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Michael Erickson’s Super Awesome Expert* 2013-2014 Winter Forecast**

A REVIEW***. Michael Erickson’s Super Awesome Expert* 2013-2014 Winter Forecast**. *Michael Erickson is not a super awesome expert **By no means can this be called a “forecast ” ***This probably shouldn’t be considered a review. Surface Temperature Anomaly. 500 hPa Height Anomaly.

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Michael Erickson’s Super Awesome Expert* 2013-2014 Winter Forecast**

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  1. A REVIEW*** Michael Erickson’s Super Awesome Expert* 2013-2014 Winter Forecast** *Michael Erickson is not a super awesome expert **By no means can this be called a “forecast” ***This probably shouldn’t be considered a review

  2. Surface Temperature Anomaly 500 hPa Height Anomaly ENSO Neutral Conditions (whole winter)

  3. Surface Temperature Anomaly 500 hPa Height Anomaly QBO (Positive but dropping)

  4. Surface Temperature Anomaly 500 hPa Height Anomaly AMO (Positive)

  5. Surface Temperature Anomaly 500 hPa Height Anomaly PDO (Negative)

  6. Surface Temperature Anomaly 500 hPa Height Anomaly Preferred Years from all Composites

  7. There is no signal. • Compositing is a tricky game, maybe I could find a signal by compositing conditional on something else. The trick is keeping that conditional requirement logical. • There is no signal. Conclusions

  8. What Happened

  9. What Happened

  10. Day by Day

  11. Day by Day

  12. Dominant “Modes” EOF Stuff

  13. How about that storm last week, huh?

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