed in the 500-700hPa layer to make precipitation.

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