NOAA Hurricane Conference 2010

1. NOAA Hurricane Conference 2010 Hydrometeorological Prediction Center Robert Kelly

2. HPC tropical program Precipitation Associated With Tropical Cyclones Public Advisories Issued by HPC Collaboration For Inland Precipitation, QPF & Excessive Precipitation Role As Backup Office …tested Aug 10

3. Hurricane Alex SRH-ROC

4. Tropical Storm Bonnie Minimal Impact

5. T.D. #2 From SRH ROC--

6. Hurricane Earl

7. T.S. Hermine Significant flooding, and Flood-related deaths, TX/OK/AR particularly Along I-35 Dallas-Ft Worth The heavy rains produced major flash flooding, water rescues and road closures, mainly along the Interstate 35 corridor between San Antonio and the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex, and across southeastern Oklahoma into western Arkansas.  At least two flood-related fatalities have been reported with this event in Texas. Sigops report

8. T.S. Nicoleand tropical moisture 8+” Update on the Heavy Rain and Flooding in the Eastern U.S.Key Points • The precipitation associated with the remnants of Tropical Storm Nicole has ended across the Northeast U.S. • However, flooding continues, especially across eastern North Carolina and southern Virginia, and in upstate New York, Vermont and New Hampshire. • At least eight deaths have been reported from the storm, all apparently in vehicle accidents.

9. Where is Nicole? Feeding the east coast.

10. Hurricane Otto Additional landslides Thursday night and Friday morning have isolated several families in mostly rural areas of Puerto Rico where one family remains isolated at this time. Currently, over 134 persons remain in shelters after being displaced from the floods/landslides. The municipality of Utuado has been the most impacted by landslides. In total, 140 landslides have reported that are impacting 69 roads across Puerto Rico. – SR-ROC Note: WFO San Juan requested QPF support from HPC at a recent Hurricane Conference. HPC started providing this support in 2010.

11. HPC Advisories Tropical Storm HERMINE • Public Advisory 18 issued at 09Z Friday September 10, 2010 • Public Advisory 17 issued at 03Z Friday September 10, 2010 • Public Advisory 16 issued at 21Z Thursday September 09, 2010 • Public Advisory 15 issued at 15Z Thursday September 09, 2010 • Public Advisory 14 issued at 09Z Thursday September 09, 2010 • Public Advisory 13 issued at 03Z Thursday September 09, 2010 • Public Advisory 12 issued at 21Z Wednesday September 08, 2010 • Public Advisory 11 issued at 15Z Wednesday September 08, 2010 • Public Advisory 10 issued at 09Z Wednesday September 08, 2010 • Tropical Depression TWO • Public Advisory 09 issued at 03Z Saturday July 10, 2010 • Public Advisory 08 issued at 21Z Friday July 09, 2010 • Public Advisory 07 issued at 15Z Friday July 09, 2010 • Public Advisory 06 issued at 09Z Friday July 09, 2010 • Public Advisory 05 issued at 03Z Friday July 09, 2010

12. PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 10 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERMINE NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL522010 400 AM CDT WED SEP 08 2010 CORRECTED FOR CENTRAL PRESSURE ...HERMINE BRINGING FLOODING RAINS TO PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.1N 99.4W ABOUT 150 MILES...242 KM...WSW OF DALLAS/FT WORTH TEXAS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...50 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 00 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FROM THE CENTRAL TEXAS COAST NORTHWARD THROUGH OKLAHOMA. FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TEXAS. FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 99.4 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERMINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE NORTH...AND WILL REACH SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY THIS EVENING AND SOUTHERN KANSAS DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. HERMINE WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN DURING THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...50 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS ------- RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FOUR TO SIX INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FROM SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS NORTHWARD TO SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

13. RAINFALL TOTALS --------------- SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 1 AM CDT ...ARKANSAS... BATESVILLE RGNL ARPT 1.94 TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT 1.37 ...LOUISIANA... BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT 1.77 ...TEXAS... AUSTIN 10 NNW 10.11 FORT HOOD AAF/KILLEEN 8.60 VICTORIA 14 NW 7.33 AUSTIN CITY 7.04 RANDOLPH AFB/UNIVERSAL CITY 6.60 ARANSAS RAWS 6.37 FORT HOOD/GRAY AAF 6.12 SAN ANTONIO/STINSON MUNI ARPT 5.92 SAN MARCOS (AWOS) 5.09 VICTORIA RGNL ARPT 4.91 NEW BRAUNFELS RGNL ARPT 4.35 HOUSTON/WILL HOBBY 4.14 WACO-MADISON COOPER 3.95 SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 3.62 AUSTIN/MUELLER MUNI ARPT 3.56 HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 3.43 FORT WORTH/MEACHAM 3.43 HOUSTON/CLOVER FIELD 3.09 BROWNSVILLE INTL ARPT 3.01 CORPUS CHRISTI NAS 2.79 COLLEGE STATION/EASTERWOOD FLD 2.27 BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 2.27 NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM. FORECASTER RYAN FORECAST POSITIONS ------------------ INITIAL 08/0900Z 32.1N 99.4W 12HR VT 08/1800Z 33.6N 99.4W 24HR VT 09/0600Z 36.1N 98.4W... 36HR VT 09/1800Z 38.6N 96.2W... 48HR VT 10/0600Z 38.9N 93.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPICAL

14. RAINFALL TOTALS --------------- SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 3 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 ...ARKANSAS... HARRISON 6.57 CLARKSVILLE 1.7 N 4.03 WALNUT RIDGE RGNL ARPT 3.60 JASPER 2.1 NW 3.50 LAMAR 5.7 NNE 3.36 FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE FIELD 3.23 SPRINGDALE 5.8 ENE 3.04 BUSCH 0.4 E 2.80 EUREKA SPRINGS 0.5 N 2.78 PEA RIDGE 0.2 WSW 2.52 MAGAZINE 3.0 NNW 2.52 JONESBORO 2.48 BENTONVILLE 0.6 W 2.48 WESTERN GROVE 0.1 SSE 2.40 DECATUR 2.6 ESE 2.38 BELLA VISTA 2.0 E 2.33 FORT SMITH 1.52 LITTLE ROCK 1.25 ...KANSAS... HUMBOLDT 4.6 ESE 2.26 IOLA 2.7 SSE 2.18 ...MISSOURI... NOEL 3.7 NNW 4.40 WEST PLAINS MUNI ARPT 2.62 SELIGMAN 3.0 N 2.53 JOPLIN RGNL ARPT 2.36 KIMBERLING CITY 1.5 WNW 2.35 SHELL KNOB 5.6 ESE 2.22 GALENA 2.4 NW 2.10 EMERALD BEACH 3.0 S 2.08 CAPE GIRARDEAU 1.89 SPRINGFIELD MUNI ARPT 1.88 POPLAR BLUFF 1.79 ...OKLAHOMA... EUFAULA 4.6 ENE 10.35 PURCELL 6.7 W 6.14 BOWLEGS 5.17 HOLDENVILLE 5.12 TECUMSEH 0.4 ESE 5.05 NOBLE 3.3 SE 4.64 NORMAN 10.9 ESE 4.50 ADA 0.3 NNW 4.50 SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 3.95 ETOWAH 5.9 NNW 3.91 TULSA 6.0 SSW 3.71 MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 3.54 ...TEXAS... GEORGETOWN 15.62 FRISCO 1.9 N 14.82 ANDERSON MILL 1.4 NW 13.19 JOLLYVILLE 2.1 SSW 13.14 CEDAR PARK 1.0 ESE 12.99 LEANDER 2.5 ESE 12.71 KILLEEN 2.9 SSW 12.38 AUSTIN 10.7 N 11.95 BRUSHY CREEK 1.4 S 11.87 WEST LAKE HILLS 2.4 NNW 11.69 FORT WORTH 5.4 SSW 7.48 SAN ANTONIO/STINSON MUNI ARPT 6.73 HOUSTON 1.4 NE 4.47 CORPUS CHRISTI NAS 3.17 TEXARKANA 2.22

15. Collaboration on Rainfall and Flood Threat What is the best way to communicate heavy rainfall threat? Hotline Calls are not the option for a number of reasons. Do WFOs feel the need to collaborate these advisories?

16. http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/tropstorms.shtml

17. http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/tcrainfall.html