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WP3: Fixing RES-H/C targets. Lukas Kranzl, Andreas Müller RES-H Policy Kick-off, October 2008. WP3 - objective. Determine options for 2020/2030 RES-H/C targets and their trajectories in the seven target countries/regions.

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WP3: Fixing RES-H/C targets

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Wp3 fixing res h c targets

WP3: Fixing RES-H/C targets

Lukas Kranzl, Andreas Müller

RES-H Policy Kick-off, October 2008


Wp3 fixing res h c targets

WP3 - objective

  • Determine options for 2020/2030 RES-H/C targets and their trajectories in the seven target countries/regions.

  • Involve national stakeholder and in particular policy makers in that process

  • Split up the target into different energy sources, technologies and sectors

  • Assist member states in setting up sector-specific targets in the national action plans.


Wp3 fixing res h c targets

Target countries

  • GR

  • LT

  • NL

  • PL

  • UK

  • AT (Upper-Austria, Styria/national level?)


Wp3 fixing res h c targets

Task overview

  • 3.1. Analysis of existing RES-H/C scenarios and potentials

  • 3.2. Top-down assessment of RES-H/C targets

  • 3.3. Bottom-up approach to determine RES-H/C targets

  • 3.4. Production of target reports

  • 3.5. Stakeholder dialogue


Timetable

Timetable


Wp3 fixing res h c targets

Deliverables / Output

  • Target report for each region (~ 50 pages each, national language and english)Month 10 (July 2009)

  • Synthesis report of consultation process for each region (~10 pages each, national language and english)Month 9 (June 2009)

  • Documentation of the consultation workshops (~5 pages each, national language and english)Month 10 (July 2009)


Wp3 fixing res h c targets

Task 3.1 existing scenarios and potentials

  • Review of regional / national / European studies

  • Output: Dataset to assess possible RES-H/C market developments (BAU/policy scenarios?)


Task 3 1 existing scenarios and potentials

Task 3.1 existing scenarios and potentials

  • Basic Structure for literature/scenario review:

    Time series for various scenarios and/or potentials:

    • RES-H/C generation by energy sources (biomass, solar, geothermal, ambient heat)

    • RES-H/C generation by sectors (residential (single dwelling, multiple dwelling, …), service sector, public buildings, industry, …)

    • RES-H/C generation by technologies (type of biomass boilers, type of solar collectors …)

    • Energy demand and efficiency improvements (building insulation), if available

    • Documentation of assumptions, methodology, background data


Task 3 1 next steps

Task 3.1 next steps

  • Each partner from target regions provides a list of relevant regional / national / (European) literature and scenarios with a few words describing the content (14 November 08)

  • EEG (together with ISI) provides consolidated list and first draft of data structure (28 November 08)

  • Each partner fills in scenario data into data structure (16 January 09)

  • Documentation of literature / scenario review for the target report (each partner, end of January 09)

  • All partners comment on the outcomes of task 3.1 (end of February 09)


Task 3 2 top down

Task 3.2 top-down

  • Idea: in Task 3.1. different studies with different methodologies are the basis for the analysis. In this task: common methodology from a single model.

  • Green-X model runs include scenarios for RES-H/C in each member state until 2020.

  • Use previous model runs of Green-X to get reference scenarios for RES-H/C development.


Task 3 2 next steps

Task 3.2 next steps

  • Preparation and documentation of Green-X results (EEG, ISI, February 09)

  • Discussion with partners (March 09)


Task 3 3 bottom up

Task 3.3 bottom-up

  • Solar thermal:

    • Available roof area

    • Solar radiation data

    • Achievable solar fractions for different applications

  • Biomass:

    • Available biomass potentials (e.g. EEA 2006)

    • Penetration rates in different types of buildings and applications

  • Heat pumps:

    • Buildings with good thermal quality and low temperature heating systems

    • Number of those buildings (currently and dynamic)

    • (Large scale industrial heat pumps: penetration rates)


Task 3 3 bottom up1

Task 3.3 bottom-up

  • For buildings: integration of the results in the simulation tool INVERT

  • For industrial processes: ECN- RES-HC model


Task 3 3 next steps

Task 3.3 next steps

  • Structure for regional/national data requirement (EEG, (ISI), 28 November 08) (ECN???)

  • Data collection (each target region partner, January 09)

  • Integration of regional data into models INVERT and RES-HC model (EEG, (ISI), ECN, March 09)

  • Result documentation (EEG, (ISI), ECN, April 09)


Task 3 4 target reports

Task 3.4 target reports

  • Draft report: Synthesis of literature/scenario review (3.1), top-down (3.2) and bottom-up (3.3)

  • Final report include outcomes of the stakeholder dialogue

  • Target reports include technology and sector specific targets


Task 3 4 next steps

Task 3.4 next steps

  • Draft target report structure (EEG, November 08)

  • Draft target report (all target country / region partners, April 09)

  • Comments of all partners on draft target reports (May 09)

  • Final target reports (all target country / region partners, July 09)


Task 3 5 stakeholder dialogue

Task 3.5 stakeholder dialogue

  • Stakeholder consultation: input / comments on findings of tasks 3.1, 3.2, 3.3 and draft target report (web-based questionnaire)

  • Consultation workshops in each target region: reports on the consultation and the draft reports will be circulated at least 14 days before the workshop

  • Target groups:

    • Policy makers (including representatives of national action plans for RES-directive)

    • Energy agencies

    • Companies / associations representing RES-H/C technologies

    • Researchers


Task 3 5 next steps

Task 3.5 next steps

  • Stakeholder information (all partners November 08)

  • Preparation of questionnaire

    • Draft structure: EEG, March 09

    • Web implementation: OEKO?, Mid of April 09

    • Regional specification: each target region partner, End of April 09

  • Consultation process: each target region partner, May 09

  • Synthesis report of consultation: each target region partner, Mid of June 09

  • Consultation workshops: each target region partner, June 09 (July 09)


Wp3 fixing res h c targets

Timetable


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