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Data Analysis

Data Analysis . Carlos R. Charneco Kintu Nnambi Andrew Harvey. Demographics. Civilian Labor Force Labor Market Information Census Data: www.census.gov Participant File Local or State Reports . Civilian Labor Force . EO Profile. Gender Race Persons with Disabilities National Origin

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Data Analysis

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  1. Data Analysis Carlos R. Charneco Kintu Nnambi Andrew Harvey

  2. Demographics • Civilian Labor Force • Labor Market Information • Census Data: www.census.gov • Participant File • Local or State Reports

  3. Civilian Labor Force

  4. EO Profile • Gender • Race • Persons with Disabilities • National Origin • Age

  5. Enrollees or Applicants

  6. Registered Applicants Program Year 2007

  7. The local office referred a total of 5,380 individual applicants during the program year ending 2007. The total number of referrals which include multiple referrals for individuals was 14,947. During the program year ending 2007 the greatest individual referral rate for this office was received by African American Female applicants (86.0) followed by African American Male applicants (75.2) and Hispanic Male applicants (73.2). Hispanic Female applicants reported a 69.0% referral rate, while White Female applicants received a low number of individual referral rate (64.4).

  8. STATISTICAL REVIEW • Registrations • Applicant Characteristics • Applicant Skills • Services/Job Referrals • Entered Employment • Wages • WIA Services

  9. 80% Rule • 80% Rule • Measures the difference between the success of the most favored group and each other group. • Expresses differences as a percent (%).

  10. Example of 80% Rule • GROUP Referral Rate PY 2007 • White Male 71.8 - Benchmark Group (71.8 X .80) = 57.44 • White Female 56.5* - Disproportionately low • African Amer. Male 60.2 – Within .80% • African Amer. Female 55.0* - Disproportionately low • Hispanic Male 58.2 - Within .80% • Hispanic Female 57.0* - Disproportionately low

  11. PLACEMENT RATE • Out of 100 White applicants, 40 are hired. • .4 OR 40% • Out of 50 Black applicants, 15 are hired. • .3 OR 30% • Out of 25 Hispanic applicants, 5 are hired. • .2 OR 20%

  12. APPLYING 80% RULE • Black acceptance rate/White acceptance rate = .3/.4 = .75 or 75% • Hispanic acceptance rate/White acceptance rate = .2/.4 = .5 or 50%

  13. ADVANTAGES • The 80% Rule has one great advantage over tests of statistical significance such as standard deviation- it is much simpler. Unlike tests of statistical significance, there is only one formula and it is always used the same way.

  14. There are some disadvantages. • First it is imprecise. The 80% Rule always allows for a 20% variance between the most favored rate and the rate of others to which this rate is compared, regardless of the number of individuals in the total pool. • In other words, the 80% Rule is insensitive to numbers. When there are few individuals in the total pool, a difference of 20% between groups may not be statistically significant.

  15. UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE • NUMBER OF CLAIMS ALLOWED • TOTAL NUMBER OF CLAIMS FILED • RATE OF CLAIMSALLOWED • 200 CLAIMANTS ALLOWED • 1000 TOTAL NUMBER THAT APPLIED. • EQUAL .20 ALLOW RATE

  16. RATES • TOTAL NUMBER OF REFERRALS OVER TOTAL NUMBER OF APPLICANTS • 100 REFERRRALS • 1000 APPLICANTS • = REFERAL RATE OF .10 OR 10%

  17. Standard Deviation • Standard Deviation: • The standard deviation is a measurement of how spread out your data is. • Measures the difference between what is observed and what is expected. • Expresses’ differences in units (deviations) from what is expected. • Sensitive to numbers.

  18. Example Standard Deviation

  19. JOB ORDERS • Average Wages • Skills • Education

  20. Reports • State Reports - 9002 • DART - Data Analysis Reporting Tool • In House Reports • WIA REPORTS

  21. SAMPLING • Job Orders • Discrimination Remarks • Referral Patterns • Registrations • Correct Characteristics • Listed Skills

  22. SUMMARY ANALYSIS • Applicant Groups With Disproportionate • Low Job Referral Rates • Low Entered Employment Rates • Low Wages • Unemployment Success Rate • WIA Services Success Rate

  23. Contact • Carlos.Charneco@illinois.gov • Kintu Nnambi (KNnambi@ESD.WA.GOV) • harvey.andrews@iwd.IOWA.gov

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