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Geneva, 12th December 2007

PRESENTATION BY SPAIN TO THE EXECUTIVE BODY OF THE CLRTAP: COMPLIANCE WITH THE NOx AND VOC PROTOCOLS. Mr. Israel Pastor Deputy Director General for Air Pollution Ministry of the Environment. Geneva, 12th December 2007. BACKGROUND 2007. IMPROVING DATA FLOW : written progress on due time

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Geneva, 12th December 2007

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  1. PRESENTATION BY SPAIN TO THE EXECUTIVE BODY OF THE CLRTAP:COMPLIANCE WITH THE NOx AND VOC PROTOCOLS Mr. Israel Pastor Deputy Director General for Air Pollution Ministry of the Environment Geneva, 12th December2007

  2. BACKGROUND 2007 • IMPROVING DATA FLOW: written progress on due time • TOWARDS BETTER COMMUNICATION: • Meeting with the Secretariat (may 2007, at Spain’s request) • Attendance of IC Ottawa (July 2007) • Attendance EB (today)

  3. CONTENTS (decs. EB): • FULFILMENT BY SPAIN OF ITS OBLIGATIONS UNDER THE PROTOCOLS • EXPECTED YEAR OF COMPLIANCE. • PROGRESS MADE TOWARDS ACHIEVING COMPLIANCE. • MOTIVATED REASONS FOR NOT COMPLIYING WITH THE PROTOCOL COMMITMENTS AND FUTURE PROSPECTS. • BETTER PROSPECTS. • SPECIFIC MEASURES (ADDITIONAL POLICIES AND MEASURES) TO BE ASSESED IN THE FIRST QUARTER OF 2008 (for NOx & VOCs) • CONCLUSIONS

  4. 1. FULFILMENT BY SPAIN OF ITS OBLIGATIONS UNDER THE PROTOCOLS

  5. NMVOC AND NOx EMISSIONS: 1980-2005 Spanish commitments under both the Nox and NMVOC Protocols have not been to date reached.

  6. 2. EXPECTED YEAR OF COMPLIANCE

  7. NOx

  8. NOx DESPITE THE DECREASING TREND OF EMISSIONS PROJECTIONS FOR YEARS 2005-2020, COMPLIANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO HAPPEN BEFORE YEAR 2017 FOR BOTH THE “WITH MEASURES” AND THE “WITH ADITIONAL MEASURES” SCENARIOS. However, it should be noted that: policies and measures included in the “with measures scenario” are not rendering an effect throughout the whole projected period (2001-2020) both the “with measures” and the “with additional measures” scenarios are providing a relevant improvement in Spanish NOx emissions when compared to the BAU scenario.

  9. NMVOC

  10. NMVOC DESPITE THE DECREASING TREND OF EMISSIONS PROJECTIONS FOR YEARS 2005-2020, COMPLIANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO HAPPEN BEFORE YEAR 2020 FOR BOTH THE “WITH MEASURES” AND THE “WITH ADITIONAL MEASURES” SCENARIOS. However, it should be noted that: policies and measures included in the “with measures scenario” are not rendering an effect throughout the whole projected period (2001-2020) both the “with measures” and the “with additional measures” scenarios are providing a relevant improvement in Spanish NMVOC emissions when compared to the BAU scenario.

  11. ADDITIONAL MEASURES- YEAR 2007:

  12. COUNCIL OF MINISTERS MONOGRAPHIC MEETING, JULY 2007 ADDITIONAL MEASURES- YEAR 2007:(WITH MEASURES SCENARIO) SPANISH CLIMATE CHANGE AND CLEAN ENERGY STRATEGY HORIZON 2007- 2012 -2020 SPANISH PLAN OF URGENT MEASURES TO ACHIEVE THE KYOTO OBJECTIVES SEEKING AN IMMIDIATE EFFECT: 2008-2012

  13. 3. PROGRESS MADE TOWARDS ACHIEVING COMPLIANCE

  14. IMPACT OF MEASURES INTRODUCED IN YEAR 2005-NMVOC New emission projections, including measures enacted up to 2005, provide NMVOC projected emissions in 2020 12% below previous estimates.

  15. IMPACT OF MEASURES INTRODUCED IN YEAR 2005 -NOx New emission projections, including measures enacted up to 2005, provide NOx projected emissions in 2020 only 0,1% below previous estimates. New Air Quality and Atmosphere Protection Act (passed on November 15th) introduces binding emission monitoring and sets emission limit values.

  16. 4. MOTIVATED REASONS FOR NOT COMPLIYING AND FUTURE PROSPECTS

  17. The likely causes for having a level of emissions which is not in compliance with our commitments under the NOx and VOC Protocols have to be placed in the perspective of the framework of: *sustained high economic growth (4%) * unforeseen high population increase (5M more)* thus, higher energy growth than earlier expectedboth describe trends in the last decade and have led to higher levels of air emissions and are reported also by TFIAM (UNECE) “CIAM report 2007” (page 29).

  18. POPULATION INCREASE % Population increase in last 10 years is second highest in Spain (only Ireland show higher figures)

  19. HIGH ECONOMIC GROWTH: GDP MAIN COMPONENTS ANALYSIS (SPAIN)

  20. 5. BETTER PROSPECTS

  21. NEW ACT ON AIR QUALITY AND PROTECTION OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SYSTEM PASSED NOVEMBER 2007(Act 34/2007, NOVEMBER 15th, 2007) New more stringent emission limit values will be enforced. Traffic accounts for more than 34% of NOx emissions, hence: The new law has introduced a new taxing system which promotes cleaner vehicles.

  22. IMPROVEMENT IN ENERGY CONSUMPTION: In absolute terms, total primary consumption has decreased in year 2006, while GDP keeps increasing. GDP VERSUS ENERGY CONSUMPTION

  23. CHANGE ON GDP MAIN COMPONENTS: INDUSTRY AND CONSTRUCTION While GDP keeps increasing, building construction’s GDP in the first trimester 2007 is the lowest since the first trimester 2005. GDP share for the industry sector has also decreased in the first trimester 2007.

  24. 6. SPECIFIC MEASURES (ADDITIONAL POLICIES AND MEASURES) TO BE ASSESED IN THE FIRST QUARTER OF 2008

  25. MEASURES WILL BE ASSESED IN THE FIRST QUARTER OF YEAR 2008 IN THE FRAMEWORK OF THE 2nd ACTION PLAN FOR THE ENHACENMENT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE NATIONAL PROGRAMME UNDER THE NATIONAL EMISSIONCEILINGS DIRECTIVEPassed dec. 7th 2007 (together with LCP – NP) Both for VOCs and NOX…

  26. A. MEASURES TO BE ASSESED WITH AN IMPACT ON NMVOCEMISSIONS

  27. MEASURES TO BE ASSESED IN YEAR 2008 WITH AN IMPACT ON NMVOC EMISSIONS

  28. B. MEASURES TO BE ASSESED WITH AN IMPACT ON NOxEMISSIONS

  29. MEASURES TO BE ASSESED IN YEAR 2008 WITH AN IMPACT ON NOX EMISSIONS

  30. CONCLUSIONS • POLITICAL COMMITMENT 2004-2008 (NEC Action Plan 2008) • 2007 – THE KEY YEAR: SET OF NEW POLICIES AND MEASURES • THE FOLLOW-UP IS THE CHALLENGE • HIGHLIGHTS: AIR QUALITY ACT AND STRATEGY ON URBAN ENVIRONMENT • THE SYNERGY… + ENFORCEMENT • GDP Vs EMISSIONS • QUANTIFICATION: all that’s passed and planned to be passed is quantified. Assessing efficiencies of new measures prior to its quantification under NEC-AP. • AUTONOMOUS REGIONS + SECTORS: TOWARDS BETTER ENVIRONMENT AND MEETING PROTOCOLS COMMITMENTS. • TIME: NO OVERNIGHT SOLUTION, BUT URGENT MEASURES 2008-2012

  31. Thank you very much.

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