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The document outlines the procedures for setting and reviewing the Day Ahead Market (DAM) credit requirements parameters, mandated by Protocol Section 4.4.10. It defines critical credit parameters and "e" factors that must be evaluated annually. Last updated on July 19, 2011, the document specifies a PTP Obligation discount factor initially set at 80%, which requires annual review and approval. Additional summaries provide insights into current DAM credit parameters, historical pricing percentiles, and their impact on bids.
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DAM Credit parameters review • The “Procedures for Setting Nodal Day Ahead Market (DAM) Credit Requirements Parameters” is a document that is required per Protocol Section 4.4.10 • Defines credit parameters and “e” factors • Protocols require that this document be reviewed at least annually • This document was last updated on July 19, 2011 • In addition, Protocol section 4.4.10 (6) (d) (iv) establishes a PTP Obligation discount factor with an initial value of 80% • This value is to be reviewed by TAC and approved by the ERCOT Board at least annually CWG/MCWG Meeting
Overview • Summary of Parameters • Current Values for DAM Credit Parameters and e-factors • Summary of e – factor settings • Summary of credit consumed in the DAM • Supplement – background materials CWG/MCWG Meeting
Summary of Parameters CWG/MCWG Meeting
Current Values for DAM Credit Parameters and e-factors CWG/MCWG Meeting
Summary of e – factor settings CWG/MCWG Meeting
Summary of e – factor settings CWG/MCWG Meeting
Supplement CWG/MCWG Meeting
Percentiles • Using a percentile of historical pricing or “e” factors allows the price or “e” factor ratio to be based in historical activity while throwing out some level of “outliers” • Percentile of past 30 days historical “bid” pricing or “e1” factors • High percentiles are conservative • 100% - the highest price or “e” factor ratio experienced in the past 30 days – this can be very high if there is much volatility or unusual activity • 95% - extrapolated between the second and third highest price or “e” factor ratio experienced in the past 30 days – conservative but allows two “outliers” to be ignored • 85% - extrapolated between the fifth and sixth highest price or “e” factor ratio experienced • 50% - mid point price – uses a “common” price or “e” factor ratio • Percentile of past 30 days historical “offer” pricing or “e2” factors • Low percentiles are conservative • 3% - the lowest price or “e” factor ratio experienced in the past 30 days – can be very low if there is much volatility or unusual activity • 25% - extrapolated between the seventh and eighth price or “e” factor ratio experienced • 50% - mid point price – uses a “common” price or “e” factor ratio CWG/MCWG Meeting
Potential Impact on Bids – Examples CWG/MCWG Meeting
Potential Impact on EOOs – Examples CWG/MCWG Meeting
DAM Credit Parameters - General The default value of parameters for every Counter-Party are: • e1 = 95th percentile of Ratio1 over the last 30 days • where Ratio1 is a daily calculation as follows: • Ratio1 = Min[1, Max[0, (∑h=1,24 (Qcleared-Bids*PDAM - Qcleared-TPO*PDAM - Qcleared-EOO*PDAM) / (∑ h=1,24 Qcleared-Bids*PDAM)]] except Ratio1 = 1 when ∑ h=1,24 Qcleared-Bids*PDAM = 0 • e2 = 0, e3 = 1, d = 85, a = 50, b = 45, y = 45, z = 50, u = 90, t = 50 CWG/MCWG Meeting
DAM Credit Parameters – Favorable Treatment If an Entity meets the requirements above for more favorable treatment, then the parameters for that Counter-Party are: • e1 = 75th percentile of Ratio1 over the last 30 days • where Ratio1 is a daily calculation as follows: • Ratio1 = Min[1, Max[0, (∑h=1,24 (Qcleared-Bids*PDAM - Qcleared-TPO*PDAM - Qcleared-EOO*PDAM) / (∑ h=1,24 Qcleared-Bids*PDAM)]] except Ratio1 = 1 when ∑ h=1,24 Qcleared-Bids*PDAM = 0 • e2 = 25th percentile of Ratio2 over the last 30 days • where Ratio2 is a daily calculation as follows: • Ratio2 = 1 - Max[0, (∑h=1,24 (Qcleared-EOO + Qcleared-TPO - Qcleared-Bids)/ (∑ h=1,24 (Qcleared-EOO + Qcleared-TPO))] except Ratio2 = 0 when ∑ h=1,24 (Qcleared-EOO + Qcleared-TPO)= 0 • e3 = 1 • d = 85, a = 50, b = 45, y = 45, z = 50, u = 90, t = 50 CWG/MCWG Meeting