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What’s Hot and What’s Not? Changes in development thinking in the last 5 years

What’s Hot and What’s Not? Changes in development thinking in the last 5 years. Duncan Green 2013. Book image. Global Financial Crisis. Global Food Price Spikes. The Arab Spring. Climate Chaos. 4 Trends in how we think about Development. Changing understanding of Poverty

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What’s Hot and What’s Not? Changes in development thinking in the last 5 years

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  1. What’s Hot and What’s Not?Changes in development thinking in the last 5 years Duncan Green 2013

  2. Book image

  3. Global Financial Crisis

  4. Global Food Price Spikes

  5. The Arab Spring

  6. Climate Chaos

  7. 4 Trends in how we think about Development • Changing understanding of Poverty • Rising importance of Inequality • Working in Complex Systems • Power and Theories of Change

  8. What is Poverty?

  9. Poverty and volatility

  10. Implications for Aid & Development Agencies • Change your metrics • Tackling hard core chronic poverty – disabled, elderly, remote – needs different policies • Smoothing/avoiding/coping with Volatility is more important than we thought • Resilience = the new fuzzword • Care economy (food price spike, financial crisis)

  11. Inequality

  12. Globally, it’s the 2%

  13. G20 doing badly

  14. LICs doing better (on average)

  15. ‘The Palma’ v Gini: Birth of an Index? • Ratio of income of top 10% to bottom 40% • Falling v Rising Palma index • X3 in reducing hunger and extreme poverty • X2 in progress on access to improved water • +30% in progress on U5MR • Worth pursuing?

  16. Implications for Aid & Development Agencies • Gini or Palma? • Relationships, power and politics • Taxation/Domestic Resource Mobilization • Identify and target ratchet mechanisms (hyperinflation, volatility, financial exclusion) • V tricky politics, esp for official agencies

  17. Complex Systems v causal chains

  18. Implications for Aid & Development Agencies • ‘Whole of society’ interventions • Fast feedback and realtime data • Multiple experiments and rapid evolution • Measurement and Results for grown ups • Rules of thumb, not best practice & toolkits • Who to employ? Searchers not planners

  19. The power and change cycle Power Analysis Change Hypothesis Monitor, Learn, Adapt Select Change Strategies

  20. “In telling us what can be achieved by ordinary people through organised action, this book generates hope even as it enhances understanding of what is involved in the removal of poverty.” Amartya Sen

  21. But blogging is more fun....

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