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WP3: Fixing RES-H/C targets. Lukas Kranzl, Andreas Müller RES-H Policy Kick-off, October 2008. WP3 - objective. Determine options for 2020/2030 RES-H/C targets and their trajectories in the seven target countries/regions.

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slide1

WP3: Fixing RES-H/C targets

Lukas Kranzl, Andreas Müller

RES-H Policy Kick-off, October 2008

slide2

WP3 - objective

  • Determine options for 2020/2030 RES-H/C targets and their trajectories in the seven target countries/regions.
  • Involve national stakeholder and in particular policy makers in that process
  • Split up the target into different energy sources, technologies and sectors
  • Assist member states in setting up sector-specific targets in the national action plans.
slide3

Target countries

  • GR
  • LT
  • NL
  • PL
  • UK
  • AT (Upper-Austria, Styria/national level?)
slide4

Task overview

  • 3.1. Analysis of existing RES-H/C scenarios and potentials
  • 3.2. Top-down assessment of RES-H/C targets
  • 3.3. Bottom-up approach to determine RES-H/C targets
  • 3.4. Production of target reports
  • 3.5. Stakeholder dialogue
slide6

Deliverables / Output

  • Target report for each region (~ 50 pages each, national language and english)Month 10 (July 2009)
  • Synthesis report of consultation process for each region (~10 pages each, national language and english)Month 9 (June 2009)
  • Documentation of the consultation workshops (~5 pages each, national language and english)Month 10 (July 2009)
slide7

Task 3.1 existing scenarios and potentials

  • Review of regional / national / European studies
  • Output: Dataset to assess possible RES-H/C market developments (BAU/policy scenarios?)
task 3 1 existing scenarios and potentials
Task 3.1 existing scenarios and potentials
  • Basic Structure for literature/scenario review:

Time series for various scenarios and/or potentials:

    • RES-H/C generation by energy sources (biomass, solar, geothermal, ambient heat)
    • RES-H/C generation by sectors (residential (single dwelling, multiple dwelling, …), service sector, public buildings, industry, …)
    • RES-H/C generation by technologies (type of biomass boilers, type of solar collectors …)
    • Energy demand and efficiency improvements (building insulation), if available
    • Documentation of assumptions, methodology, background data
task 3 1 next steps
Task 3.1 next steps
  • Each partner from target regions provides a list of relevant regional / national / (European) literature and scenarios with a few words describing the content (14 November 08)
  • EEG (together with ISI) provides consolidated list and first draft of data structure (28 November 08)
  • Each partner fills in scenario data into data structure (16 January 09)
  • Documentation of literature / scenario review for the target report (each partner, end of January 09)
  • All partners comment on the outcomes of task 3.1 (end of February 09)
task 3 2 top down
Task 3.2 top-down
  • Idea: in Task 3.1. different studies with different methodologies are the basis for the analysis. In this task: common methodology from a single model.
  • Green-X model runs include scenarios for RES-H/C in each member state until 2020.
  • Use previous model runs of Green-X to get reference scenarios for RES-H/C development.
task 3 2 next steps
Task 3.2 next steps
  • Preparation and documentation of Green-X results (EEG, ISI, February 09)
  • Discussion with partners (March 09)
task 3 3 bottom up
Task 3.3 bottom-up
  • Solar thermal:
    • Available roof area
    • Solar radiation data
    • Achievable solar fractions for different applications
  • Biomass:
    • Available biomass potentials (e.g. EEA 2006)
    • Penetration rates in different types of buildings and applications
  • Heat pumps:
    • Buildings with good thermal quality and low temperature heating systems
    • Number of those buildings (currently and dynamic)
    • (Large scale industrial heat pumps: penetration rates)
task 3 3 bottom up1
Task 3.3 bottom-up
  • For buildings: integration of the results in the simulation tool INVERT
  • For industrial processes: ECN- RES-HC model
task 3 3 next steps
Task 3.3 next steps
  • Structure for regional/national data requirement (EEG, (ISI), 28 November 08) (ECN???)
  • Data collection (each target region partner, January 09)
  • Integration of regional data into models INVERT and RES-HC model (EEG, (ISI), ECN, March 09)
  • Result documentation (EEG, (ISI), ECN, April 09)
task 3 4 target reports
Task 3.4 target reports
  • Draft report: Synthesis of literature/scenario review (3.1), top-down (3.2) and bottom-up (3.3)
  • Final report include outcomes of the stakeholder dialogue
  • Target reports include technology and sector specific targets
task 3 4 next steps
Task 3.4 next steps
  • Draft target report structure (EEG, November 08)
  • Draft target report (all target country / region partners, April 09)
  • Comments of all partners on draft target reports (May 09)
  • Final target reports (all target country / region partners, July 09)
task 3 5 stakeholder dialogue
Task 3.5 stakeholder dialogue
  • Stakeholder consultation: input / comments on findings of tasks 3.1, 3.2, 3.3 and draft target report (web-based questionnaire)
  • Consultation workshops in each target region: reports on the consultation and the draft reports will be circulated at least 14 days before the workshop
  • Target groups:
    • Policy makers (including representatives of national action plans for RES-directive)
    • Energy agencies
    • Companies / associations representing RES-H/C technologies
    • Researchers
task 3 5 next steps
Task 3.5 next steps
  • Stakeholder information (all partners November 08)
  • Preparation of questionnaire
    • Draft structure: EEG, March 09
    • Web implementation: OEKO?, Mid of April 09
    • Regional specification: each target region partner, End of April 09
  • Consultation process: each target region partner, May 09
  • Synthesis report of consultation: each target region partner, Mid of June 09
  • Consultation workshops: each target region partner, June 09 (July 09)
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