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New Zealand

New Zealand. Population 4.2 million Likely to be 5.1 million by 2051 Low population density Lots of natural resources. Key Impacts. Regional Hotter, drier North and East, drought in wine producing regions South Island wetter, good for hydro catchments General

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New Zealand

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  1. New Zealand • Population 4.2 million • Likely to be 5.1 million by 2051 • Low population density • Lots of natural resources

  2. Key Impacts • Regional • Hotter, drier North and East, drought in wine producing regions • South Island wetter, good for hydro catchments • General • Good – CO2 fertilization, less cold deaths, longer growing seasons • Bad – coastal stress from sea level rise, invasion ecology and disease

  3. Agriculture in NZ • Largest export, 5% of GDP, biggest share of GHG • Future trajectories largely determined by climate • Powerful farming lobby eg Fonterra Eg apples, beer, wine – longer growing season – areas will have to shift southward – new pests bigger ranges, new pesticides? NZ GHG Emissions 2005

  4. Adaptation Considerations • Industry’s best & worst practices • Role of government in adaptation? - Regulation, Taxes, Subsidies, Education, Do nothing Agriculture and Branding • Reconcile policy with ‘Clean, Green’ branding • Role of genetic modification Mitigation and Adaptation • Combine adaptation & mitigation • Gain in adaptation • Suffer with mitigation policies

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