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DEA and Stochastic Dominance Efficiency Analysis of Investment Portfolios: Do Evironmentally Responsible Mutual Funds Diversify Efficiently?. Timo Kuosmanen Wageningen University, The Netherlands. 8EWEPA Oviedo 24-26 September 2003. DEA and Mutual Fund Performance.

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DEA and Stochastic Dominance Efficiency Analysis of Investment Portfolios:Do Evironmentally Responsible Mutual Funds Diversify Efficiently?

Timo Kuosmanen

Wageningen University, The Netherlands

8EWEPAOviedo24-26September 2003


Dea and mutual fund performance
DEA and Mutual Fund Performance

  • Murthi, Choi, Desai (1997), EJOR.

    • transaction costs.

  • Morey & Morey (1999), Omega.

    • multiple investment horizons.

  • Basso & Funari (2001), EJOR

    • multiple risk measures, sub-period dominance

  • Joro & Na (2001), w.p.

    • skewness preferences


Stochastic dominance portfolio analysis
Stochastic Dominance portfolio analysis

  • Kuosmanen (2001), w.p.

    • SD efficiency tests and measures that account for portfolio diversification

  • Post (2003), J. of Finance (to appear)

    • dual approach, statistical properties, bootstrapping

  • Heikkinen and Kuosmanen (2003), book chapter

    • application to the management of a mixed asset forest portfolio


Setting
Setting

  • N mutual funds

  • T different time periods

  • R(j,t) return for fund j in period t


Return possibilities frontier 2 periods
Return possibilities frontier: 2-periods

  • Funds A, B, C; returns RA=(1,4), RB=(3.5,1.6), RC=(2,2).


Elementary dea model
Elementary DEA-model

  • Returns as outputs, no inputs


Properties elementary dea model
Properties - elementary DEA model

  • The previous approach takes into account

    • diversification opportunities

    • risk: entire distribution of returns considered, not just the first moments (mean, variance).

  • Can we do better?

    • Preference information


Stochastic dominance sd approach
Stochastic Dominance (SD) Approach

  • Return is an i.i.d. random variable drawn from an unknown distribution. Returns in different time periods are a sample drawn from that distribution.

  • State independence: timing of returns does not matter.

  • Empirical distribution function gives a nonparametric minimum variance unbiased estimator of the underlying distribution function.

  • SD criteria applied to the empirical distributions.



Definition of sd
Definition of SD

  • Risky portfolios j and k, return distributions Gj and Gk.

  • Portfolio j dominates portfolio kbyFSD (SSD, TSD) if and only if

    FSD:

    SSD:

    TSD:

    with strict inequality for some z.

zR


Problem of diversification
Problem of diversification

1. Diversification

(time series)

2. Sorting / Ranking

(irreversibility)

3. SD

(distribution function)


Fsd dominating set
FSD dominating set

  • Kuosmanen (2001)

    Consider R0 = (1,4).

FSD dominating set


Ssd dominating set
SSD dominating set

  • Kuosmanen (2001)

    R0 = (1,4).

SSD dominating set


Combining sd with dea
Combining SD with DEA

  • Is fund A FSD efficient?

FSD dominating set


Combining sd with dea1
Combining SD with DEA

  • Is fund A SSD efficient?

SSD dominating set


Measuring efficiency
Measuring efficiency

  • How much higher return should be obtained in all periods to make A efficient?


Fsd efficiency measure
FSD efficiency measure

Return profile R0 is FSD efficient if and only if


Ssd efficiency measure
SSD efficiency measure

Return profile R0 is SSD efficient only if


Efficiency of env resp mutual funds
Efficiency of env. resp. mutual funds

  • Part of Socially Responsive Investing (SRI)

    • US SRI funds amounted to $2.34 trillion in 2001

  • Methods:

    • screening (positive/negative)

    • shareholder advocacy

    • community investing

  • Do environmentally responsible mutual funds differ from traditional large blend funds in their portfolio efficiency?


Return possibilities frontier
Return possibilities frontier

  • 175 stocks traded in NYSE and included in the DJSI sustainability index

  • Weekly returns for 26/11/2001 - 26/11/2002

  • Constraints on portfolio weights

    • no shortsales

    • weight of any single stock should not exceed 5.8%

    • total weight of the US stocks at least 65%


Results green funds
Results: Green funds

  • SSD: Inefficiency premium (% per annum)

Fund % p.a.

Calvert A 0.35

Calvert C 0.36

Women's 0.36

Neuberger 0.43

Devcap 0.43

Advocacy 0.45

Green Century 0.48

Domini 0.51


Results traditional funds
Results: Traditional funds

Fund % p.a. Fund % p.a.

NPPAX 0.00 AFEAX 0.44

ASECX 0.28 EVSBX 0.45

SSLGX 0.32 HFFYX 0.45

WFDMX 0.39 HIGCX 0.45

MMLAX 0.39 HGRZX 0.45

MDLRX 0.40 FGIBX 0.46

OTRYX 0.40 FBLVX 0.46

STVDX 0.42 PWSPX 0.47

PRFMX 0.43 FLCIX 0.49

PRACX 0.43 WCEBX 0.50

GESPX 0.43 FRMVX 0.50

ACQAX 0.43 IGSCX 0.51

IBCCX 0.44 EGRCX 0.51


Return distribution s 8 green funds
Return distributions: 8 green funds



Conclusions
Conclusions

  • Stochastic Dominance criteria applicable for measuring portfolio efficiency and finding efficient diversification strategies.

  • Direct analogy with DEA

  • Elementary DEA can be enhanced by

    • accounting for permutations

    • composing dominating portfolios directly from stocks rather than peer funds


Further details
Further details...

  • The theory and the LP efficiency measures available in working paper ”Efficient Diversification According to Stochastic Dominance Criteria”.

  • A DEA oriented paper with an application to environmentally responsible mutual funds is still work in progress.

  • Send an e-mail to [email protected]

  • Or navigate to my homepage:

    http://www.sls.wau.nl/enr/staff/kuosmanen


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