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Visualization of first Modelled Trends (1990-2000-2010 ) Model - to - Model

Visualization of first Modelled Trends (1990-2000-2010 ) Model - to - Model (Model - to – Observations/Emissions). TFMM-Trends, Kraków , 5-8 May 2015. - C. Cuvelier , ex European Commission JRC - EuroDelta Trend Modelling Teams Based on contributions from EMEP, CHIM, MINNI, POLR

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Visualization of first Modelled Trends (1990-2000-2010 ) Model - to - Model

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  1. Visualization of first Modelled Trends (1990-2000-2010) Model - to - Model (Model - to– Observations/Emissions) TFMM-Trends, Kraków, 5-8 May 2015 - C. Cuvelier, ex European Commission JRC - EuroDelta Trend Modelling Teams Based on contributions from EMEP, CHIM, MINNI, POLR Support from Concawe

  2. Objectives The Tool • Tool for Trend Analysis • Multi – Model (model intercomparison) • Multi - Pollutant • Gases, PM, Depositions • Multi – Geo (zooming) • Europe (Land, Sea), Countries (39), • Regions (428), Cities (477), Stations • Detailed Shape files (polygons of lon-lat) • Add Observational and Emission trends

  3. EuroDelta3 Model Model Model Read-only Database Model results: Example ED_MODEL#MxxByyEzz_EDT_O3_DL.nc (nx,ny,ntime) Meteo: KZ, PBL, RAIN, T2M, U10, USTAR (H D) Gas: APINEN, H2O2, HCHO, HNO3, ISOP, NH3, NO, NO2, O3, PAN, SO2, VOC (H,D) PM: PM25, [ASOA, BSOA, DUST, EC, NA, NH4, NO3, OPOM, OPPM, POMS2, SO4, TPOM]-25 (D) PM10, [ASOA, BSOA, DUST, EC, NA, NH4, NO3, OPOM, OPPM, POMS2, SO4, TPOM]-10 (D) Dep: DNHx, DNOx, DSOx, WNHx, WNOx, WSOx (M) • Trend Analysis TOOL • All pollutants • Zoom: Country, region, City, Station • Indicators (e.g. O3excD, O3somo35, PM10excD, • NO2excD, … etc) • Regression: Linear, Exp, Sen, … etc • Add Observational data • Add Emission data

  4. Deliverables EMEP: Y90, Y00, Y10, Y10f, Y10fe, M10B10E00, M10B10E90 CHIM: Y90, Y00, Y10, Y10e, M10B10E00, M10B10E90 MINNI: Y90, Y00, Y10, Y10e POLR: Y10e f = ‘f’orest Fires e = ‘e’MEP emission inventory, otherwise GAINS Total = 64 Gb 20 years, 5 models => 350 Gb

  5. Models intercomparison Y90 => EMEP, CHIM, MINNI Y00 => … Y10 => … Y10e => CHIM, MINNI, POLR Y10-Y90 => EMEP, CHIM, MINNI Y10-Y00 => … Y10 – Y10e => CHIM, MINNI M10B10E10 – M10B10E00 => EMEP, CHIM M10B10E10 – M10B10E90=> … O3, NO2, PM10 O3hr8max, O3hr8Exc60 Trends

  6. O3 Y10

  7. O3 Y10 – Y90

  8. NO2 Y10

  9. NO2 Y10-Y90

  10. PM10 Y10

  11. PM10 Y10-Y00 PM10 Y10-Y90

  12. O3hr8max Y10 – Y90

  13. O3hr8Exc60 Y10 – Y90

  14. Multi-Geo

  15. EU Year Selection, Multi-Species

  16. First Results Trend Calculations

  17. EU Trend Europe (Land), O3

  18. EU Trend FRA, O3

  19. EU Trend O3 [ug/m3/year]

  20. EU Trend O3hr8max [ug/m3/year]

  21. EU Trend O3hr8Exc60 [days/year]

  22. EU Trend NO2 [ug/m3/year]

  23. EU Trend PM10 [ug/m3/year]

  24. EU Trend SO2 [ug/m3/year]

  25. EU 2d map Trend O3 [ug/m3/year]

  26. EU 2d map Trend O3 [ug/m3/year]

  27. EU 2d map Trend NO2 [ug/m3/year]

  28. EU 2d map Trend NO2 [ug/m3/year]

  29. EU 2d map Trend PM10 [ug/m3/year]

  30. EU 2d map Trend PM10 [ug/m3/year]

  31. EU 2d map Trend SO2 [ug/m3/year]

  32. EU 2d map Trend SO2 [ug/m3/year]

  33. EU 2d map Trend O3hr8Exc60 [days/year]

  34. EU 2d map Trend O3hr8Exc60 [days/year]

  35. Final Remarks • 1 preliminary conclusion • 3 Models seem to agree on trends • To complete • 1990/2000/2010 => intermediate years • Add Observational trends (validation) • Add Emission trends • Visualization/Analysis Tool • Easy to install; Easy to use • Acting directly on Model output (MBE folder) • Fast – handle large amounts of data • PC and Linux

  36. koniec

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