Louisiana’s Comprehensive Master Plan for a Sustainable Coast: 2012 Update

1. Governor’s Advisory Commission on Coastal Protection and Restoration Kirk Rhinehart - OCPR Louisiana’s Comprehensive Master Plan for a Sustainable Coast: 2012 Update January 6, 2011

2. Overview of 2012 Master Plan Update

3. Coastal Louisiana is Facing a Crisis

4. Builds on Other Efforts

5. Uses Original 2007 Master Plan Science-based Objectives as Foundation • Reduce economic losses from storm-based flooding • Promote a sustainable coastal ecosystem by harnessing natural system processes • Provide habitats suitable to support an array of commercial and recreational activities coast-wide • Sustain Louisiana’s unique heritage and culture

6. More than Concepts and Broad Strategies – An Implementation Plan with Expected Outcomes

7. Elements of 2012 Master Plan with Building Blocks for Other Efforts

8. Key Components of 2012 Update • Specific & Realistic Goals & Objectives • Prioritized Project List • Map showing the selected projects and what they provide: • Levels of protection • Levels of ecosystem services across the coast • Extent and character of future landscape • Detailed Implementation plan with: • Schedule, Costs, Expected sources of funding • An Adaptive Management plan to guide implementation

9. Project Team & Collaborative Effort

10. Master Plan Delivery Team

11. Review and Coordination CPRA Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority Master Plan Delivery Team Prioritization Tool Technical Advisory Committee Cultural Heritage Technical Advisory Committee Project Effects Models Technical Advisory Committee

12. Technical Advisory Committee Members Project-Effects Models • Steve Ashby, USACE Eng. Res. Dev. Center • John Callaway, University of San Francisco • Fred Sklar, South Florida Water Mgmt. District • Si Simenstad, University of Washington Prioritization Tool TAC • John Boland, John Hopkins • Ben Hobbs, John Hopkins • Len Shabman, Virginia Tech Cultural Heritage TAC • Don Davis, Louisiana State University • Carl Brasseaux, University of Louisiana Lafayette • Maida Owens, LA Dept. of Cultural, Recreation, Tourism

13. Review and Coordination CPRA Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority Master Plan Delivery Team Prioritization Tool Technical Advisory Committee Cultural Heritage Technical Advisory Committee Project Effects Models Technical Advisory Committee Modeling Workgroups

14. Project - Effects Models Team Members Over 60 Team Members, Support Staff, and Technical Advisory Committee Members

15. Review and Coordination CPRA Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority Science & Engineering Board (MP-SEB) Master Plan Delivery Team Prioritization Tool Technical Advisory Committee Cultural Heritage Technical Advisory Committee Project Effects Models Technical Advisory Committee Modeling Workgroups

16. National Science and Engineering Board -Independent Technical Review Ecosystem Science / Coastal Ecology • William Dennison, University of Maryland • Mark Brinson, East Carolina University • Ed Houde, University of Maryland Engineering • Robert Dalrymple, Johns Hopkins University • JosDijkman, Deltares Geosciences • Charles Groat, University of Texas at Austin Social Science and Risk • Greg Baecher, University of Maryland • Philip Berke, University of North Carolina – Chapel Hill Climate Change • Virginia Burkett, U.S. Geological Survey

17. Review and Coordination CPRA Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority Science & Engineering Board (MP-SEB) Master Plan Delivery Team Prioritization Tool Technical Advisory Committee Cultural Heritage Technical Advisory Committee Framework Development Team (FDT) Project Effects Models Technical Advisory Committee Modeling Workgroups Stakeholders

18. Framework Development Team-Over 30 Federal, State, NGO, Academic, Community, and Industry Organizations

19. Communication & Outreach Elements of Framework Development Team • Framework Development Team as Key Consultative Group • Represent broad range of interests • Ports and Navigation • Fisheries and Restoration • Oil and Gas • Focal point for communications • Local Outreach • Political and PR Strategies • Coastal Louisiana Website

20. Review and Coordination CPRA Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority Gulf Recovery Plan Other Federal Programs Science & Engineering Board (MP-SEB) Master Plan Delivery Team Prioritization Tool Technical Advisory Committee Cultural Heritage Technical Advisory Committee Framework Development Team (FDT) Project Effects Models Technical Advisory Committee Modeling Workgroups Stakeholders

21. Restoration and ProtectionVision

22. Why a Vision? • Realistic expectations for protection and restoration • What we want to achieve not what we want to do • Confront trade-offs upfront • Provide an expectation of future conditions

23. Preliminary Vision – Key Aspects • Support of navigation and commercial activities • Protection for major population centers, strategic assets, and historic properties at varying levels • A coastwide emphasis on non-structural protection, especially in outlying communities • Maximum use of river resources and natural processes, and management of estuarine gradients to provide ecosystem services • Strategic use of dredging/placement of sediment to bolster ‘skeleton’ of the system

24. Unless We Act, the Future is Bleak

25. Vision – Strategic Assets

26. Incorporation of Ports and Navigation into Master Plan Process • Approach – • Identify ports of national significance as strategic assets to be protected • Account for effects of protection and restoration projects on navigation and ports • Coordinate with the USACE, DOTD and navigation interests to integrate coastwide port and navigation strategy and targets in future Coastal Louisiana Master Planning

27. Levels of Protection >100-Year Level of Protection 100-Year Level of Protection 50-Year Level of Protection 25-Year Level of Protection ` No Additional Protection Provided Both Structural and Non-structural

28. Restoration Vision: Ecosystem Services Agricultural/aquaculture production Freshwater-dependent services Shrimp harvest Oyster harvest Saltwater fisheries harvest Carbon/nutrient uptake Surge/wave attenuation Shoreline recreation Ecotourism

29. Prioritization Tool

30. Planning Framework Guides Investments Towards a Sustainable Future A sustainable future Future without action ? • Severe land loss • Increasing hurricane flood risk • Loss of ecosystem services • Loss of cultural heritage • Reactive expenditures • Sustainable coastline & ecosystems • Resilient communities and assets • Long-term cost savings through strategic investments How do we get there? What should we do now? How can we adapt to evolving uncertainties and improved information? What tradeoffs remain?

31. Prioritization Process Key Steps: • Define a future vision for the coast • Estimate individual project effects on the coast • Compare individual projects • Construct feasible project portfolios • Select robust project portfolios • Consider trade-offs among robust portfolios • Define implementation strategy • Examine expected outcomes

32. 2012 Master Plan Outputs • Maps showing ranges of Master Plan outcomes • Levels of flood protection • Levels of ecosystem services • Extent and character of landscape • An adaptive management plan to guide implementation • Maps of near-term projects • Maps of potential future project • Schedule • Costs • Expected sources of funding

33. Any Questions?