Dr. Richard S. Eckman Applied Sciences Program NASA Langley Research Center Hampton, VA

1. NASA Science Benefiting Society:Contributions to Decision Making in the Energy Sector Dr. Richard S. Eckman Applied Sciences Program NASA Langley Research Center Hampton, VA

2. Stage Setting Questions • What is NASA’s role in energy management? • How are NASA space-borne measurements and models used to contribute to decision making in the energy sector? • How will NASA science be used to address climate change impacts in the energy sector?

3. Climate Change in the News Greenland Ice Sheet: Accelerated Flow

4. Climate Change in the News

5. Climate Change in the News

6. Stage Setting Questions • What is NASA’s role in energy management? • How are NASA space-borne measurements and models used to contribute to decision making in the energy sector? • How will NASA science be used to address climate change impacts in the energy sector?

7. NASA Applied Sciences Program • NASA partners with national organizations and Federal agencies to extend NASA Earth science research results into decision support tools to benefit U.S. and global citizens.

8. Current NASA Research Spacecraft November 16, 2004

9. NASA ResearchSpacecraft inFormulation/Development

10. Carbon Management Aviation Energy Management Air Quality Coastal Management Homeland Security Disaster Management Ecological Forecasting Water Management Invasive Species Agricultural Efficiency Applications of National Priority Public Health

11. NASA Applied Sciences Program

12. Stage Setting Questions • What is NASA’s role in energy management? • How are NASA space-borne measurements and models used to contribute to decision making in the energy sector? • How will NASA science be used to address climate change impacts in the energy sector?

13. NASA Energy Management:POWER Project • Objective: Improve the Nation’s public and private capability for integrating environmental data into sound management of energy production and energy efficiency systems. • Goals: • Establish partnerships to facilitate the integration and adaptation of NASA satellite analysis and modeling data into electric power industry Decision Support System’s (DSS) and databases. • Target such datasets for Electric Power, Renewable Energy, Energy-Efficient Building Design and Biomass Crop Development Industries • Transition operational capabilities to government and/or private sector entities.

14. POWER Historical Data for Renewable Energy Earth-Sun System Science Applied Science Outcome NASA Satellite Measurements, Analysis and Modeling Surface Meteorology and Solar Energy (SSE) Datasets And Web interface Terra Aqua SRB GMAO SSE Web Site http://eosweb.larc.nasa.gov/sse/ Over 200 solar energy and meteorology parameters averaged from 10 years of data Growing over the last 5 years to nearly 14,000 users, nearly 3.6 million hits and 700,000 data downloads

15. DSS Needs Historic Records: Renewables (RETScreen, NREL), Buildings (ASHRAE), Biomass, Utilities Near-Term Records (last 90 days): Utilities, Biomass Forecasts (day – yrs): Utilities, Renewables (NREL), Buildings (ASHRAE), Biomass NASA POWER Project: Logistical Approach NASA Input Sources Satellite-Based Retrievals and Analysis (ISCCP, SRB, CERES) Data Assimil- ation (GMAO, NOAA NCEP) POWER Integration and Algorithm Benchmarking Forecast Models (Days to Decadal): (NASA GMAO, NSIPP, NOAA)

16. NASA POWER Partnership Example:RETScreen from Natural Resources Canada Natural Resources Canada RETScreen Photo Credit: Green Mountain Power Corporation/ NRELPix RETScreen Design System (>68,000 Global Users) Solar Water Heating

17. Future Directions: Renewable Energy / Energy Efficiency • Biomass, geothermal, and hydropower • Develop closer links with sustainable buildings through relevant societies (e.g., Green Building Council, ASHRAE, AIA) • Bioenergy: Crop yield forecasting – surface solar radiation impacts, site assessment • Renewable resource forecasting: short-term to seasonal forecasting (e.g., precipitation, run-off)

18. Stage Setting Questions • What is NASA’s role in energy management? • How are NASA space-borne measurements and models used to contribute to decision making in the energy sector? • How will NASA science be used to address climate change impacts in the energy sector?

19. Future Directions:Regional Climate Impacts • Changes in typical climatological patterns and their impact on energy supply and load forecasting • Temperature, precipitation, solar energy, wind, etc. • Changes in storm frequency (event response)

20. NASA Energy ManagementConclusions and Future Plans • NASA’s Energy Management Program is aimed at transitioning improved satellite analysis and modeling information to Decision Support Systems (DSS) in the Energy sector. • Energy Management’s POWER project has already demonstrated the value of external partnerships with DSS owners in the renewable energy and energy efficiency areas. • New emphases on regional climate impacts, energy efficiency, and bioenergy are being pursued.

21. Suggested Further Reading • NASA’s Energy Management Program: Future Research Directions http://aiwg.gsfc.nasa.gov/esappdocs/evalreports/NASAEnergy.pdf http://aiwg.gsfc.nasa.gov/esappdocs/evalreports/NASAEnergy2.pdf My Personal Recommendations: • Lester Brown: Plan B 2.0, Norton & Co., 2006 • Brian Fagan: The Little Ice Age, Basic Books, 2000