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Brazil – A country of opportunities. Paulo Safady Simão CBIC Chair. BRAZILIAN CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY CHAMBER. National and international representative of employer associations in the construction and real estate industry. 26 States and Federal District.

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Brazil a country of opportunities

Brazil – A country of opportunities

Paulo Safady Simão

CBIC Chair

Brazil – A country of opportunities


BRAZILIANCONSTRUCTIONINDUSTRYCHAMBER

National and international representative of employer associations in the construction and real estate industry


26 Statesand Federal District

BRAZILIANCONSTRUCTIONINDUSTRYCHAMBER

UNIONS, EMPLOYER ASSOCIANTIONS AND CHAMBERS

62 Associations

Highway Construction

Sanitation

Real Estate

Construction Segments


GENERAL INFORMATION

BRAZIL

Brazil – A country of opportunities


RECENT GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS

“The stability of the economy and of

the country’s democratic institutions as well as frank dialogue between government and civil society were decisive in successfully confronting the crisis”

  • A development strategy based on investment

  • and mass consumption (domestic market) was adopted; and ...

  • Monetary policy

    • Reserve requirement

    • Reduced interest rates

    • Foreign trade (reserves)

  • Fiscal policy

    • Reduced taxes on production

    • Investments in construction


  • ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

    • Economic stability;

    • Average growth of approximately 4.7% per year;

    • Growth driven by internal demand and by investments in infrastructure and housing;

    • Investments projected to grow by at least twice the rate of GDP in the coming 4 years;

    • Notwithstanding forecasts pointing to a renewed global downturn, domestic demand remains robust, international reserves and reserve requirements are higher than in 2008, and the fiscal situation is stronger.

    Source: Ministry of Finance, Brazilian Central Bank (BACEN) and CBIC Database


    GDPGROWTH RATES

    In the period 2011-2014, the consolidation of investments (driven by construction) and increased domestic demand is expected to spur average annual economic growth of 4,7%.

    Source: Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). Preparation and estimates by the Ministry of Finance.


    MIDDLE CLASS ACCOUNTS FOR MORE THAN HALF OF BRAZILIAN POPULATION

    DISTRIBUTION OF ECONOMIC CLASSES IN BRAZIL (% POPULATION)

    Enhanced income distribution has added 29 million to middle class (Class C).

    Note: Monthly household per capita income by class at 2009 prices: Class A/B: more than R$ 4,800.00; Class C: R$ 1,115.00 – R$ 4,800.00; Class D: R$ 804.00 – R$ 1,115.00; Class E: up to R$ 804.00.

    Source: Getúlio Vargas Foundation/National Household Sample Survey. Prepared and estimated by the Ministry of Finance


    A MIDDLE CLASS NATION POPULATION

    COMPOSITION OF BRAZILIAN SOCIAL CLASSES (MILLIONS OF PEOPLE)

    Source: Getúlio Vargas Foundation/National Household Sample Survey. Prepared by the Ministry of Finance


    BRAZILIAN ECONOMY: FORECAST POPULATION

    * IMF Forecast

    Source: Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). Preparation and estimates by the Ministry of Finance.


    GENERAL INFORMATION POPULATION

    CONSTRUCTION

    Brazil – A country of opportunities


    THE CONSTRUCTION POPULATION

    INDUSTRY IN CONTEXT

    • Represents approximately 20% of national industrial output;

    • More than 2.8 million formal workers;

    • More than 170,000 licensed companies;

    • Accounts for nearly 41% of fixed investments in Brazil.

    Source and Preparation: CBIC Database.


    GROWTH POPULATIONOFCONSTRUCTIONINDUSTRY LABOR FORCE

    Source: Annual Registry of Social Information/General Registry of Employed and Unemployed Persons (RAIS/CAGED), Ministry of Labor and Employment. Preparation: CBIC Database.


    REAL ESTATE MARKET POPULATION

    Brazil – A country of opportunities


    GROWTH IN REAL ESTATE POPULATION

    CREDIT 2002 – 2011 (financing volume)28

    REAL ESTATE MARKET

    Note: New and used units

    Source: Brazilian Central Bank (BACEN), Brazilian Association of Real Estate Credit and Savings (ABECIP), and Federal Savings Bank (CEF) – FGTS Channel. CBIC Database.


    HIGH QUALITY POPULATION

    REAL ESTATE CREDIT

    Brazilian Savings and Loan System (SBPE) – Agreements with more than 3 outstanding installments signed after 1998

    MortgageGuaranty + FiduciaryLien

    FiduciaryLien

    Source: Brazilian Central Bank and Brazilian Association of Real Estate Credit and Savings (ABECIP)


    REAL POPULATIONESTATEFINANCING AS A PERCENTAGEOFGDP

    Source: Brazilian Central Bank (BACEN) and Brazilian Association of Real Estate Credit and Savings (ABECIP).

    Preparation: CBIC Database


    CREDIT TRANSACTIONS BY POPULATION

    FINANCIAL SYSTEM IN 2009

    (AT THE HEIGHT OF THE CRISIS)

    Steering of funds at low cost was decisive for maintaining credit levels at the height of the global crisis.

    Source: Brazilian Central Bank (BACEN). Preparation: CBIC Database


    MY HOME, MY LIFE PROGRAM POPULATION

    (PMCMV)

    Brazil – A country of opportunities


    MY HOME, MY LIFE PROGRAM POPULATION

    (PMCMV)

    • Disbursement of MCMV Program (R$ billion)

    *Caixa Econômica Federal estimate.

    Source: Caixa Econômica Federal. Preparation: Ministry of Finance.


    ADDITIONAL GROWTH POPULATION

    INDICATORS ...

    HOUSING NEEDS

    (millions of units)

    5.81

    Cumulative shortage - 2009

    23.49

    2010 - 2022

    Source: Civil Construction Industry Trade Union of São Paulo (SINDUSCON-SP), São Paulo State Federation of Industry (FIESP), Getúlio Vargas Foundation (FGV). CBIC Database.


    INFRASTRUCTURE POPULATION

    Brazil – A country of opportunities


    ? POPULATION

    WHATIS THE PAC

    • It is a program of consistent investments aimed at meeting the challenges of infrastructure.

    Source: PAC2 Report.


    GROWTH ACCELERATION POPULATION

    PROGRAM – SECOND PHASE

    Source: PAC2 Report.


    GROWTH ACCELERATION POPULATION

    PROGRAM

    • Organizes government measures and supports private sector action over a 4 year period.

    • Develops an optimal environment to enable the country to grow at a faster rate through the execution of infrastructure studies, projects, and works.

    • Creates the conditions for addressing the obstacles to sustainable development.


    2014 FIFA WORLD POPULATIONCUP

    Stadiums

    Urban

    Mobility

    Ports and airports

    Environment

    sanitation

    Telecommunications

    Brazil – A country of opportunities


    INVESTMENTS POPULATION FOR THE 2014 FIFA WORLD CUP

    • (R$ billion)

    Source and Preparation: Ministry of Finance.


    2016 OLYMPIC GAMES POPULATION

    Environment

    sanitation

    Urban

    Mobility

    Stadiums

    and arenas

    Ports and airports

    Telecommunications

    Brazil – A country of opportunities


    PORT POPULATIONINVESTMENTS

    • Nine major projects of ports in the world (US$ billion)

    • Note: The expansion of the Port of Santos and the construction of the Açu Port in Rio de Janeiro, the largest venture investiment in port in Latin America.

    Source: CG-LA ExameYearbook 2011-2012. Preparation: Ministry of Finance


    INVESTMENT POPULATIONPROGRAM IN TRANSPORTATION

    • Sixteen major transport projects in the world (US$ billion)

    Source and Preparation: Ministry of Finance.


    INVESTMENT POPULATIONPROGRAM IN TRANSPORTATION

    • High-speed train linking the cities of Rio de Janeiro, São Paulo and Campinas

    • (R$ billion and % of total)

    Source: STN/Ministry of Finance. Preparation: Ministry of Finance


    INVESTMENT POPULATIONPROGRAM IN TRANSPORTATION

    • Airport concession: Planned investments (R$ billion)

    Source: STN/Ministry of Finance. Preparation: Ministry of Finance


    ENERGY POPULATION

    • Subsalt;

    • Clean Energy;

    • Hydroelectric Plan;

    • Oil and Gas.

    Brazil – A country of opportunities


    INVESTMENTS POPULATION IN THE OILANDGAS SECTOR

    • Ten major projects in the Oil and Gas sectors in the world (US$ billlion)

    • Note: If plus ship-oil platforms whith building platforms the total value is US$ 40 billion.

    Source and Preparation: Ministry of Finance.


    INVESTMENTS POPULATION IN THE ELETRICITY SECTOR

    • Fifteen major projects in the Eletricity Sector in the world (US$ billlion)

    Source: CG-LA ExameYearbook 2011-2012. Preparation: Ministry of Finance


    INVESTMENT POPULATION FOR THE COUNTRY´SDEVELOPMENTANDGROWTH

    Note: Updated in January 2012. Preparation: Ministry of Finance.


    OTHERS POPULATION

    BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES

    • Investment in tourism;

    • Commercial buildings – shopping malls, warehouses for logistics;

    • TecnologicalInnovationProgram


    www.cbic.org.br POPULATION

    [email protected]: +55(61) 3327-1013

    Fax: +55(61) 3327-1393

    BRAZILIAN CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY CHAMBER

    Paulo Safady Simão CBIC CHAIR


    Presentation title POPULATION


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