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The New Zealand Economy: Fork in the Road August 2013 Dominick Stephens Chief Economist

The New Zealand Economy: Fork in the Road August 2013 Dominick Stephens Chief Economist. New Zealand GDP growth. Electronic card transactions. Residential building consents, by value. Net migration. House prices. REINZ house price index by region (seasonally adjusted).

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The New Zealand Economy: Fork in the Road August 2013 Dominick Stephens Chief Economist

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  1. The New Zealand Economy:Fork in the RoadAugust 2013Dominick StephensChief Economist

  2. New Zealand GDP growth

  3. Electronic card transactions

  4. Residential building consents, by value

  5. Net migration

  6. House prices

  7. REINZ house price index by region (seasonally adjusted)

  8. ‘How would you spend a $10,000 windfall?’

  9. Household debt and servicing costs

  10. Inflation – opposing forces

  11. NZD/USD and NZD/AUD

  12. Chain reaction from Abenomics to NZ Global QE is generating “bubbly” asset prices in NZ

  13. Fonterra milk production, daily

  14. Whole milk powder price

  15. Growth in milk production / consumption since 2007

  16. Regional economic confidence, June quarter

  17. Quake-related construction forecasts

  18. People per house in Auckland

  19. House building as share of GDP

  20. NZ domestic inflation in construction booms

  21. Average of 2 & 5-year mortgage rate Quarterly house price inflation Page 21

  22. Investment value of houses

  23. House price inflation and consumer spending

  24. Impact of fiscal policy on GDP growth

  25. NZ inflation forecasts, tradables versus non-tradables

  26. OCR forecast

  27. 90 days bank bills, 2 year swap and 5 year swap rates

  28. NZD/USD, NZD/AUD and TWI

  29. New Zealand employment and unemployment

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