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Measuring Indigenous economic activity in six remote NT communities

Measuring Indigenous economic activity in six remote NT communities . Professor William Mitchell Centre of Full Employment and Equity Charles Darwin University and University of Newcastle. Aim of Project.

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Measuring Indigenous economic activity in six remote NT communities

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  1. Measuring Indigenous economic activity in six remote NT communities Professor William Mitchell Centre of Full Employment and Equity Charles Darwin University and University of Newcastle

  2. Aim of Project • The purpose of this research Project is to develop a set of indicators that measure Indigenous economic activity in six target communities: • Ntaria • Ramingining • Angurugu • Umbakumba • Milyakburra • Tiwi Islands

  3. MILYAKBURRA TIWI ISLANDS The six study regions

  4. Project design … literature • Literature review on issues relating to regional development and measurement of economic activity in remote indigenous communities. • Conceptual issues. • Frameworks.

  5. Project design … profiling the study areas • Literature review on issues relating to regional development in remote indigenous communities. • Detailed statistical profiles of the six target communities – with comparative analysis between 2006 and 2011 Censuses. • Experimental benchmarking against selected comparable regions in Australia. • Detailed analysis of Australian Tax Office data from 2001-02 to 2010-11 by postcode to profile income and related information.

  6. Project design … modelling • Develop a broad economic framework (input-output) for assessing regional development in remote Northern Territory communities. • Estimates of economic activity including measures of community regional product. • Integrate NTG Department of Business Job Profilesinto hybrid IO model (Key Sector analysis). • Conduct interviews with local engagement officers (Strengthen the Key Sector analysis). • Measures of labour demand shortages (CDEP Case Study).

  7. Project design … data inventory • Provide a detailed inventory of existing relevant data sources within existing Northern Territory Government agencies and apply that data, where possible to the development of the economic profiles.

  8. Project design … additional indicators • CofFEEEconomic Prosperity Index and Employment Vulnerability Index: • Attempt to fine tune these to provide synthetic estimates for the six case study regions • CofFEEFunctional Economic Regions (CFERs): • The CFERs for the Northern Territory will be updated using 2011 Census Journey to Work data and new spatial datasets constructed based on the new geography.

  9. Census data profiles • Demographic and economic profiles are available from the 2011 Australian Bureau of Statistics Census of Population and Housing (collected August). • Available Labour Force data for indigenous and non-indigenous includes: • Employment – full-time, part-time, total • Unemployment • Not in Labour Force • Can be broken down into public/private • The Labour Force data is enumerated by persons.

  10. NT Department of Business Job Profiles • Data collected June-July 2011. • Data reflects those businesses reported as operating in the town at the time of data collection. • Data is based on jobs rather than the Census focus on persons. • Why would they be different? • Multiple job holders. • Job sharing. • Indigenous status assigned by “business representative”.

  11. MILYAKBURRA TIWI ISLANDS The six study regions

  12. Data issues - Ntari

  13. MILYAKBURRA TIWI ISLANDS The six study regions

  14. Data issues - Ramingining

  15. MILYAKBURRA TIWI ISLANDS The six study regions

  16. Data issues - Umbakumba

  17. MILYAKBURRA TIWI ISLANDS The six study regions

  18. Data issues - Angurugu

  19. Progress … • Literature survey nearly complete. • Detailed profiles nearly complete. • Delay in establishing contact with relevant officers in each community – Federal employees. We are awaiting permission. • Ethics clearance cannot be completed until we have names of relevant people to interview. • Development of modelling framework – technical work done – now experimenting with Job Profile information to modify “top-down” IO data to create hybrid approach.

  20. Prognosis … • The data difficulties are substantial – especially with no Job Profile data for the Tiwi Islands and Milyakburra. • It is unclear whether we will get permission to work with the community contact officers. • There is considerable uncertainty about the Census data. • The Project will deliver a guide to what steps should be taken in the future to ensure that the aims of the Project – to develop a set of indicators that measure indigenous economic activity in six target communities – is possible.

  21. END OF TALK

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