'Prediction markets' presentation slideshows

Evidence-Base Practice

863 views • 69 slides

Information Markets

755 views • 61 slides

Prediction Markets: Tapping the Wisdom of Crowds

Prediction Markets: Tapping the Wisdom of Crowds. Yiling Chen Yahoo! Research February 3, 2008. Outline. Introduction to prediction markets What is a prediction market? Functions of markets Contracts and mechanisms Prediction market examples Iowa Electronic Markets

779 views • 61 slides

Prediction Markets and the Wisdom of Crowds

Prediction Markets and the Wisdom of Crowds. David Pennock , Yahoo! Research Joint with:

748 views • 54 slides

Prediction Markets and the Wisdom of Crowds

Prediction Markets and the Wisdom of Crowds. David Pennock Yahoo! Research NYC. Outline. Prediction Markets Survey What is a prediction market? Examples Some research findings The Wisdom of Crowds: A Story. Bet = Credible Opinion. Hillary Clinton will win the election.

589 views • 46 slides

Prediction Markets and the Wisdom of Crowds

Prediction Markets and the Wisdom of Crowds. David M. Pennock , Yahoo! Research Yiling Chen, Lance Fortnow, Evdokia Nikolova, Daniel Reeves. Hammers and Nails. Tool: Prediction. Application: Markets. e.g. Hammers and Nails. Tool: Markets. Application: Prediction. A Prediction Market.

616 views • 45 slides

How to Forecast an Election, and How to Win One! Countdown to Election 2012

How to Forecast an Election, and How to Win One! Countdown to Election 2012. Leighton Vaughan Williams Professor of Economics and Finance Director, Betting Research Unit Director, Political Forecasting Unit Nottingham Business School Nottingham Trent University

623 views • 39 slides

How to Forecast an Election, and How to Win One! Countdown to Election 2012

How to Forecast an Election, and How to Win One! Countdown to Election 2012. Leighton Vaughan Williams Professor of Economics and Finance Director, Betting Research Unit Director, Political Forecasting Unit Nottingham Business School Nottingham Trent University

393 views • 39 slides

Making a killing: The ethics of predicting terrorism with markets

Making a killing: The ethics of predicting terrorism with markets. Dr Dan Weijers Victoria University of Wellington. Cost of 9/11. Up to 42,000 human lives ~3,000 on 9/11 ~3,000 increased road deaths post 9/11 ~3,000 coalition soldiers in Afghanistan ~3,000 civilian deaths in Afghanistan

401 views • 29 slides

Introduction:

BUSINESS FORECASTING AND PREDICTION MARKETS POTENTIAL ON BANKING INDUSTRY IN KENYA Kimani Florence Wanjiru DR. James M. Njihia Swazz2000@gmail.com Department of Management Science School of Business University of Nairobi October 16 th 2014. Introduction:.

299 views • 25 slides

Prediction Markets and the Wisdom of the Crowds

368 views • 24 slides

337 views • 21 slides

Overview of Material: Market Design

Overview of Material: Market Design. Fall 2008. Peter Coles. pcoles <at> hbs.edu Negotiation, Organizations and Markets Unit | Harvard Business School Baker Library 439 Phone: 617.495.9819 Assistant: Rich Swartz | rswartz@hbs.edu | 617.495.6316. Paper: Assignment.

296 views • 19 slides

Who Are Singularity Experts?

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Prediction Markets at Google

352 views • 12 slides

Does Money Matter? Emile Servan-Schreiber NewsFutures, Inc

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Does Money Matter? Emile Servan-Schreiber NewsFutures, Inc

126 views • 12 slides

15.567 Economics of Information

15.567 Economics of Information. Prediction Markets Rodrigo Mazzilli | Damien Acheson | Luis Prata. Prediction Markets Purpose. Produce dynamic probabilistic predictions of future events ; Participants trade in contracts whose payoff depends on unknown future events;

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Markets, Games and Strategic Behavior

Markets, Games and Strategic Behavior. Lecturer: Todd Kaplan Wednesday 11-12 room 571. Wednesday 12-2 room 6001. Goals. For you to learn something about economics. For you to have some fun doing so. Structure. Before each lecture we will run an experiment for around an hour.

219 views • 9 slides

Prediction Markets and the Wisdom of the Crowds

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