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Progress & Business Foundation

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Progress & Business Foundation

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  1. ADVANCED EXPERT PANEL on„Future Trends in Knowledge Management and DecisionMakinginAutonomousSystems”Supportedby theforesightproject „Scenarios and DevelopmentTrends of the Selected Information Society Technologies until2025” co-financed by the ERDF withintheInnovativeEconomyOperationalProgramme (POIG), Action 1.1.1 Progress & Business Foundation Zakopane, May 1, 2012

  2. Highlights: • Thediscussion will be preceded by a shortpresentation of theforesightprojectmethodology and itsresultsachieved so far (5-10 minutes) • About ten hot topicsfromwithinthescope of the Panel will be discussed by thePanelists, withcontributionsfromtheAudience (5-8 minuteseach) • It will follow a short general discussion (10-15 minutes) on thefuture of AI • Afterthe Panel: allparticipants will be invited to an expert Delphi related to thetopics of the Panel

  3. Decisionsupportprospectsuntil 2025 • Progress instructuringhumandecisionsuntil 2025:- newkind of theoreticalmodels?- betterunderstanding of neuraldecisionmechanisms (mirror neurons and…?)- non-stationarity of humanpreferences- copingwithinconsistency and irrationality • Cognitive MCDM? • DSS inthecloud, mobile DSS, recommenders- Electronic PersonalPreferenceRecord (EPR)?- Privacyprotectionissues- Fusion of allone’spreferenceinformationgathered by differentwebagents • MCDM-basedintelligentrecommenders • New DSS architectures?

  4. Future Applications of Direct Brain Interfaces(Direct BCI, D-BCI) in DecisionSupport Systems (DSS) • D-BCI and ‚Internet of Brains’ • The role of enhancedreality in decisionmaking • Virtual realitiescreated with D-BCI and simulation of consequences of decisionsmade • Whatkind of decisionsmay be supportedusing BCI? • D-BCI for operationaldecisions (eg. control of complex industrial and transport systems) • Military DSS with D-BCI • Supportingeverydays’ decisionmaking (directinterface • Time perspective: 2020?, 2025?, 2030?

  5. Applicationprospects of external (no implants) BCI and PhysiologicalHuman Computer Interfaces (PHCI) • Applications of BCI to man-machinecommunication • Applications of BCI invirtual reality and games (trends?, market estimations?) • Thoughtrecognition by external BCI (technologicaltrends?, privacychallenges?, otherthreats?) • Reading, recording, and recognition of short-termhumanmemory – applicationsinelderlyamnesia • Reading, recording, and recognition of long-term humanmemory – applicationsintherapy of post traumaticstressdisordersymptoms, such as amnesia • Novel PHCI technologies and mechanisms(recognition of mimics, eye and eyelidmovements, skin thermal potentials etc.) • Applicationsin mobile DSS

  6. Commonapplication of autonomic mobile robots (AMR) • Mainfunctionalities of autonomous mobile robots • Researchrobots • Personalroboticcompanionvs. intelligentbuildings • Industrial applications of autonomous mobile robots • Maintechnicalproblems(hardware and lower-level software such as hardware drivers and communication software) • Mainissuesreleted to theintelligentdecision software development • Cellular mobile robots (standard simplerobotscapable of creating ad hoc specializedcomplexorganisms)

  7. Autonomousflyingrobots (UAV) • UAV prospectsuntil 2025: - no moremannedcombataircraft?- first unmannedpassengeraircraft • Spacerobots • UAVswarms • Progress inrobot vision and other sensory perceptionmechanisms for UAV (cognitive radar etc.) • Autonomousrobots, but to whichextent?

  8. Worlswide monitoring systems • Automatic recognition of dangeroussituations • A newdirection of developemnt: Citizens’ monitoring? (decentralized monitoring systems serving a community thatmangesthem) • Global CBIR (on theweb, fromdifferentground- and air-based monitoring systems) • Global satellite-based monitoring systems • Integration of monitoring systems • Privacyissues

  9. Mergingknowledgeacquisition, vision and rulebased systems • Trendsinrule-basedimageunderstanding • Theemergence of tailoredknowledgebases to facilitateimageanalysis and understanding • Automatic medicalimageunderstanding systems (CT, USG, NMR, PET etc.) • Remotepatient monitoring and multidimensional data fusion • Mergingallkinds of medicalinformation: data management and privacyprotectionissues • New developmentsinuncertainty management • Trendsinrule-baseddiagnostic systems: technologies, tera-ruledatabases, applications

  10. Hot topicsinmachineintelligence and neurocognitive systems • Machineconsciousness and anticipatorycapabilities • How to managethedecisionfreedominautonomous systems? • Preference transfer problem (how to transfer and updateone’spreferences to an AADS efficiently and reliably? ) • Hierarchy of goals and conflicts of interestsbetween AADS. How to solvethem? • Roboticsocieties and coevolution

  11. Disruptivetechnologies, wildcards, uncertainties • Examples of unexpectedtechnological trend changesfromthe past • Low-probabilityhigh-impact scientific discoveries: …. • Low- to medium-probabilitybiological, economic and socialphenomena • Medium- to high-probabilitydisruptivepolitical and natural events (natural and anthropogenicdisasters)

  12. Thankyou for yourattention! Everybodyisinvited - To take part inthe Delphi research on thispanel’stopics The questionnaires and more info can be found at:http://www.ict.foresight.pl/user/index.php?module=delphi - To take part attheFinalConference (no registrationfee) to be heldin Kraków on October 26, 2012

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