1 / 15

Climate Adaptation – modelling water scenarios and sectoral impacts

Climate Adaptation – modelling water scenarios and sectoral impacts. Martina Flörke Center for Environmental Systems Research University of Kassel. Objectives To put in place an integrated assessment framework (IAF) To analyse a set of comprehensive scenarios

ruggiero-pender
Download Presentation

Climate Adaptation – modelling water scenarios and sectoral impacts

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Climate Adaptation – modelling water scenarios and sectoral impacts Martina Flörke Center for Environmental Systems Research University of Kassel

  2. Objectives To put in place an integrated assessment framework (IAF) To analyse a set of comprehensive scenarios To identify and assess vulnerable regions and sectors To identify and assess potential adaptation measures To involve experts and stakeholders To make results available for WISE and ACE To support policy action at the EU-level Aim of the Project

  3. Integrated Assessment Framework C. Giupponi

  4. Living with uncertainty… Basis Ensembles of hydrological simulations (SRES A1B ENSEMBLES climate input, bias-corrected) 4 socio-economic scenarios and water use projections (SCENES) Comprehensive scenarios

  5. Ensembles of hydrological output

  6. Ensembles of hydrological output

  7. Policy Rules Economy First Sustainability Eventually Fortress Europe GEO-4 IPCC A1 A2 B1 B2 SCENES SCENES scenarios K. Kok, I. Bärlund, M. Flörke

  8. Ensembles of hydrological output

  9. Projections of total water withdrawals

  10. vulnerable river basins Vulnerability Assessment

  11. Selection of adaptation measure(s)

  12. Assessment of measures

  13. Elicitation of relative weights

  14. Analyzing the results with mDSS C. Giupponie

  15. Business and Pleasure… Assessment of measures water scarcity & droughts, flooding 5 criteria for weighting (1 to 5) Discussion on usefulness and effectiveness semi-quantitative YOUR experience & knowledge is needed Why are WE here?

More Related