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“SMALL TOWNS FOR TOMORROW” Launch Conference Thursday 8 July 2010 The British Academy London

“SMALL TOWNS FOR TOMORROW” Launch Conference Thursday 8 July 2010 The British Academy London. A NEW GEOGRAPHY OF ENGLAND Where do the small towns fit?. Professor Sir Peter Hall Small Towns for Tomorrow Launch Conference British Academy, London Thursday 8 July 2010.

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“SMALL TOWNS FOR TOMORROW” Launch Conference Thursday 8 July 2010 The British Academy London

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  1. “SMALL TOWNS FOR TOMORROW” Launch Conference Thursday 8 July 2010 The British Academy London

  2. A NEW GEOGRAPHY OF ENGLANDWhere do the small towns fit? Professor Sir Peter Hall Small Towns for Tomorrow Launch Conference British Academy, London Thursday 8 July 2010

  3. A New Geography of England • Regional split (N/S) remains • Driver: shift manufacturing> knowledge economy • Plus: Geog of consumption • But new splits: • (1) Core Cities v. rest • (2) Core City Cores/Core City remainders/old industrial towns/country towns • Dorling 2007: Diagonal divide?

  4. The Continuing N-S Gap • Regional Futures (Arup 2005) • GVA/head gap persists - because • North poor in private services • North dependent on public services • Maps: Golden Belt versus Rustbelt (“Archipelago Economy”)

  5. The Continuing N-S Gap • State of the Cities 2006 • N-S Split • New firms fewer in N • GVA/head lower, poverty higher • But: Core Cities special • Old industrial towns/resorts at bottom of heap • Getting worse?

  6. The Continuing N-S Gap

  7. Knowledge Jobs Source: Jones et al 2008

  8. Knowledge Jobs Source: Jones et al 2008

  9. Population Projections 2007: Summary • UK population: sharp increase: 60.6m (2006) > 71.1m (2031): +10.5m (+19.1%) • Huge increase on 2004 projection (+6.1m, +10.2%) • 5.6m (53.3% total) natural increase • 4.9m (46.7% total) net migration • Differences within UK: Scotland: +5.0%; Wales: +11.1% Northern Ireland:+14.8% (decline forecast 2004!) • Under 16s +1.24m (+10.8%); Working Age +5.69m (+15.1%); Pensioners +3.58m (+31.6%) • Support ratio down: 3.32 > 2.91

  10. Cities have lost population…

  11. …except for “Studentification”

  12. …but a N-S contrast Source: Tony Champion, Unpublished Presentation, 2006

  13. Ageing of the Population

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