Orienting Ourselves in Free Fall
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Orienting Ourselves in Free Fall. “In fifty years there will be only ten institutions in the world delivering higher education. “ Udacity has a shot at being one of them.” Wired Magazine March 20, 2012. diffusion of light.wordpress.com. Shai Reshef University of the People.

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Orienting Ourselves in Free Fall

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Orienting ourselves in free fall

Orienting Ourselves in Free Fall


Orienting ourselves in free fall

“In fifty years there will be only ten institutions in the world delivering higher education.

“Udacity has a shot at being one of them.”

Wired Magazine

March 20, 2012

diffusionoflight.wordpress.com

ShaiReshef

University of the People

Claudio Sanchez

NPR

“We’re under attack from all sides.”

“So get ready for enormous change.”

Sebastian Thrun


Orienting ourselves in free fall

what we teach

whom we teach

what we teach

how we fund


Orienting ourselves in free fall

what we teach

law

medicine

theology

law

medicine

theology

Jobs have become more

intellectually demanding.

agriculture

business

engineering

teaching

agriculture

business

engineering

teaching

much more

much more


Orienting ourselves in free fall

what we teach

portion of U.S. jobs requiring at least a two-year degree

2018

45%

Source: Georgetown Center on Education

and the Workforce

coordination

complexity

rising expectations of employers

“Organizations are looking for employees to use a broader set of skills and have higher levels of learning and knowledge than in the past.”

“Organizations are looking for employees to use a broader set of skills and have higher levels of learning and knowledge than in the past.”

“Organizations are looking for employees to use a broader set of skills and have higher levels of learning and knowledge than in the past.”

1973

28%

1973

28%

Jobs have become more

intellectually demanding.

89%

Source: Raising the Bar, Hart Research Associates


Orienting ourselves in free fall

what we teach

wage premium for skilled labor

81%

78%

66%

59%

49%

48%

37%

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010


Orienting ourselves in free fall

whom we teach

what we teach

relative change in supply and demand since 1970

wage premium for skilled labor

demand

2%

average annual growth

1.5%

average annual growth

Claudia Goldin

Lawrence Katz

Harvard University

81%

81%

89%

wage premium for skilled labor


Orienting ourselves in free fall

whom we teach

enrollment rates of 18- to 24-year-olds in degree-granting institutions

1970

top 26%

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

2009

top 41%

enrollment by Hispanics, African-Americans, and Asians:

15%

19%

34%

1990

2009

1976

enrollment by students eligible for financial aid:

30%

46%

66%

2009

1976

1990


Orienting ourselves in free fall

whom we teach

John Hammang

AASCU

San Diego State

“There is no one ‘magic bullet’ that guarantees success.

“Success instead means aligning people and programs, and making a collective commitment to be in it for the long haul.”

“It’s in the water.

And getting it there is a lot of hard work.”

Cal State Long Beach

CSU, Chico


Orienting ourselves in free fall

what we teach

whom we teach

how we fund

what we teach

whom we teach

(harder)

(harder)

how we fund

how we fund


Orienting ourselves in free fall

how we fund

increasing cost for public students

percent of revenue supported by tuition

43.15%

public appropriation per FTE

23.18%

tuition and fees per FTE

increasing cost for public students

Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers


Orienting ourselves in free fall

how we fund

- higher than previously estimated

- increases caused by:

- rising tuition

- delayed entry into weak job market

- higher interest rates as defaults rise

- could slow housing recovery

increasing debt for all students

increasing cost for public students

Source: Consumer Financial Protection Bureau


Orienting ourselves in free fall

how we fund

structural constraints

2009 median expenditures per FTE per institution

Source: Delta Cost Project

“The public simply will not continue to provide billions of dollars without an adequate answer to the question of what we are getting in return.”

$7,821

physical plant

debt service

employee benefits

Restructuring costs means making “permanent reductions in spending in areas that don’t contribute to performance.”

increasing debt for all students

$15,636

education and

related expenses

“The derived Education and Related Expense category is our single most important cost metric.”

Jane V. Wellman

Delta Cost Project

National Association of System Heads

Richard Vedder

Center for College Affordability

and Productivity

increasing cost for public students


Orienting ourselves in free fall

how we fund

structural constraints

“Higher education can't be a luxury. It's an economic imperative that every family in America should be able to afford.”

“Let me put colleges and universities on notice: If you can't stop tuition from going up, the funding you get from taxpayers will go down.”

State of the Union, January 24, 2012

national exasperation

increasing debt for all students

Jane V. Wellman

Delta Cost Project

National Association of System Heads

increasing cost for public students


Orienting ourselves in free fall

what we teach

whom we teach

how we fund


Orienting ourselves in free fall

sources of inflexibility


Orienting ourselves in free fall

sources of inflexibility

1. fear of falling

“Older universities represent continuity, stability, prestige, longevity, traditions, and 'reputation'.

“However, the ethos that results from these assumptions and ideas are implicitly (and sometimes even explicitly) hostile . . .”

“There are few bottom-line

measures analogous to profit

or return on investment for

assessing an institution’s

standing or establishing its competitive advantage.

“Under these conditions, the management

of image becomes particularly important.”

“There are few bottom-line

measures analogous to profit

or return on investment for

assessing an institution’s

standing or establishing its competitive advantage.

“Under these conditions, the management

of image becomes particularly important.”

Adrianna Kazar

University of Southern California

Sophia Gilliat-Ray

Cardiff University


Orienting ourselves in free fall

sources of inflexibility

3%

5%

50,000

20,000,000

1. fear of falling

24% transferred

once

67% never transferred

3. rampant automation

fall 2006 cohort

2,803,472

Source: National Student Clearinghouse Research Center

4. student mobility

2. unchecked growth


Orienting ourselves in free fall

sources of inflexibility

1. fear of falling

Unsustainable

status quo:

what we teach

whom we teach

how we fund

increasing cost for publics

increasing debt for all

structural constraints

national exasperation

sources of inflexibility:

fear of falling

unchecked growth

rampant automation

student mobility

3. rampant automation

4. student mobility

2. unchecked growth


Orienting ourselves in free fall

“For me, what is really important is here, for the first time, really, ever, we have evidence that people can store information outside of the human brain.”

Christopher Henshilwood

Institute of Human Evolution

University of the Witwatersrand

Johannesburg

Blombos Cave excavation

South Africa, 75,000 BCE


Orienting ourselves in free fall

service learning

High-Impact Practices

constants in education:

undergraduate research

store information outside of the human brain

- practical

- outcomes-oriented

- social

learning communities

service learning

undergraduate research

learning communities

- practical

- outcomes-oriented

- social


Orienting ourselves in free fall

folioCI

traditional academic records

service learning

undergraduate research

learning communities

- practical

- outcomes-oriented

- social


Orienting ourselves in free fall

folioCI

traditional academic records

0-30

30-60

60-90

90-120

F

So

J

Se

-90-120

- 60-90

- 30-60

- 0-30

service learning

undergraduate research

learning communities

- practical

- outcomes-oriented

- social


Orienting ourselves in free fall

Orienting Ourselves in Free Fall

- practical

- outcomes-oriented

- social

1. pick three convictions


Orienting ourselves in free fall

1. pick three convictions

2. condone innovation


Orienting ourselves in free fall

Orienting Ourselves in Free Fall

diffusionoflight.wordpress.com

1. pick three convictions

2. condone innovation

3. network

1. pick three convictions

2. condone innovation

3. network


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