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ICP M&M Activities and Results 2009-2010

This report provides a progress update on indicators linking air pollution and multiple effects, dynamic modeling of vegetation change, revision of critical loads, and collaboration with other groups. It also discusses the outcomes of the 26th Task Force meeting and the 20th workshop of the Coordination Centre for Effects.

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ICP M&M Activities and Results 2009-2010

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  1. Activities of ICP M&M2009 - 2010andResults of the 26th Task Force meeting Anne Christine Le Gall Ineris anne-christine.le-gall@ineris.fr

  2. M&M activities in 2009/2010(WGE Work plan) (a) Progress report on indicators linking air pollution and multiple effects, in ex-post integrated assessment (b) Report on the call for data for the dynamic modelling of vegetation change; (c) Report on the revision of methods and data to derive empirical critical loads, and workshop in collaboration between the CCE, Germany and Switzerland; (d) 26th meeting of the Programme Task Force and 20th workshop of the Coordination Centre for Effects, 19-23 April 2010, Paris. 24th Task Force meeting in Stockholm, 14/15 May 2009 See documents /3, /10, /14, TF minutes, CCE presentations at this meeting and CCE Status Report

  3. 25th Task Force meeting • Back-to-back with CCE WS: 19-21 April 2010, Paris • 18 participants from 6 countries (Cz, F, D, NL, UK, USA), WEG, ICPV.

  4. 26th Task Force meeting ... Discussed the following points • General • Long term strategy • Gothenburg Protocol revision (Input to the revised protocol and annex 1) • Cooperation with other groups under and outside the Convention • ICP M&M collaboration with USA • Strengthen collaboration with Habitat Directive community • Update of the ICP M&M mapping manual on ozone flux calculations and critical levels • Heavy metals • Effects of HM emissions relevant to HM protocol revision • Four scenarios analysed in collaboration with TNO and MSC E • Conclusions presented at the 47th WGSR

  5. 26th Task Force meeting ... Also discussed the following points • Modeling and biodiversity • Ex-post analysis • Preliminary results of call for data 2009 • 11 countries responded • Development of VSD+ linked with vegetation modules • Run on 56 sites • Training workshop • Proposal for a new call for data in 2010/2011 • Increase resolution of CLd in line with new resolution of EMEP • Apply new empirical CLd at national level • Collaborate with Habitat Directive leads • Continue woron VSD+ and Vegegation modelling

  6. Next: Workplan for 2010/2011 (1/2) • Report on the revision of the critical loads database (following call for data) to: • Include updated empirical critical loads, as revised by the national focal centres (NFCs), in the CCE database and use in the ex-post assessment; • Request and aggregate data from the NFCs in the new EMEP grid systems fordeposition models; • Complement results for NFCs on site-specific dynamic modelling of vegetation changes, including updated version of the extended very simple dynamic model (VSD+) and increased number of sites; • Ensure harmonization of data compatibility, processes and synergies between the NFCs and experts working with the EU Habitat Directive;

  7. Workplan for 2010/2011 (2/2) • Development and implementation of modelling and mapping methodologies in ex post integrated assessment modelling in support to Gothenburg protocol revision • Using the update of empirical critical loads and levels and dose-response functions in scenario assessments of regional changes of plant species diversity; • The twenty-seventh meeting of the Programme Task Force and the twenty-first CCE workshop, to be held from 18 to 22 April 2011 in Bilthoven, the Netherlands.

  8. www.icpmapping.org www.mnp.nl/cce

  9. N exceedance is still widespread N CLd exceedances (all ecosystems) 2000 2020 2030 Draft BL scen.spring 2010 All ecosystems

  10. Impacts of nitrogen on terrestrial ecosystems • Significant changes of plants species • Exceedances of empirical critical loads • Target loads, damage delay time, recovery delay time • N CLd exceedances on Natura 2000 sites • Likelihood of expected impacts

  11. Biodiversity, N and others Biodiversity changes are driven • By air pollution including N inputs • By climate change • By land use change • For discussion: • Environmental target setting in support of Gothenborg protocol should: • not aim at restoration to initial conditions • aim at sustainable structures and functions of ecosystems

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