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Making the Green Deal work for Scotland

Making the Green Deal work for Scotland. Dan Barlow WWF Scotland. Key Points. Imperative Upgrade challenge Finance Realising the Green Deal potential Supporting measures. Scotland’s Climate Emissions. Scotland’s Climate/Energy Targets. Climate Change (Scotland) Act: - 42% 2020

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Making the Green Deal work for Scotland

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  1. Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar Making the Green Deal work for Scotland Dan Barlow WWF Scotland

  2. Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar Key Points • Imperative • Upgrade challenge • Finance • Realising the Green Deal potential • Supporting measures

  3. Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar Scotland’s Climate Emissions

  4. Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar Scotland’s Climate/Energy Targets • Climate Change (Scotland) Act: • - 42% 2020 • - 80% 2050 • - RPP 36% homes 2020 • Energy Efficiency Action Plan: • - 12% cut by 2020

  5. Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar Scale of challenge

  6. Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar Scotland’s stock (EPC)

  7. Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar Cumulative installations – cavity wall

  8. Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar Cumulative installations – solid wall

  9. Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar Scale of measures required (indicative) - Scotland • Measure Potential 42% • (%) • Cavity Wall Insulation 0.6m 100 • Loft Insulation/top up 1.5m 100 • Solid wall insulation 0.5m 44 • (internal or external) • Boiler upgrade 1.5m 100 • Solar water heating 1.8m 62 • Air source heat pump 0.3m 15

  10. Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar Investment: mind the gap… • Cost:2020 pa • Conserve & Save (42%) £16bn £1.6bn • RPP (36%) • BAU/current policies £6.2bn £9.1bn? £800m • + post-CERT estimated £2.9bn (to 2022) • WWF (EST) all E, F & G to D (70% of RPP) £2.45 bn £275m • Funding mechanisms: • ECO £120m • Government (e.g EAP/UHIS) £65m • Green Deal…loans…RHI??? ???

  11. Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar Cost/benefit • Avg £270 – 40% F&G to E • Avg £3,000 – 75% E, F%G to D • Payback – less than 5 years

  12. Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar Realising the Green Deal potential (I) • Finance • Interest rates vs take up • Level of ECO funding/harder to treat • Government financial incentives to support take up • Loft & cavity take up • Green Deal ambition rates low • ECO exclusion – transition phase?

  13. Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar Realising the Green Deal potential (II) • Integration/effective models • Area based approach • Integrating ECO/FIT/GD e.g. Birmingham/Newcastle • Tenements/mixed stock • Making it work for local installers/rural • Certification • Golden Rule

  14. Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar Wider context • National Retrofit Programme • Additional incentives to support take up (e.g council tax rebates) • Minimum standards of energy performance • Government funding (e.g EAP/UHIS)

  15. Existing Homes Alliance Scotland - Green Deal Seminar Conclusion • Lets get this right… • - Climate • - Health/fuel poverty • Jobs/economy • Vision of green, warm, fuel-poverty proof housing by 2020

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