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Waiting for the Great Leap… Forward?

Waiting for the Great Leap… Forward?. J. Hughes Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies Prepared for the Singularity Summit San Francisco September 2007. AGI is Likely. Sentient, self-willed, greater-than-human machine minds are very likely in the coming fifty years.

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Waiting for the Great Leap… Forward?

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  1. Waiting for the Great Leap… Forward? J. Hughes Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies Prepared for the Singularity Summit San Francisco September 2007

  2. AGI is Likely • Sentient, self-willed, greater-than-human machine minds are very likely in the coming fifty years.

  3. AGI Probably Very Dangerous • Steps must be taken to ensure its safety.

  4. AGI Will Be Radically Alien • Empathy for human beings is the product, at least, of embodied mammalian brains.

  5. Attempt FAI • even though attempt is likely futile

  6. Motivations are Editable

  7. Millennialist Cognitive Biases • Yes, Apocalypse and the Rapture are both possible • But we shouldn’t assume either • We have some ability to determine outcomes

  8. Emergent, Designed, Evolved • Self-willed minds may evolve from primitive designed AI in infosphere ecosystem

  9. Detecting Dangerous AGI • Connecting S^ with cyber-security initiatives

  10. Most Cybersecurity Ignores AGI • Most cybersecurity analysis dismisses designed or emergent AGI

  11. Global Tech Regulation • Techs of mass destruction require transnational regulation

  12. AGI Police Infrastructure • Detection and counter-measures may require machine minds as well.

  13. Human Intelligence Augmentation • to keep up with AI

  14. CogAug & Uploads as Safe AGI • Perhaps all AGI should be driven by mammal-origin brains

  15. Structural Unemployment • Need for a new social contract around social provision, labor, wages, education and retirement

  16. Robot Rights • Which minds have which rights and responsibilities? • Engineering slave minds vs. • Flourishing minds, but within social limits

  17. Licensing Superpowers • If you need a license to drive a car, why not an AI-powered brain? • If only governments should have nukes, what about S^AIs?

  18. Regulating Singularity X-Risks • When do we consider bans?

  19. A Good S^ is Possible • But we need to work at it

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