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Regional Visioning

Land Use and Transportation for Four Million New Residents. Regional Visioning. A Presentation to the New York Metropolitan Transportation Council February 16 th , 2006. National & Regional Growth Trends The Land Use-Transportation Connection Visioning Around the Nation & the Region

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Regional Visioning

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  1. Land Use and Transportation for Four Million New Residents Regional Visioning A Presentation to the New York Metropolitan Transportation Council February 16th, 2006

  2. National & Regional Growth Trends • The Land Use-Transportation Connection • Visioning Around the Nation & the Region • A Long Island Visioning Initiative • What’s Next?

  3. National Growth Trends U.S. Population Change 2005- 2050 Map: University of Pennsylvania

  4. National Growth Trends Metropolitan Growth 2005 – 2050 Map: University of Pennsylvania

  5. National Growth Trends Emerging U.S. Mega-Regions 70% of Population 80% of Job Growth Map: University of Pennsylvania

  6. Tri-State Regional Growth Trends NYMTC Projections • An additional 3.83 million people to the Tri-State region • 1.81 million to NYMTC counties

  7. Tri-State Regional Growth Trends

  8. Tri-State Regional Growth Trends How will the region be able to accommodate this growth at all, much less in a manner that simultaneously achieves economic, environmental and social equity goals?

  9. Tri-State Regional Growth Trends

  10. Tri-State Regional Growth Trends Increasing Land Consumption per Capita : 1960-90 Pre-1960= 0.10 acres/person 1960 to 1990=1.2acres/person Land consumption per capita has slowed somewhat since 1990, but rapid exurban growth continues Pre-1960

  11. Tri-State Regional Growth Trends

  12. Linking Land Use and Transportation Revitalized Centers in the Urban Core Around a Robust Transit Network

  13. Linking Land Use and Transportation Access to Commuter Rail Station by Walking Distance

  14. Linking Land Use and Transportation Tappan Zee The design of the transportation infrastructure is directly linked to regional land use decisions.

  15. Linking Land Use and Transportation East Side Access/ LIRR Third Track New transportation capacity is critically needed to handle current congestion, but also creates the potential for higher-density development.

  16. Linking Land Use and Transportation Suburban Centers: Nassau Hub

  17. Fragmented Governance 10 MPOs 695 MUNICIPALITIES 31 COUNTIES 3 STATES 1 REGION

  18. Visioning Around the Nation A Growing Number of Areas Have Produced Regional Visions To Guide Future Growth

  19. Visioning Around the Nation • Inclusive, consensus based process • Define regional values and benchmarks for measuring success • Educate public on connections between transportation and land use • Develop growth scenarios and corresponding transportation investments through several public workshops • Model indicators from each scenario and measure each against regional value benchmarks • Implement land use changes in targeted locations

  20. Visioning Around the Nation Define Regional Values and Benchmarks for Measuring Success • Workshops • Surveys • Polling • Existing Plan Review

  21. Visioning Around the Nation Develop Growth Scenarios and Corresponding Transportation Investments Through Several Public Workshops • Base map accurately depicts conditions on the ground • Determine where not to grow • Allocate growth in chosen development scenario • Determine necessary transportation improvements.

  22. Visioning Around the Nation Model Indicators From Each Scenario and Measure Each Against Regional Value Benchmarks • Each scenario generated at workshops is digitized • Land use and transportation entered into model • Indicators relate to values and benchmarks generated in early stages of process Business As Usual Metropolis Plan

  23. Visioning Around the Nation Implement Land Use Changes in Targeted Locations • Changing zoning and development types in limited municipalities can have drastic effect on regional development patters • Southern California 2% Solution

  24. Lessons from Other Regions Envision Utah

  25. Lessons from Other Regions Chicago Metropolis 2020

  26. Lessons from Other Regions SCAG’s Compass

  27. Los Angeles Compass used the most advanced visualization techniques to convey information to participants Lessons from Other Regions

  28. Regional Initiatives Foundations for Visioning in the Region • History of regional planning • Existing NYMTC forecasts • NYMTC sustainable development studies • Benchmarking projects, such as Long Island Index • Several community visioning projects

  29. Regional Initiatives: SEEDS Elements of the Concept Plan:Preferred Land Use Scenario

  30. Local Initiatives: SEEDS Elements of the Concept Plan:Preferred Transportation Scenario

  31. Local Initiatives: Stamford Several secondary and tertiary centers were identified throughout the city that support the downtown core.

  32. Local Initiatives: Stamford

  33. Local Initiatives: Stamford

  34. Long Island Visioning Initiative Planning Underway • Business, Political & Civic Planning Group, including county planning departments, LIA, LIRPB, Vision LI, Sustainable LI, RPA, others • Stakeholders meetings in April and December, 2005 • Analysis of prior and existing plans and vision projects • Baseline analysis • Development of scenario testing model

  35. Long Island Visioning Initiative

  36. Long Island Visioning Initiative Base Map

  37. Long Island Visioning Initiative Two Test Scenarios

  38. Long Island Visioning Initiative

  39. Long Island Visioning Initiative

  40. Long Island Visioning Initiative

  41. Large Projected Growth to Metropolitan Area • We Need to Grow Differently and Create New Transportation Capacity • Public Support Will Dictate our Success

  42. Next Steps for the Region • Coordinate with NYMTC, other MPOs, planning and transportation agencies • Launch Long Island initiative • Begin planning and develop partnerships in other parts of the region • Complete scenario-testing model

  43. Potential Outcomes • Political support for new growth strategies • Greater consensus on the next generation of transportation investments • Growth in regional centers and transit friendly development • Conservation of region-shaping landscapes and estuaries • Affordable housing programs and strategies • Governance and tax reforms

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