GEOSHARE: Thoughts on Institutional Design

1. GEOSHARE:Thoughts on Institutional Design David I Gustafson, Ph.D. Director, CIMSANS dgustafson@ilsi.org +1-314-409-7123 ILSI Research Foundation 10 September 2014

2. Outline • What is CIMSANS? • What are the key beneficial uses of GEOSHARE? • What institutional design will maximize those benefits?

3. Climate Change Impacts on Food Systems Have Become Front Page News

4. Increases in Frequency and Intensity of Extreme Weather Events Pakistan (2010) Texas (2011) Govindghat, India (2013) Tacloban, Philippines (2013) Super Storm Sandy (US East Coast 2012) Floods Drought Heat waves Wind-storms Severe t-storms Tropical cyclones

5. Third US National Climate Assessment: Innovation in Agriculture is Essential Global Average Temperatures Emissions Scenarios Current trajectory Impact of immediate mitigation

6. Annual Rates of Yield Increases for Food Crops Vary with Technology Investment Rate Needed to Double Yields by 2050 Impact of Reducing Food Wastage by 30% Global rates of yield gain (1961-2011), based on data available from FAOSTAT 6

7. The Central Problem How can we manage food systems to improve global nutrition security in a more informed, collaborative, and sustainable manner? ILSI Research Foundation will foster scientific collaboration, new research, and data mining by leveraging a broader array of “tri-partite” scientists, resources, and partnerships

8. CIMSANS Participants (“tri-partite”) Academia Governments, etc. Private Sector

9. CIMSANS: Current Status • CIMSANS Advisory Council named, first met in October 2013 • Mark Rosegrant (IFPRI) – Chair; SwapanDatta (ICAR); Mark Howden (CSIRO); James Jones (U Florida); Josette Lewis (UC Davis); Marilia Nutti (EMPRAPA); Anne Roulin (Nestlé) • Publications (three) appeared in peer-reviewed literature • Successful meetings hosted and more are in planning • Rome/FAO (Oct-2012); Dublin (Apr-2013); Tällberg (June-2013); Korea (Sept-2013); India (Nov-2013); DC (July-2014); Purdue (Sept-2014) • Three Working Groups launched • Open Data WG –GEOSHARE pilot, Open Data Processing Service • Improved Modeling WG – Model Improvement Workshops • Nutrition Security WG – White Paper released in May 2014 • “Sustainable Nutrition Security” (SNS) Assessment

10. SNS Assessment • White Paper “Assessing Sustainable Nutrition Security: the Role of Food Systems” • Full version released on the CIMSANS web-site (May 2014) • An abridged version has been submitted to a peer-reviewed scientific journal (Global Food Security) • Implementation of 3-year assessment work-plan • Announced (on July 29) a new partnership with AgMIP, IFPRI and others to conduct a first-of-its-kind “Sustainable Nutrition Security” (SNS) assessment • Seven novel SNS metrics • Includes all important staple and non-staple foods • Working with USGCRP to have this become a Special Report within the US NCA sustained assessment process

11. Potential Uses of GEOSHARE • Become a preferred Open Data Portal for endorsed, high-quality geospatial datasets • House datasets for model and module improvement • Support development of integrated assessments • Become a preferred Workflow Environment for integrated modeling and assessments • Collaborative prototyping of novel modeling approaches • Delivery of “interactive assessments” to stakeholders

12. Maximizing the Benefits of GEOSHARE Through Intentional Institutional Design • Credibility and impact of assessments based on GEOSHARE-sourced data will be maximized via broad stakeholder engagement & endorsement • Consider expanding the Advisory Board to include additional kinds of organizations • e-NGO’s (e.g. WWF) • Regional organizations (e.g. ASARECA) • Decision-makers • Others?