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Retail Industry Performance and Consumer Confidence Boost Father's Day Shopping

Despite reports of store closures, the retail industry saw a 4.1% increase in Q1 2017, providing momentum for Father's Day shopping. Consumer confidence remains positive, with increased spending and a record-breaking Mother's Day. Gen Xers are the big spenders for Father's Day, and experiences are valued over traditional gifts. Advertising and new media strategies can capitalize on these trends to attract customers.

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Retail Industry Performance and Consumer Confidence Boost Father's Day Shopping

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  1. Retail Gains and Consumer Confidence • Despite the abundance of news reports about retail store and mall closings, the retail industry performed quite well during Q1 2017, posting a 4.1% increase compared to Q1 2016, which should provide momentum into Q2 and Father’s Day shopping. • Although Gallup’s US Economic Confidence Index declined 4 points from March’s +9 to April’s +5, April is the six consecutive month of a positive index. It has been 9 years since the index matched that record. • According to Gallup, Americans self-reported spending an average of $107 daily during April, which was the largest amount since May 2008, and slightly exceeded the $105 Americans said they were spending daily during December 2016.

  2. Lessons from Last Year (and Mother’s Day) • Although the National Retail Federation predicted a 12.8% increase in 2016 Father’s Day spending, or $14.297 billion, NetElixir Research Insights Lab’s analysis of approximately 114 million impressions found that spending actually increased 19%, or $15.086 billion. • The National Retail Federation’s forecast of record Mother’s Day 2017 spending of $23.6 billion should bode well for Father’s Day spending from mid-May through June 17, the day before Father’s Day. • Two additional useful trends from the NetElixir data analysis is that daughters outspent sons by 7.34% for Father’s Day 2016 and spending on mobile devices increased 20% during the weeks before Father’s Day.

  3. Gen Xers Are the Big Father’s Day Spenders • Another major finding of NetElixir’s analysis of those millions of impressions from Father’s Day 2016 is that adults 35–44 spent the most on dad gifts, but only slightly more than younger adults, 18–34. • The National Retail Federation’s May 2016 Father’s Day consumer survey somewhat supported the NetElixir data, as adults 35–44 were planning to spend $148.15 on average, compared to adults 18–24, $148.47, and adults 25–34, $177.90. • Please refer to the Profiler to see data from The Media Audit’s summer 2016 surveys for Boise, ID and Miami/Ft. Lauderdale, FL, which provide contrasting insights about the likely Father’s Day shopping habits of adults 35–44 at selected types of stores and actual stores

  4. An Experience Is More Meaningful Than a Tie • According to National Retail Federation’s May 2016 Father’s Day consumer survey, 21.9% of adults 18+ were planning to give dad a “gift of experience,” such as tickets to a concert or sporting event, gym membership, etc. • Data from The Media Audit’s 2016 national survey shows that men 18+ with children of any age, 13–17, were 41% more likely than men 18+ with any children 18+ to have attended an opera, symphony or the theater during the past year. • Men 18+ with any children 18+ were 20% more likely than men 18+ with children of any age, 13–17, to have attended 3 or more college/professional sporting events during the past year.

  5. Advertising Strategies • Promoters of summer 2017 country music concerts may find it valuable to use TV and your station’s Website to reach adults 18+ and promote concerts as meaningful Father’s Day “experience” gifts. • Share the data in the Profiler with your clients/advertisers about adults 35–44 being the age group likely to spend more on Father’s Day gifts than other age groups, and show the best programs on your station to reach this target audience. • Suggest that advertisers create and promote a Father’s Day Sweepstakes with a major “experience” gift prize, promoting it on TV and social media and/or email marketing campaigns.

  6. New Media Strategies • Invite fathers and/or children to post father-and-child family photos to the store’s social media page(s), requesting votes from family members and friends, to win a grand prize for the photo that best exemplifies the Father’s Day spirit. • Generate social media traffic and engagement by inviting visitors to vote on their favorite movie and/or TV show about dads, the best gifts or the best “experience” gift. • Another Father’s Day engagement opportunity on social media is to conduct a quiz or poll, such as identifying photos of celebrity dads. Offer a basic discount to all participants and a grand prize (drawing) for those with the most correct answers.

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